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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Baum replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
You might get another inch of fluff tomorrow night. Typical mid January vibes. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
1800 is 6pm. 1800z minus 5 hours is 1300z or 1:00 pm, no? That’s the way I thought it worked with Zulu time…you minus 5 hrs from it is what I was told during EST. So thats incorrect? If it is what am I missing? If you don’t minus the 5hrs, then obviously it’s 6:00 pm. -
What's the thought about Friday afternoon/evening up around where I am in Beech? I'm supposed to fly home to Bristol (and drive home to Beech) Sat, but it's almost certain that wouldnt happen. So, I'm likely changing to try to come home Friday. I don't want to attempt that if there's also a chance of issues in CLT, TRI or driving home. I'm torn. And if I wait till after Sat, only the good lord knows when I'd get back.
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Same thing Euro AI shows, and it’s a freakin’ animal. A sub 1000 Miller A over snowpack with blocking? Jan. 2000 stuff. I couldn’t even imagine the 25th modeling panning out and getting this 4 days later. God knows we deserve it. .
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
WinstonSalemArlington replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That would be good. -
Nervous about what? There is virtually zero chance this misses your subforum. Just because you may not get the 48" you crave, please dont ruin it for the rest of the forum. These guys have waited an eternity for a forum-wide warning type event.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/23 - 1/31
NJwx85 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
It’s actually been a decent winter for snow. But there’s no point in it being cold if it’s not going to snow. Cold and dry like the next few days are the worse in my opinion. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
If it starts looking like a very big threat, maybe we will do a New England radio show. -
BZ is dropping, but so is kp.
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Worried about the GFS being right? Looking for a suppressed mess?
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
127 mph….even worse. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It’s good to see Coastal rallying. ”Don’t let us win tonight”… you get one and the outlook changes. -
Nice, that’ll keep our chances coming.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Ha, right? 100mph at -46F is a trip. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Maybe you should do a radio show, That's usually a KOD. -
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Detroit is at 25.5" to date (avg to date 19.2"), total seasonal avg around 43"...in 2013-14 it was a record 94.9". Again definitely not as severe but the constant arctic winds and drifting snow is definitely a reminder! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Fields27 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
IIRC models bullseyed the DC Baltimore and west area up until maybe 24hrs then the nam led the way with the N shift. Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
MAG5035 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Early 0z stuff, regular NBM vs v5 NBM (newer version thats suppose to be fully operational in the spring). This has improved a tad for PA in the last couple runs. Right now I’m more watching this just for changes in the axis of the swath of heaviest snows vs any kind of amounts. But those kind of heavier amounts this far out is definitely a pretty strong signal considering the array of products that make up those NBM blends. -
Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
MillvilleWx replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is what I told my Dad. Cautiously optimistic, but not completely in the fully sold category. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/23 - 1/31
hudsonvalley21 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
How much for Philly -
WHY DOES THE EURO ONLY GIVE ME FREEZING RAIN? WHY CAN’T IT BE LIKE THE GFS SOLUTION? WHY?
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Wow ukmet ensembles definitely increased for 18z compared to 12z!!
