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Not sure how much things can shift with the time left but euro AI made a notable jump NW....

Wants to keep teasing us some more.

your not aloud to enjoy this if it comes west

Now let’s bring it further west for WOR crowd

Maybe the euro will edge NW

Still needs work for the WOR crowd.

Baby steps- tomorrow is moving day

18z euro could be crush job incoming for all of NC and good chunk of VA precip expanding NW .

i'm back now it better snow or i'm taking a week off the forum

It's a struggle sometimes to ask questions genuinely stemming from curiosity for fear of seeming like a wishcaster. It's tough because (understandably) nobody posts a damn fucking thing until the elephant is basically addressing itself. Again, competely understandable, but this is the mfing Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion™ thread so let's chat: What's up with about 150ish hours from now? What dictates the degree of phasing between the various pieces that could be involved? Even if it phases into a 1-3 incher, what might control that? I truly want to stress that I'm just looking to understand large-scale, basic stuff here and not fishing for hope -- nor doomer shit. Even if you aren't pro, what do you think? If you are absolutely not paying attention because it's DOA, then why?

None of the people that said “ she gone” “ it’s over “, no snow etc are allowed back in on this

IDK, I'm okay with 1.25" QPF...

More precip breaking out on 18z euro for western Carolina .

AI ticked west too.

we still don't get much, but kinda funny that it got closer

18z Euro is looking good so far.

So euro suite is west gfs east icon west ish nam woulda been nice ya no one knows lol

low on the coast..before, it was off. We still miss, but it's closer 18z 12z

LBSE

So much of a better look @H5, Took on a negative tilt much sooner, Heights higher up here.

Wow that’s a big jump on the euro!

The GEFS actually went about 40-50 mi east, but nothing like the GFS. That was a burp run on the GFS. It's coming back west next run. The GEFS was still decent in E MA and the Cape.

ECM18z gives NYC 5mm precip / 9.4cm snow. E LI 24mm/34cm. Boston 34mm/47cm.