All Activity

Plane sampled the Baja for 0z look what happened

The run to run consistency on the 0z EURO 114h is like throwing darts at a dart board blindfolded. Pull your hair out insanity.

Hey, whatever it works. I hope feeling normal and zen feels good. Nobody want's a mix, but I'm honestly still hyped for this...but this really has gotta stop right here, lol. It's a moisture bomb and we got cold for frozen.

I’ve never purchased wxbell, but the big downside to weathermodels is it’s slower and I can’t zoom closely on ensembles.

This is literally a dream.

With a full phase there's nothing to stop a primary surface low from tracking to southern Ontario. The mid-level lows are well west of us. Several EPS members were even more amped than the 0z ECM OP. On tonight's runs this is starting to look like a supercharged SWFE. I'm really curious if this keeps trending in the same direction or adjusts back in the opposite direction with a less-clean phase. I prefer the longer-duration event where we stay on the cold side even if it means less QPF.

Well it was fun to dream for a couple days. Back to reality. Schools in kiddos next week.

Oddly enough I had a discussion with a relative in Toledo this afternoon and they said their local met called BS on the southern storm specifically because the HP was weakening and not in the ideal position (retrograding?). Way above my paygrade of amateur weather, but seems to make sense if the models are forecasting a less significant CAD event with a much deeper warm nose. We may have just needed to wait until the ducks were all on the pond to see it.

Wow. Just wow.

Well fuck. Maybe the feb2 storm will be better....or maybe this one comes back. This really can be a fucking frustrating hobby sometimes

I had sleet during PD2 in Charlottesville in the low teens.

its changed me bro....im so relaxed...its that program that someone posted earlier

WB OZ Canadian Parallel

My oh my...

With that high pressure, how much north do you think this could get? I would imagine snow totals will still be significant.

I never was buying those huge totals in Northern NC snd Southern Virginia.

only us could sleet at 18 degrees

What's in that TWC Jazz you been listening to?

00z Euro

DC Proper loses the 850/700 mb temp profile battle from 0Z Monday to 9Z Monday but we're right on the edge of the transition line via 700 mb map starting at 18Z Sunday. We have roughly 1.2-1.3 QPF before that time and an additional .2-.3 after that. Really on the edge though by the middle of Sunday.

Updated all models with at least a solid hit

Warm nose sneaking up to NOVA. Ice sucks

i mean this is a dream storm. Its still all frozen. We get lot of snow and ice. Have you seen our storm lately....i got 1000k likes on facebook from a 1/2 inch storm

what happened to those huge snowfall amounts down south ? This shift north was too extreme and too sudden IMO - I wouldn't be surprised if this shifts a few miles south again in the coming days.