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I got 1mm from the system that gave a few flashes & thunder at 11pm. 8 out of 10 t-storms this year have been between the hours of 11pm-3am. I got just that one okay tstorm a few weeks ago to break the smoke but even that is garden tier nothing much; a solid tstorm in mid summer here is rare. Today is mainly cloudy but the cooler air felt good 22C/75F. Smoke in the high levels causing mod AQI 75.
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Hrrr has us in the screw zone but it will change every run so who knows
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Yeah its moving almost due north from somerville
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At least we've gotten a good amount of rain in July which knocked our area back down to a moderate drought after being in the severe drought. i was hoping for some heavy rain today though. This early round is mostly missing our area, but we'll have to see what the potential round for later tonight does. Maybe we'll get some decent rain from that one around 9 or 10pm.
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No surprise. I was puzzled when they issued the warning for northern Middlesex County because you could see on radar that it was going to go northwest of here.
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Radar looks to be converging on Morris county on north
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It expired
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Severe thunderstorm watch for Gaston county until 8. Man is it humid outside today.
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Yup will be a bust here. HRRR takes the stuff in central PA south of us too. What we need is a tropical system or remnants of one to get some major rains
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
wxmeddler replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Radar not very promising despite the warning for northern Middlesex County.
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.11" from that one. Tried its best to split right around me, but still got grazed.
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HRRR looks very dry outside of NW NJ
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SolidIcewx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Mesoscale Discussion 1783 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026 Areas affected...portions of West Virginia...northern/central Virginia...and southern Delaware Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 281804Z - 282000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Severe potential to increase through the afternoon. Damaging wind, large hail, and tornadoes will be possible. DISCUSSION...Ahead of an approaching cold front across West Virginia, mostly sunny skies across portions of northern/central Virginia has allowed for temperatures to rise into the low to mid 80s. Steepening low-level lapse rates and increasing MLCAPE are noted across the region as a result. Strong mid-level flow is supporting deep layer shear around 40-50 kts. Flow is generally perpendicular to the front, which may support a mix of clusters and supercell structures. Steepening low-level lapse rates will support potential for downward momentum transfer and damaging wind. With any supercell structures that can maintain, large hail and perhaps a tornado will be possible. More modest low-level shear may somewhat limit the tornado potential initially, though the low-level jet may increase into the late afternoon. A watch will be needed soon to cover this potential.- 1,535 replies
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I agree , the southern portion of the line isn’t expanding much and will probably miss NYC.
