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Impressive snow squall threat tomorrow around daybreak.. Looks like a summer time squall line.. Probably looking at coating to an inch tonight away from SE New England and Maine. Then another coating to an inch or so with the squalls tomorrow morning.

GFS is like 150 miles north every run since yesterday, a few more moves like that and we have something, still 4.5 days out ... Heres GEFS trend

It's amazing how quickly the deterministics flipped. It seems like they were locked in on some sort of storm tracking east of the Mississippi for a week's worth of runs and the we had that massive storm on an 18z run Monday. I don't think there was any sort of a step down process. It's like they were drinking over Christmas and then sobered up and said "pattern conducive for eastern snow? No says I !" It may be the MJO is about to come out in 6 like y'all said over night. I saw GaWx mentioning that yesterday on the GFS suite's RMMs. Perfect timing I guess, lol. It looks like it is getting riled up on the less favorable regions: If that is really what is going on, it'll take it at least a couple of weeks to cycle through into the Western Pac and would line up with what the OP Euro and GFS (non AI) showed over night. La Nina and MJO over the Maritime continent seems to = ye olden qpf fire hose. The other thing I noticed was that the long prophesied jet extension isn't quite as extensive as promised and that I supposed that would tend to pull the whole pattern back west some too.

This was about the perfect "medical ad"

Yes but you are not including the posts with whinging about people whining or the post with people whining about people whinging about people whining. But by the forum standards yes there is not too much whining.

Nada IMBY

21 in Ashburn

BOX going for 2-4" for Pit 1 GYX calling for 3" at Pit2. I'll call that a win.

So it seems like our awesome pattern change already is playing kick the can down the road…? It seems like almost every year this happens and it just gets pushed farther and farther out lol

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 333 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025 PAZ012-018-019-025-034-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-058-010845- Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Blair-Bedford-Tioga- Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union- Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill- 333 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. 1 to locally 3 inches of snow is expected this afternoon through Thursday morning. In addition, A line of snow showers/squalls will move through during the evening hours this New Year`s Eve. If a Snow Squall Warning is issued for your location, delay travel or exit the highway at the next opportunity. Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 333 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025 PAZ026>028-035-036-056-057-059-063>066-010845- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 333 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. A line of snow showers/squalls will move through during the evening hours this New Year`s Eve. If a Snow Squall Warning is issued for your location, delay travel or exit the highway at the next opportunity.

I just woke up and see some light returns had just passed through the area. Checking the grill top tells me it was just virga here.

Seems like another decent event like tonight. Each one of these models have, lose and then pick back up as they get closer

If we could get that northern stream to dive in a bit more it could make things interesting

Probably.meh but models have been trending north a bit

Another burst of snow coming through at home

Yup same here had to brush off the car this morning

6z NAM trending towards something for Sunday it looks like

Might finally be seeing a change after the first week of January?

Also doesn’t mean nothing before that time either though…but I found him knowledgeable and real.

Yea, I agree with him on late month...just wish we hadn't wasted so much season beforehand.

Watch out for potential major Arctic plunges week of 1/19-26: this was released on Tue 12/30.Exclusive Weather Updates from Vaisala/X Weather & The Weather Co.Brad Harvey, senior operational meteorologist at Vaisala, says that the forecast for the 6-to 10-day period features much-above-normal temperatures from the West to Texas. Highs are forecast to reach the 50s in Denver, 60s-70s in Dallas, and 70s in Houston. The Midwest and East are forecast to be drier than normal thanks to rounds of high pressure migrating southward from Canada. The forecast is near normal for temperatures in the Upper Midwest and below normal in the East. Risks are mixed for the Upper Midwest, where our forecast takes the middle ground between the warmer GFS and colder ECMWF solutions. Meanwhile, warmer risks in the Rockies are associated with downslope flow, while the Great Basin could be colder under high pressure. The models have lacked consistency in both the 6-to 10-day and 11-to 15-day periods. “The GFS EN projects a –PNA pattern, while ECMWF trends toward a +PNA. Neither of these solutions are given higher favorability, with our forecast featuring a round of above normal temperatures in the Eastern Half and belows emerging late in the Midwest.” For more information, go to https://www.xweather.com/weatherdesk. Mickey Shuman, a senior meteorologist with The Weather Company, tells us that for most of next week, the Pacific pattern will reverse, helping to drive mild Pacific air into much of western and interior North America. However, a west-based -NAO block will impede the advancement of the mild air into the East. By the 11-to 15-day period, mild Pacific and maritime Atlantic air will overspread the entirety of Canada, essentially shutting down the risk of any major cold air intrusions, such that most of the CONUS moderates and ends up on the warmer side of normal, supporting a prolonged stretch of lower-than-normal GWHDDs. That being said, an emerging +PNA signal also suggests that there won’t be a major or sustainable warm-up and that some seasonably cold air attempts to expand south and east later in the period. The bigger story is the potential pattern change for the middle to end of the month, which could lead to noteworthy cold Arctic blasts over the eastern two-thirds centered on the week of the 19-26th. For more information, go to https://www.weathercompany.com/

https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/boston-weather-wind-chills-temperature-massachusetts/ This would explain the chopper I heard circling overheard this morning. Thought I heard something come crashing down in the woods late last night. That wind was whipping like crazy!