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  2. It might have gotten "buried" anyway bc the thread is moving fast, generally, and especially at that moment. I would post it again at a quieter time (if there is one? lol) or maybe start a thread. The analyses are great! The mods can't keep track of that type of thing tho, they have more than enough of god's work to do.
  3. Why live in the NC mtns when you can live in ocean city maryland and somehow get twice as much snow
  4. We need to make a model called the FOLKS.
  5. 18z Euro cuts snow totals to basically zero and has all sleet for all of WNC through Sunday then shows a change to rain. Wow, we all know its possible though.
  6. Im going to reserve any judgement until that baja is sampled tomorrow.
  7. So the Lakes low strikes even this.
  8. It makes sense it’s also not on its own showing that either, other ops have it, cmc parallel had it at 12z
  9. 18Z EURO is exactly why I filled three propane tanks and got gas for the generator.
  10. Yes, but as others have said, the TREND over the past 24 hours has been clear. A shift north with the snow/mix line. This EURO was indeed a huge shift and may bounce back, but the overall trend is clear.
  11. The Euro pulled off an elusive triple phase, which is why it jumped so far north. Not saying that can’t happen, because it can, but a triple phase would be insanely hard.
  12. Was doing laundry...what did i miss?
  13. Would be totally fine with a foot of snow if the Midatlantic has to get 2. It is what it is. Very difficult to be bullseye in our area and we know that.
  14. Got generator and fuel ready … plus plenty of ice melt.
  15. I believe this run of the Euro just showed us our top end scenario...Dayum! Let's hope it holds and others follow.
  16. That is a LOT of ice. It’s been clear for a couple of days we were gonna get our first big winter storm in a while. It is starting to look like a major ice storm. A bummer and on top of that dangerous. So much precipitation, it’s going to be frozen precipitation. I’d rather rain than ice, but I don’t think that’s a possibility. Oh boy lol
  17. Something has had to throw the euro off for it to make that big of a jump .
  18. The 12z Euro only did a partial phase and still pulled off a MECS. The only thing we can’t have is those two pieces staying entirely separate. Literally any interaction and we get at least a SECS.
  19. Euro has an 850 lp circulation run from Arkansas to Lake Ontario:
  20. Thanks. Will probably fall short of that, but you might be pushing a top 5 all timer at this rate. I think the WAA stuff will come in like a wall. I wouldn’t be surprised to see some 2-3”/hr rates with this one down there.
  21. Not with the large island of hot air there they won't
  22. I was holding my laptop when i refreshed the 18z euro and I almost dropped it!
  23. I dunno just sucks to put in over an hour on a post to watch it get buried to the previous page when its a full breakdown of our storm.
  24. That is a big jump in one run for the Euro. A jump that big in one run makes me think it could be an outlier.
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