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Few huge thunderclaps in west babylon. Moderate rain. Blob in Nassau looks mean
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I saw a notch or hook with a discrete cell there and zipped to find tor warn in a densely pop. spots!
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Spud
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It was absolutely pouring in downtown Jersey City for about the last hour. Still coming down but has let up some in the last few minutes
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Long Island getting it now
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lightning caused it to short out
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
enpawx_observer replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
IIRC, wasn't the system that produce the late July outbreak in 2021 similar? I remember that day being really cloudy. But I think shear was rippin and there was just enough instability to produce. -
It will keep happening all the way through winter. I bet one of those times it might phase with the polar jet and sparks will fly.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
midatlanticweather replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Some clearing but hazy skies. The air is THICK! Temp is 88 and the humidity is at 80% here in Purcellville! Instant sweat factory! LOL!- 1,063 replies
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Woke up from a la-z-boy siesta, and came outside, and it's thundering like every 15-30 seconds here. It's a low roll kind coming from my west-southwest towards Pottsville. Looks like that cell is moving closer. Rain so far in my backyard is now up to 1.25". Also, I can somewhat smell the smoke again, too. -
Flood threat is very real. Our atmosphere is juiced to the max
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Our tornado/severe threat is currently back in Western PA. You can see some discreet cells popping up. SPC will be updating soon. In the meantime, the warm front is slightly over performing thus far. You can see the troughs over PA which will provide dynamics and veering winds.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Look at radar history 80% of upper bucks and the Lehigh Valley was grazed in round 1 -
Ewr over an inch already
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Another storm lining up on the train tracks behind it. Gonna be a long day of subway flooding.
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Thunderstorm out in Suffolk. Of course the baseball league didn’t cancel the game until there was lighting visible
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Everything went around me lol .20" even better this morning activity is likely going to hamper the next round in the afternoon it looks 50/50 at best A miss will be quite terrible -
NYC bullseye storm. We deserved a soaker, lately we've been missing storms to our north and south.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's worth watching, for sure. With the westerly flow aloft, even 190 or 200 degree winds (SSW) might be enough to make things interesting. Most of the guidance veers us to more fully southwest ahead of storm development, though, and surface wind speeds may not be particularly strong. If that's wrong, yes, a tornado or two would be possible. My guess now is that we'll have some supercell structures (and a tornado warning or two) with the favorable deep-layer shear but not enough low-level shear for tornadoes.- 1,063 replies
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Saturday, July 18, 2026 Thunderstorm/Severe Weather Potential
weatherwiz replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Ramping up the elevated instability…not a bad sign. Just have to see if we can muster up enough surface instability. It’s going to be a short window but not impossible. Some of the bigger events happen when you’re rapidly increasing instability just out ahead of the approaching activity -
It'll make the lack of storms today more memorable.
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Light rain so far but that heavy blob's headed right at me. Much of the city will have 3" easy when this is over.
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DCA at 88/77 - bleh.
