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Man... The amount of precip this thing is going to pump out can't be accurately depicted. This is such an insane jet configuration for STJ moisture. I would be surprised if several of us don't see over 2 inches of qpf.

The HP was a bit weaker, but the coastal transfer occured further so kind of a wash

Great agreement among models. We know as much as we did on Monday lol

AIGFS brings low just south of us.

GFS babysteps northwest continue

Obligatory erection GIF .

GFS looks like it'll hold serve but at this point I'm not taking it too seriously with all the other models more amped. I'd expect at least some mixing at least to the I95 corridor but still think a significant thump possible/likely first, maybe some backend snow.

That's close, but that'd be snow at that point?

It gets better once inside of 4 days....but has been jumping around all winter as we just witnessed yesterday. I has some uncanny accuracy at times, but has just been really bad since about Thanksgiving in my book. I can sometimes do a bit better in the mountains with snow amounts. Like most weather models, it is best used within a blend of ideas or solutions.

Looks colder and weaker

i'm not a baker (but I do have the stuff for an emergency batch of chocolate chip cookies if necessary) so I have loaded up with Girl Scout cookies. but I do love to cook and am set to make some post roast and a crown pork rib roast.

So the GFS holds. Good. Only problem is that it's kind of on an island. Let's hope it's right for once.

Flips to sleet around 00Z monday.

its not the nam run , its the nam picking up on some of the same idea that other models are showing

GFS is a 1’+ for everyone, and I pretty much mea everyone. Hope it’s doing okay thermal wise. Nice to see the hires FV3 also chilly.

Gfs looks like mulit prog system again

Yeah, either it's on to something or on something. On and island by itself tho, so...

And you will notice the wild swings stop and begin to form a solid line of best fit

GFS is more of a two-parter than some of the other models. First comes through cold and all snow. Looks like the 2nd is going to be latitudinally-dependent. 00Z Monday DCA

Are we trending boys? Are we back? Will it snow? Can I put the generator away?

6z Monday heavy non snow precip still going on

I mean, 18z sunday and the mix line is still south of EZF...

Gfs is colder cause the isn’t driving into Toronto

0z Monday, GFS has another slug about to roll in.