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Got a moderate, albeit very fine flake, snow going on here. Everything is coated/covered again, including the main roads.

Edit...the GFS does the same stuff w/ the Baja. I would expect that they are reasonably similar at this range. I gotta think that kicks in reality or slowly comes out in pieces...but sitting and spinning doesn't make much sense.

Nice little stat line. Definitely helps it finally feel like winter again.

Very strong signals this far out. Cold appears to be in place before the storm arrives. I doubt the wide spread foot of snow across the carolinas verifies but 3-5 inches feels like a good bet

I want to say 2019 or 2020, it was 2 systems over 4 days and the first one started off as all ice and sleet then changed over to snow. That Bottom layer was 1.5” of ice with another 2” of snow on top of it, second system dropped 2.5-3” of snow with a little bit of sleet as well. Roads were frozen solid for a week straight. Kids were out of school for 8 days

It's def picking up on the overrunning though. I'm thinking its suppression bias due to overdoing the cold dome is in play right now but we'll see.

It's right there in my location, right to the left of this post haha. Whitestone

The 18z AIGFS looks nothing like 12z models(other than itself) at 500. Feedback IMHO w/ the Baja. I thought the high blocked it, but it looks like its usual error that its had all winter.

Storm blows IMO.

I lol'd

Radar has boomed i see gravity waves

Not sure anyone here is trusting it?

Got a dusting at lake Anna. Looks like I might catch a little extra snow shower based on the radar before it’s all done.

in case anyone is interested in ai/machine learning and basic wx prediction. you don't need a 256 GPU cluster to get going

Radar looks pretty good to the SW

AI GFS is less suppressed than its 12z run.

I mean we don't really know that quite yet...gotta see where the weekend thing goes.

Great little afternoon duster. I’m good with any snow and all snow. Sidewalks and streets definitely caving, but the JI back end is near.

At this stage I'd say storm sign is there and let's focus on ensembles, these runs are definitely going to change North and south this far out, but signal looks great.

That 850mb fronto band really bringing the goods further NW into Berks/Lehigh. Folks already got another inch this round

Sorry You didn't get your 4 inches!!! Blame it on the goofy Euro!

TWC app actually shows snow Saturday and sunday with estimated amounts. It never calls for snow this far out lol.

Yeah plus the old gfs has nothing north of VA

Temperature finally dropping here as the snow picks up some in intensity. 33.1