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  2. hawkeye_wx
    The latest hurricane models, like the HAFS, have backed off on the strength as Isaias struggles with dry air advection from the west all the way through the gulf.
  3. michsnowfreak
    This is another excellent point. I sometimes think some get too wrapped up in the reds and blues of a temp anomaly map. Dark red in Winnipeg and blue in Atlanta? Means it's only going to be 30F colder in Winnipeg than Atlanta instead of the normal 40F colder lol.
  4. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    https://antibiodirect.com/# online antibiotics
  5. WxUSAF
    Seems he already knows where the next 25 days are headed so hang it up folks. Winter 26-27 time of death: 10/7/2026
  6. olafminesaw
    Yeah the center is squarely under the convective burst ongoing at the moment, would expect another substantial drop on the next pass
  7. Yardstickgozinya
    I'm not a big tropics guy per say, but I am a fisherman. All I know is that these kind of fall systems produce epic bites and fights ,so my budy and I are going to be out Sunday and Sunday night, taking full advantage. I'm heading out now to stock the cooler with bait.
  8. forkyfork
    because being patient and logical with snow autists is a waste of time
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Incredible organization since this morning’s flight. The inner core is well on its way to becoming established. Very tight core too
  10. LakePaste25
    I think it’s worth tracking, but proceed with caution given the known ECMWF weak PV bias.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    The latest dropsonde says 997 mb.
  12. Prismshine Productions
    Yo @ineedsnow I guarantee you that this would piss some people off buddy Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
  13. mitchnick
    I thought the "theory" was the rate of change thru the entire month of October.
  14. GaWx
    Thanks. So, what does all of this say in regard to the ECMWF’s forecasted weaker than avg SPV in Jan/Feb? Is that a legit signal of a likely weaker than normal SPV then?
  15. hawkeye_wx
    The pressure dropped by several mb because the center of circulation has suddenly tightened up.
  16. FPizz
    He has pet rocks, enough said. He hopes they make pebbles together so that he has more friends to talk to.
  17. jm1220
    Historically the “I” storm seems to deliver, and it’s been 6 years since Isaias was last used and it’s on a 6 year cycle?
  18. Yardstickgozinya
    I woke up to my third frost of the year with the first one being the very early September 25 for Fairview, Mechanicsburg, Dillsburg and probably beyond ,that I posted the picture of .
  19. rimetree
    Bit of frost this morning with a low of 34F. Now 63/38...nice day. I'm guessing we toss the GFS now but would be nice to get that clipper-like system next week to come in a little further south and crank up something interesting.
  20. Brewbeer
    the word at the local farmer's market is that freshly ripened tomatoes and peppers will be available from that hill through December
  21. Tyler Penland
    This morning's recon was having some data issues, wonder if they just missed it or the data was bad. If not Isaias we're about to see some big wind increases as winds catch up to that pressure drop.
  22. Cobalt
    why do you still talk like this, you're 40?
  23. Jackstraw
    Late to the game been bust outside. The Canuk's won the smack down fairly substantially for QPF the last week of Sept. IBY. They have been by far the most accurate QPF models for MBY all the way back into Aug so I'm gonna ride them through this winter lmao.
  24. beanskip
    Wow latest recon finding about 10mb lower pressure than the previous one.
  25. olafminesaw
    Whoa
  26. Chris78
    So expect a big winter. Got it.
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