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22, 96, 84

Nationally, the hottest Christmas in modern history

Do you know off hand what years those were with a EQBO,i know last Jan was a WQBO?

Not to mention, being December 23rd it will be practically the best sun angle possible, especially at night.

Columbia east — 25.4° morning low. Noon 33°.

Tough to buy the GFS at this point, but something to watch....for now, consider that the spiked-eggnog outcome.

At least it appears to be solidly lodged in other trees so not about to fall soon. We still have several tall (60+) roadside fir trees lodged since 12/18/23. Finished with 1.26". Gusts at home got into the 30s, but we were in WVL about 5:30 PM when a blast of RA+ was accompanied by gusts that had to be well into the 40s. By the time we left Governor's at 6:20, the wind was less, and the rain was nearly done. Nothing frozen here, beginning or end. Still have a white lawn, 2" of armorplate, but the nearby fields are almost all brown.

Same. 25 hours now.

Good look, esp. NOP

The GEFS doesn’t agree: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gefsens&p=sn10_acc-mean-imp&rh=2025122012&fh=90&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

Ukie came south too

Some of the guidance has a little period of snow on Monday. Could be some high ratio stuff.

Quick, somebody get the "Summer Wheeze" to put him out of his misery already.

NBM looks decent considering time range.

I flew out of DEN early this morning expecting a rough go. It was smoother than usual.

I speak only for myself, but you can kindly escort yourself out of the forum for posting that...

RRFS was by far the best model for the last storm

Maybe in western PA, cool air has a good chance of holding in the rest of the state east of the Alleghenies Christmas Day. GFS a bit cooler than the Euro (actually slightly below average in eastern PA), but even the Euro only has MDT getting into the low 40s or so. Even if it did bust 50 degrees the +5 to 10 departure that would make high-wise is pretty tame compared to where the real torch is centered. + Anomalies Christmas Day in the central plains are bananas, in the realm of 30-40 degrees above average. We may have a couple fairly warm days on or just after Christmas, but the -NAO blocking is likely going to keep us from being overrun with any kind of warmth like that. 12z GFS temps/anomalies

The GEFS and EPS have big disagreement 12/25-1/3! Fwiw, JMA, BOM, and CFS favor GEFS: Meanwhile, phase 8 , which helped bring strong cold Dec 3-7 and Dec 15 but won’t next week, returned on 12/17 and will likely be with us for awhile:

Yeah, he's pretty concerned.

A return to chillier weather today with highs in the mid-40's. We stay below normal through Monday with maybe some wet snow arriving toward Tuesday morning. This should turn to rain pretty quickly from SW To NE across the area. Temperatures look to be near normal for Christmas Eve Day before we rise to about 4 degrees above normal for Christmas Day. Boxing Day looks to be the warmest day of the week before we cool down as we move toward the New Year's holiday.

A return to chillier weather today with highs in the mid-40's. We stay below normal through Monday with maybe some wet snow arriving toward Tuesday morning. This should turn to rain pretty quickly from SW To NE across the area. Temperatures look to be near normal for Christmas Eve Day before we rise to about 4 degrees above normal for Christmas Day. Boxing Day looks to be the warmest day of the week before we cool down as we move toward the New Year's holiday.

Yes sir…you’ve been on this. And let’s juice it up to a solid advisory event for SNE. If we could do that…I’d be close to average December snow.

Good post man !