All Activity

No wind at all with the passage. Not even heavy rain. Some thunder and one super local single lighting strike. Wind is picking up now it’s moving out.

A different type of frozen object falling from the sky this week eh?

Mrx issued a wwa for Scott and Morgan but no further east.

Hard to tell, we have been back in the clouds after a bit of sun earlier.

Because it was much, much stronger when it entered York county out of Maryland than it is now. It was a severe thunderstorm 100% when it was issued.

Very bright here. Temps got knocked down 5 deg when that first line came through but mostly recovered.

nice, whereabouts?

If you want fantasy entertainment check out the GFS snowfall forecast for tonight

Lots of reports coming in across Northern Alabama and Eastern Tennessee. Already seeing a report of 2 inches of snow near Huntsville.

Agree Its about time we had a huge pattern breaking event. Awesome winter

This evening looks fantastic. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Its always sad when winter ends.

These “squalls” this morning are legit. Sky gets dark as they roll through, and dump for 15 minutes at a time. Then it gets light. Rinse and repeat every 30 minutes.

nothingburger, as usual

Not good if you want to see winter weather in the east. Bad trend in the wrong direction. There was hope for a wintry period but now its fading. Looks like I will end up with 47 inches this winter bearing a miracle event.

Why is this severe warned? It is your average run-of-the-mill thunderstorm. Zero wind.

Really???cloudy as fuck about a mile away from you

So when’s the snow coming?

#2 event on the season.

It’s a work from home day for me, so I am wearing athletic shorts and a sweatshirt and told the wife to “gun it good” to get through the end of the driveway, lol!

...Carolinas to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast... Large-scale outflow from ongoing broken linear bands along with a separate swath of convection with the low-level warm conveyor have greatly hampered the amplitude of diurnal destabilization across the Carolinas to the DE Valley. Primary severe threat should remain with the pre-frontal linear bands as they spread east-northeast this afternoon. Some intensification may yet occur across eastern SC/southern NC within pockets of low 70s surface temperatures. See MCDs 272-273 for additional storm-term discussion. Farther north, a pre-frontal low-topped convective line is evolving across central PA. This should be the primary driver of afternoon severe potential northeastward into parts of NY as mid 50s to low 60s surface dew points remain prevalent just ahead of this line. Within a deeply meridional wind profile, damaging winds and embedded tornadoes will be the main hazards. This activity should remain spatially confined by a lack of downstream boundary-layer destabilization over eastern NY into New England. In the wake of this leading activity, a second round of low-topped convection will likely reform east of the Blue Ridge into the Piedmont towards late afternoon/early evening. Prior overturning and persistent cloud coverage should mitigate appreciable boundary-layer destabilization. However, robust large-scale ascent and intensifying lower-level winds will accompany the ejection of a 100+ kt 500-mb jetlet within the basal shortwave trough. This should yield a renewed threat for damaging winds accompanying the fast-moving line. Even with meager buoyancy, another round of sporadic severe gusts should occur from NC/VA to the Chesapeake Bay/DE Valley vicinity through this evening.

They cut back the risk a good bit. I went from moderate to slight at my work lol.

It wasn’t off based, and did the best within 18-24 hours. Sniffed out the south trend and latched on to it.

Only storms I'm worried about the next few hours are the ones throwing out lightning. Most of this stuff is not exhibiting strong vertical organization.