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Agreed. The duration of cold and snow cover making it feel like a real classic winter as long as we just put our phones down and take it all in. I’d give it a B- at least. But based on vibes and tracking, I feel last winter was more fun.

We can... but it doesn't mean "We do"

I don’t think we’re gonna crack freezing here. 31.4 and hasn’t moved in an hour

Just stick to the larger cities.

The higher ratios helped us out this winter with our snows since we have been continuing with this drier pattern since the fall of 2024.

To each …… his own …... As always …. .

Pretty snowy EPS run overall. Has more chances after the 16th too. Mean is double digits across a lot of New England. It’s not a frigid pattern but it’s just not submitting to the classic Feb Niña torch idea that has been an instinct to gravitate towards for many of us Mets. It’s a real struggle to get sustained large positive departures on these runs. You’ll see a run or two that starts to look like that but then it disappears the next run or even on the same run it can’t last more than a day or two. The in-situ blocking seems to dominate us locally while the plains have an easier time getting big warmth.

Seeing the EPS mean is reassuring. The op runs can be expected to windshield wiper around the ensemble means, as they trend closer to the final solution, which we will have a better idea by Wednesday Upon closer inspection, EPS (and AI EPS) has reversed its weakening trend and re-strengthens the s/w on approach. Hudson bay high and confluence also stronger, better cold air mass. New run: Old run:

Don, what would be the one before 1982? Just wondering.

Of course it's a week away so we can hope that the high pressure won't be retreating as much as the current models show. Euro right now is showing a front end of a few inches and then a mix changing to rain. The position of the high pressure will be critical and we have a long way to go to figure that out.

The 12z CMC Ensembles with a huge increase for next weekend.

January 24-February 8, 2026 is on track to record a 16-day mean temperature below 20° in Central Park. The last time that happened was outside the life span of many AmWx members: January 11-26, 1982.

East River Mtn. Roof of the Tennessee Valley, sheltered hollows below it neared -20F last week. Lake Witten (Tazewell): Clinch River (New Garden): Clinch (Blackford Bridge) Upper Clinch (Near Swords Creek) Heck of a cold spell, been quite a show. The freezing has been impressive with even a snowpack on Witten! I'm not quite ready to let go of winter but I figure we could all use a break. Hoping for some upper 50s for a nice winter hike. Now on the other hand If we do score some marginal mid Feb winter wx in the window Carver is watching it will be the most impressive month long span of true winter in my memory. Flurries in Honaker, 27F.

Those southern and eastern outliers have the mean further SE than would otherwise be the case.

Snowman19 waiting for a Metfan post to weenie.

ICON got worse

Billerica proved that lol

Wish we could see this into March,us severe nerds would be getting excited..lol

Plenty of spread but def a lot more potent than yesterday

He doesn’t even like the euro anymore

And WV

That's true. Don't get me wrong, forecasts have improved enormously over the years but still far from perfect. You would think they would keep improving but it seems like performance plateaued a while ago. We haven't improved much at all in the past ten years. I've heard that they predicted the 1993 storm of the century like a week out but obviously that was an exception in those days.

For those like me who also enjoy cold for its own sake, this winter is producing. Not truly wall-to-wall because we did have some legit warm periods around Christmas and in early January, but the cold period starting at Thanksgiving that lasted until 12/15 or so was legit. The little cold snap around New Years was nice, and of course the current cold period has been more than legit. I also loved the little appetizer around Veteran's Day. 34.0/2.7.

It's OP regular cousin gives people an inch or so in areas... 2" for some lucky few. Dry for others

Actually, I appreciate your honest response, but it just ruined my birthday, and yes, I might need some mental help soon. I could have stayed in Arizona after my mom passed, in a beautiful ranch duplex, in a suburb of Phoenix, but I've been told over and over by the wife that if I did that, our marriage would be over. So I sold, and back to PA I came. And now look at me. A borderline ranting lunatic because of the excessive cold, which I hate with an unbridled passion. Like I said, I can handle normal eastern PA winters, with cold periods interrupted by moderations and thaws. This I can't.