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Probably not done trending either.. we take!

Lots of clusters!

Yeah, I could see that too. WBAL had me snow, to mix during the day, then back to snow. Alena didn’t show totals

ill be lucky if i see a few flakes

Man it wouldn’t take much. On balance guidance looks tiltier at 06z. GFS is just pretty much perfect in getting that look setup for capture, rest don’t quite figure it out. But give me another run of tiltier stuff… 12z, MAYBE 18z is the money run. I think by then either the GFS joins everyone else in dropping the big coastal or at least one other global sees it too.

Number 2, for $300, Alex!

We went from 1% to 6%!

06z eps

Really windy out this morning

SREF way more amped and NW

It's coming!

Maybe 1 or 2 tonight and another 1 in morning? I think we might have a lot of sleet too.

Special Weather Statement up for the Mountains with this line of storms. Cold front should push through behind the line as it moves East of the Mountains.

Yes indeed

My NWS forecast is 1-3". Obviously not buying Gfs.

NWS for central NJ (Mt. Holly) through the Five Boroughs (Upton) is going with a middle ground, 1-2, 1-3 inches, forecast.

I think we should be rooting for a later start time either way. Get the clouds here during the day to hold off the sun angle, and then thump overnight for best snow-maxing

being on here for almost 12 years, and seeing from who that post originated, i assure you, it was not

I could see a scenario where colder spots like you get a little accumulation early Sunday, then it melts away, and then more with the IVT.

Subtle, but you can start to make out the trend of a later closure with a slight LBNE nudge on 06z... I don't like how the EURO doesn't curl it up, though...still kicks east at out latitude.

What happened to the DC blizzard though?

yeah mostly same, a lot of BM (or hair SE) storms arent great here depending on the trajectory if they cross SW to NE over the BM thats fine like 2013 but if they swing a wide right almost due north/NE over the BM like Jan 15/22 then WOR can be in trouble. Theres obviously a ton of other factors but thats the general idea

Euro showing 3-5 and gfs 10+. Expected snowfall 1-2 inches? Guess they are factoring in marginal temps and going with a lot less than 10:1? .

Looks more coastal and less IVT. I want to believe!!!