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It's really windy

Heavy stuff moving into and through Montgomery county right now. Wouldn't be a bit surprised if most of this thing is out of here by 2-3 p.m.

Trying to figure out if Shenandoah would have the valley of cloud effect if I went out in 3 hours to the top. Generally it looks like the dew points drop too much though. If anyone wants to weigh in that would be nice.

Just think if all this liquid would have been snow. And the ground and air temperatures were just below freezing. Maybe it's a preview of things to come in a month or two.

0.63" for Oct is pretty paltry. 10th driest on record. Warm month; max 58.7 (+0.5=59.2) avg 53.9/ min 41.9(+2=43.9) avg 37.9 for 7am readings. 10th warmest Oct. BTW, MRCC no longer requires registration to use their Cli-mate tool. No more login, open to the public. https://mrcc.purdue.edu/newclimate/home

Looks like I am ending with 2.12 inches for the event unless something else pops up here in 21057

Wowser! I picked up 0.22" just before midnight and have my first over 1" daily rainfall since Aug. 13, currently ticked over to 1.29", with ~1/3" per hour rates. Total for the 2 days is 1.51" at post time (missed out on much of the last little rounds over the past couple months with barely any nickle and dime amounts registered). Have 2.78" for the month at post time. Bottomed out at 49 this morning and currently at my high of 60, with dp 59. Much needed!

Yeah, we had accumulating snows around the area with the colder storm tracks and background temperatures at the end of October 2008 and 2011. Then the big post Sandy snowstorm in November 2012 and SWFE in November 2018. The best obviously for the whole season was the late November 1995 snow which carried through until early April 1996. Before that the lack of snow following the November 1989 Thanksgiving snowstorm. Plus the earliest October 10, 1979 snows before the low seasonal snows that winter with the big suppression pattern when Virginia did so well.

Nice, you must be on the board I was referencing, or he posts on multiple boards

The system clearing as quick as it did is really good news for Halloween festivities - kid and adult. And extra good news for those us who will be lining up for the Billy Strings concert. Super happy we won't be getting poured on.

From Eric Webb at another BB just now: A few other things I think that are playing into our favor at least for December: Being in a La Niña with a slower-moving and more amplified MJO (due in part to the easterly QBO) makes a subsequent -NAO and weaker polar vortex/-NAM more likely. The current global tropics SSTa are also almost the exact opposite of the MJO phase speed & SST correlation pattern derived from Suematsu & Miura (2021), favoring slower MJO events that typically have stronger and more consistent extratropical teleconnections as Yadav et al (2024) + Yadav & Straus (2017) and Tseng et al (2020) have argued respectively.

It doesn't look like a Thursday washout! Here comes the sun!

Go all the way to Fort Kent - Northern Door Motel, Breakfast at Rocks Cafe then head west. If you don't mind some ungroomed trails, Deboullie is spectacular. Then stop at Two Rivers Lunch in Allagash, maybe motor up to Estcourt Station (unless you've already been to that northernmost tip of the state). Temp was 28 at 11 last evening but the clouds were beginning to sift in, and it was 30 at 7 this morning. Otherwise we would've been down near 20.

Been getting some good heavy rains all morning.

1.77 event total...

Miserable day today

1/2"/hr n-s stripe near PHL with lightning now. not sure where this will end up but should rock a bit this aft-eve in our area...even e LI later this eve.

Noting power outages increasing PA-NJ .. over 7000 in NJ and some of it seems high terrain, esp ne PA.

Thunder! I invoke the "Wiggum Rule". Just over 1.00", 58F.

really... very nice. Maybe you head for 2.5". Thinking some spots in our forum I95 westward 3-3.5" in 9 hours soon.

Live feed from chaser Jeff P. is linked at the bottom. He’s been stationed in a house in Santa Cruz (~20 miles inland and ~15 miles W of worst wind damage. Yesterday, he/his host tried to drive to Black River but could go only a couple of miles west to Lacovia due to roads that were washed out, had big potholes, had deep mud from the prior 4-6+ feet of extreme rainfall induced flooding/landslides coming off the nearby ridges, and had debris such as trees and utility poles (some made of concrete!) blocking the road. So, they kept having to turnaround and try different routes to no avail and thus went back to home base. Here’s a link to the recording of that 2 hr, 51 min never a dull moment live feed from yesterday (this isn’t live): ———————— In today’s (LIVE) feed, it looks like they took a different route initially to the E and SE (i.e. further away from the worst hit area) instead of W. Then they turned back W further S (only couple of miles from coast). They went W through Junction (15 miles SSE of Santa Cruz), Bull Savanna, and Flagaman. They were temporarily stopped at Pedro Cross, just a few miles E of Treasure Beach, because the road was being cleared. They resumed a NW course approaching Newell. LIVE feed: Edit: they’re now at Wally Wash Pond (11:33AM EDT) moving NW just a few miles SE of Black River.

Not too bad. LP in the E with another weak LP moving in from the NW with some shwrs, and LER (some mix possible).

1.1” here no thunder or heavy rain

2.12” with a little more to my south

Heavier red stuff moving up from the south. May be our noon time/early afternoon potential thunder-banger...