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  2. We need to switch the pattern to have rain on weekdays and gorgeous fall weather on weekends
  3. Warm season after +ENSO.. This is all El Nino minus all La Nina analogs since 1948 +8 months.. global warming has little to do with this. What a strong correlation (Summer 2027)!
  4. ^Yeah, nice post, I've been pointing out how the +AO has been following warm season 2024 and 2025, after the Solar Max. Your graph shows those 3 strong + periods. Summer 2018 too, that was followed by the most CONUS -PNA El Nino on record 18-19.
  5. It's been a pleasant stretch of 60s-70s the past few weeks. This morning was definitely the coldest with 37 degrees otw to work. Looking towards winter, CLE did a great write up on last winter. Definitely was one of the better ones compared to the past 5 years or so. https://www.weather.gov/media/cle/Winter 2025-2026.pdf
  6. Starting to wonder how much of that can be attributed to the AO which has been mainly positive for several months. Think that stubborn ridge that's been east of Japan has some relation to that at least.
  7. We should see a steep dropoff in the 2030s. The leveling has been upheld by -H5 in the warm season pretty much every year since 2016 except for 2019. Two strong correlations that I wonder if they will change if the arctic ice starts melting exponentially again: -PDO CONUS precip July-Aug, substantially above since 2017.
  8. That’s interesting that it dropped slightly. But it’s still a record high back to 1979 for AS. For all bimonthlies, the record high is 2.9 (AM of 1983).
  9. We're gonna see some wild weather this winter and then next summer will be a disaster.
  10. Yeah could be a prolific rain maker as it comes east. Direct moisture inflow from very hot gulf.
  11. Almost every single Giants game this year has been played in the rain. This Sunday in DC should be no exception.
  12. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  13. Weren’t the remnants of Ida pretty bad in the MA? She’s been, but we have a rule where birthday plans are nonnegotiable. I’ve hopped on flights around my birthday to leave her behind for chases. I guess the bill is coming due. Literally and figuratively.
  14. TD 9 was designated by the NHC at 5:00 PM. Currently a high altitude G-IV mission is underway sampling along the Gulf Coast and SE. That new data should be ingested into the 00Z of dynamical models.
  15. Introduce her to the thrill of hurricane force winds and sideways rains.
  16. Yeah the feast or famine rain over the summer did not help. A lot of what has changed around Grandfather has quickly gone dull and falling off fast. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk
  17. Wasn’t our last tropical impact by isaias?
  18. The only hurricane chance in two years…and it falls right around my wife’s birthday. Can’t make it up.
  19. Without hope of what? Re: the chart - that's only for electricity production. Now do *all* energy, and in nominal not percentage terms, which is what really matters. I'll start with coal, the use of which isn't actually going down:
  20. Wow did the -PDO come back Check out the differences in the Pacific between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres
  21. This system has escalated quite a bit from what the original thinking was. Definitely some potential for a strong hurricane especially in the middle of the gulf
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