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  2. ICON still nothing outside of some snow showers. We are going to need a miracle tomorrow to get anything more than a dusting to an inch
  3. Christmas does look warm. But I love weak La-Nina winters. It's typically cold on the east coast.
  4. 14 days out - plenty of time to turn around. I remember not long ago the GFS and Euro showing 50’s and 60’s for thanksgiving a week out and look how that turned out.
  5. I’d say 10-25% chance someone pulls a 6.. most likely right now in central jersey, Trenton NJ to right over our favorite police officers backyard looks like the sweet spot
  6. The mountain folks are going to be insufferable after this.
  7. This one’s not ours. Time to face the music. It’s a Philly-NYC event.
  8. Latest NBM still suggests a general 1-3" across much of the region. Go with it for now. If there is meso banding that produces locally higher amounts, that won't be resolved until closer to game time.
  9. Gleaming what I saw from Eric Webb's latest tweets things get more favorable right after New Years, is there any possibility this is one of those hostile patterns that entrench themselves in a way where it takes ~3 weeks to undo the damage to snow prospects? It just seems that if the metros can score 2-3" of cumulative snowfall in the first half of December then statistically we shouldn't be facing a potential dead ratter rest of the season.
  10. maybe i'm off, but at a shot at warning totals on s coast/cape, somewhere? lol just looking over 12-18z. yeah sst's play a part so the immediate coast is toast
  11. December 11th and we have already measured roughly 33% of the seasonal snowfall at the Mt Mansfield plots. I know I harp on this, but I think the measured part is important when comparing years. If it’s not measured, but eyeballed, guessed, estimated… it’s hard to compare year to year. It becomes more vibe based, than data based. Both methods can tell a story, but this season being at 30+% of annual measured snow (in a controlled manner) is incredible to me… as someone who’s personally been involved in the process for almost 20 years now. This isn’t a marketing ploy. The various data points support it. Last year at this time the FourRunner Quad had been running for exactly one week. This year it’s been 3+ weeks of deep, skier supporting natural snowpack.
  12. Don't be disappointed when this thing fizzles to just about a nothing burger in some spots to a 2" max in the places that get it "good".
  13. Thats quite a snow band, it’s actually reaching the whole way over through Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn in NYC where OKX has a special weather statement out for a dusting to an inch.
  14. Or just one day of 70 before strong fropa, succeeding a week of 50s
  15. Currently in that narrow band. Jersey City Heights 10 PM
  16. Got some light flakes here in Knoxville (Inskip neighborhood).
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