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6z GEFS was a beauty. Most of northern East TN in the 6+ mean. Some huge dogs showing 20"+ skewing it some though.

you should start the weekend storm thread ASAP not just because of the snow threat BUT also the incredible arctic airmass that will be in place starting later this week through the weekend.....

Ben Noll being optimistic now lol

Yeah it’s a wet snow but drier than I thought. If that makes sense.

Taking my 2.5” from overnight with a smile. (That’s what she said?)

Unfortunately, that's the whole list from 1950-present.

Last night around 1am And today now that we’re getting some blue sky .

I read that way to fast just now I thought that said your son is 71 Lmfao need more coffee

My dad got a better view over in Wisconsin .

@The 4 Seasons 1.3" in the morning and 2.6" last night. 3.9" total. (just a trace on Saturday after sunset)

You got your snow last week. Time to let someone else in on the aciton

This would actually make sense. I've been watching winter storms forecast across the mid-south turn into Kentucky maulers (80% of the time) for over 50 years now.

Holy Crap!! I Almost Jacked!! I ALMOST Jacked!! 7"!! MOST SNOW I’ve Seen since February of 2022! And of COURSE I was Home almost 2 1/2 Months just waiting for Snow, get Screwed like I’ve never been screwed time after time, and Now I LEAVE to LA Tomorrow! Can Only Enjoy 36 Hours of this. WTF. 15.25” Season.

@high risk would have a better explanation, but usually if the models are struggling with surface temps while everything else looks normal, it is something to do with how they are implementing approximations via a boundary layer scheme. Global and regional models simply can't calculate everything, so you effectively end up with little "models" inside of models. Models have always struggled with how to calculate the mixing and radiative transfer near the surface in stable conditions. The Euro is handling this poorly, which is how you get a minus teens forecast for parts of Virginia next week, which is not going to happen. I think it is even struggling with temps in the pre-storm period on Saturday, given the much colder surface temps than the GFS despite only 1° difference at 925mb. I'd just be cautious with any surface temp output from the Euro right now.

That weekend storm is got me licking my chops! .

Nice. Barely a dusting here.

Is your tank outside? Heat tape on the oil line(s) might help. Mine is in the basement with the line going into the top and not all the way down. I have to watch my gauge 'cause at 1/4 I'm out.

You're referring to the 06Z EPS that was shown earlier? I agree. I made these comments earlier, but (1) it stops at 144-h, and I don't think that's the entire storm and (2) to me, it appeared that the max snow area actually widened or expanded. Either way, yeah, one could argue that the axis shifted a bit south but right now it's mostly noise.

@The 4 SeasonsHad 2” Saturday. 3.75” yesterday(1.25” in the morning, and 2.50”last night).

I think I’m still more concerned about suppression so I think I agree with you. My scenarios are good snowstorm, whiff south and something light, and snow -> way too icy. No idea how I’d weigh each option but finding it hard to see is getting skunked

Last burst on Cape overlooking Nantucket sound ~ 9AM

4.25 as of now but im guessing you got the extra 1/4 in the last hour

If anyone has any snowfall totals for Jan 18th ONLY, let me know, ill be doing maps for yesterdays system. These are the snowfall totals for the Jan 17th over performer. This only for the Saturday Jan 17th event Thanks to everyone who sent me reports, they were useful and i tried to include most of them if they could fit. You can always find all these maps along with CT and SNE here Lower Northeast Tri-State Area

6z Euro was just a thing of beauty (except for the ice). How it unrolls the Baja low is almost perfect with how it has the shortwave moving through the Dakotas. There is going to be ice somewhere though. I think that is unavoidable with an overrunning setup.