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Mid season form lol sometimes you guys create your own trends.

Already?? We still have 120+ hours to go

That’s not a thing. The Hudson valley of New York is not our source region. Southern Canada is where snow pack may make a difference, not Newburgh

18z GFS & 18z Euro say that most of CTP is still in the game for Tuesday.

World Series rings Super Bowl trophies snowstorm jackpots these are a few of Ray’s favorite things

But if I got 18” and you 12” nukes would be sent. Makes sense.

A little surprised at how quickly the band sagged south today. It was not slower than modeled, and I may actually get several inches tonight. Seems like the jackpot zone will be SE Cuyahoga into southern Geauga. Bit of a bust up the northeastern shoreline (not that they were ever going to do great, but thought they’d get a little more earlier today)

nah we want a decent snowpack in our source region. let it destroy the interior i say.

Nice to see Warner Brothers is onboard.

Over under of 40?

What? I live on Long Island, why would I want that

I can't believe we don't have model agreement. We're only 6 days out.

I wouldn't say that at all. You got two different camps with two different outcomes. Either you're going to worry if you're in Northern New England that it's south of them, or you're going to worry in Southern New England that your rained out. It could go either way. So in other words, if you're going to worry, very very premature at this point.

I think this is the bigger issue, we don't have the same cold press timing we had previously. Even on the amped runs its a lot more thread the needle cold. That said, its not worth throwing in the towel yet as I think some snow somewhere is likely unless it stays amped.

That's what we've seen this summer and fall. I'd run with it until proven wrong.

Worries for some, notbuying until we see some model consistency into this weekend.

I think it is great to have a system to track in December...it has been awhile....if I get an inch I will be happy. Any accumulation in December is bonus snow. The latest weeklies indicate Tuesday is not our only chance this month. (WB).

My gut feeling is a strong amped rainer is the least likely outcome. Weak slider without sufficient cold air for much snow on the north end probably most plausible IMO.

It’s south and less amped then other guidance but minimal cold to work with for 84 south

12z euro and gfs were good for dc area. 18z bumped it back north. Let’s see what 0z holds.

Euro being so flat is a bit of a red flag still. But there’s still so much time for this system.

Hopefully it’s another year of King Nothing.

Worries begin for all

We’re just not in a climatologically favorable time and the models did not go in a direction I wanted to see today. Even with deamp, they may just get weaker but not colder. If I end up wrong and it snows, I’ll eat my shoe.

I would take it.