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HRRR has been trending SW with the convection tonight keeping even SW CT out of the game, lol.

Another week and we have...NFL FOOTBALL!!!! Bring it.

WTF is with Holliday? Horrible error last night that contributed to a loss and now a boneheaded decision when he was in scoring position.

O’s. Albernaz is awful.

Unfortunately another inch of boring rain /downpour incoming here with no lightning except what is seen over NW CT

LOL Rockies tied it in the 9th. Orioles still are who we thought they were.

I understand that has happened in the past, but I would still prefer a +PDO in east-based Nino. Remember that correlates with warm water in the GOA and off the West Coast. PDO is further west than east-based Nino position, and doesn't necessarily only fuel it. It can shift things a bit west if strong enough Some of the east-based Nino composite is warm in the NE because of +NAO (which is a more random part - if anything warmer 10mb in +ENSO may slightly favor -nao over a large enough sample). Jan 1998 is an anomaly, but I'm willing to say if that upper latitude pattern happens 10 times in east-based Nino it's cold in the east 8/10. Some times things just don't line up like they usually do. See Dec 2022 and March 2023 as 2 good examples of that. It's only because the correlation isn't 100%.

Anything for tomorrow ? .

Anyone take a look at lapse rates? It also had decent inflow off of peak warm gulf waters. .

Wagons SW again overnight?

High of 97. Dew point high of 85. Feels like high of 127. I am so over this crap and we still have at least 2 more days of this.

Yes it’s been a dry six hours. I was starting to worry.

96 here today with 105 heat index, MLI hit 95 for the 2nd day in a row.

Orioles still struggling to score more than a couple runs, even against the worst team in baseball. If they lose this game that Cowser robbery the other night doesn't mean shit. Not sure how they are going to win important series against the better competition going forward.

Honda clearing on auto thermometer accuracy, no surprise there

Cue the snarky data centers comments on Jay’s Wintry Mix page

The way it completely sidestepped you and IAD was very Stephens City.

You have to wonder if it rains at all tonight/tomorrow

My high was 82.

0.00”

It will be interesting to see how the negative PDO interacts with the east based nino. Historically east based isn’t good for us, especially if the PDO is positive because too strong of a GOA low would flood the continent with mild air cutting off any polar flow. How will the negative PDO interacts with that is the big question. GOA low still amplified with a stronger jet further north? Or weaker and further west low that allows polar air to move south? I think we’re in uncharted territory and the analogs can only do so much here.

Couldn’t you say that about every tropical system though? And the brown ocean effect here was what supposedly kept the circulation intact, enhanced the rain that this speaks to. So this is saying the storm caused the brown ocean effect but how was it able to sustain long enough for that to happen? Also, surface temps (and what the rain water temp would be) during the heaviest rainfall were in the mid to upper 70’s, below what would be sufficient for tropical processes. This to me is lazy. There are other processes here

Tor warning too. They likely issued it for the dangerous winds as I doubt there is notable rotation or any form for concern from the MCS. Now its caught up with another mcs moving slow over Baden. The blowoff from that immense MCS is causing a blob of light to mod rain that will reach me shortly as its darkening. This explosive convection is gnarly.

CLIFTON’S CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR AUGUST 2026. Records began in 1973. The average temperature was 75.9 degrees which is 2.2 degrees above the 54 year average. The highest temperature was 95 degrees set on the 7th, the lowest temperature was 60 degrees set on the 29th. Precipitation totaled 7.02″ which war the 8th wettest since my records began. CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR THE SUMMER MONTHS OF 2026 The average temperature was 75.4 degrees which was 2.4 degree above normal and was the 9th warmest summer. Precipitation totaled 19.31″ and was the 6th wettest since my records began.