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  2. I have no optimism regarding the next ten days. By the time the next system it’s gonna be warm. Prove me wrong. Just bitter af over here.
  3. like an extremely twisted game of weather russian roullette. Someone in this area will be lucky to get 2 inches
  4. Guys business is about to pick up in here. Not that it should be any surprise [emoji1787] .
  5. 966mb low 200 nmi SE off the coast of cape cod at the end of the run! i'd wish sailors enjoyment but that certainly would not be fun to get stuck in
  6. Gonna have to disagree with you there, its mostly about that front-running stuff, IMO. You can keep the kicker exactly the same, if you can better incorporate the stuff around/north of the Bahamas into the general circulation instead of allowing it to stretch the circulation and flatten heights ahead of it, you'd be dealing with a massive storm much closer to the Delmarva. The way its modeled now, that front-running stuff is creating the weakness that the ULL escapes northeastward through The runs that showed hits and or very-close misses all share the characteristic that they orient that energy more meridionally than zonally
  7. Too bad, cuz that’s what’s screwing the pooch here unfortunately. It’s chasing all that junk.
  8. Looks like i haven't missed much, Still looks like mainly a region whiff, Just a lot of interference.
  9. Giving me confidence of seeing a move SE by 12z Euro.
  10. That pack depth map looks about right. Funny how the banks are so big and in the way, when we've had so much more on the ground before with fewer problems. I think back to the 40" pack a few years ago and, unless my old brain is more muddled than I thought, it seems like I had more room for snow than I do this time. *shrug* Anyway... I'd be good with another string of small, northern stream events keeping the pack fresh for a few weeks.
  11. And the RGEM is meh. whole trough structure a bit east
  12. These weather models are all over the damn place.
  13. RGEM said the nam and icon smoking crack
  14. With the overnight snow, I'm just below 21" after some compacting.
  15. Yeah so far the trend this suite for RIC is drier.
  16. The dry slot seems inevitable. It’s just a question of where. Most likely spots are the Triad and the Triangle and slightly east of the Triangle. But it’s the $1 million question. .
  17. My NWS pinpoint (CLT), has precip starting late Friday night/Midnight. FWIW
  18. Very close. It then goes ENE from here.
  19. yes to latter. Just a stronger storm and slightly better positioned trough
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