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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Got a nice bike ride in along the lakefront after work, so nice
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It's in old weather Coop Data but seems to not be there anymore for some reason. Don't know why it was taken off or discontinued. I took and overlapped of the '78 storm with '26 and even though areas in a relatively narrow band got 30"+ from this to the southeast, it appears that '78 still has a deeper and larger swath over a greater area.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Malacka11 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I think honest to jah I'm on the Alek train of just wanting interesting weather and then maybe tack on a white Christmas being mandatory for an A winter even if it's unreasonable -
This year blows 03 away
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Oh wow do you have the link for that measurement by any chance? The map that I saw only had a 20" over Seekonk so that's surprising to me. But even with 27" in 1978, this one still had more. I measured 31" IMBY in a very flat spot on my sidewalk with no drifting so I'd say that it's pretty accurate.
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Yeah they said they was changing it i think in Jan but they didnt show the intensity levels,thanks for posting this
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Oh absolutely. SEMA in particular. I mean, technically I'm in SEMA but I'm right on the RI border so in general I have RI's climo more than SEMA which has more ocean influence and therefore more severe coastals than most of RI.
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I'm at 11" here. Only 3 of the last 20 winters I've been in WV have had less snow than that in an entire season. I'm with you on the heating bills, but I still love the cold.
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
Greg replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
A good 40 to nearly 50 miles south of it appears to be what the observational consensus appears to be right now. -
OH yeah..ha right. 6 times then. Forgot about 2015.. although I thought that 2 foot but meh close enough Definitely an uptick in the frequency of big dawgs compared those previous decades though. man
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Same here. We’ve been stuck between 48-50 all day Picked up an additional 0.07” since yesterday with light drizzle continuing
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warm ground and daytime=white rain
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Roger that, but a robust snowpack will greatly help up my way, as the snow melts into the ground slower with less runoff, unless hvy rns hit. A better help for the abnormally dry conditions here, and wells don't go dry, or at least not too low. You end up with more sediments then.
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mid month April here usually unless it's a big torch like March 2012
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GFS drops a solid inch Sunday!
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Nina though. Ninos are usually warmish.
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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I wouldn't worry about it.. Florida got 10" of snow last Winter. It snowed there again this Winter. -
Beware that there are hints in the guidance, mainly in the ECMWF and its AI version, of some back door cold front action during that period.
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I would hope that's the case, or we are fucked.
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Euro AIFS/op are snowy late next week.
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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Pretty close to before. 09-10 was the most -NAO Winter on record, since the 1800s. We are in a little deeper -PDO now. -
More Ninas! Rarely cold enough to snow here in Ninos anymore, although I would roll the dice with another 2009-10 type deal. Hopefully see we the combo of a severe -AO/NAO with a Modoki Nino again. Would be interesting to see what the results would be now.
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Chris78 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Rgem has snow moving into the area overnight Monday into Tuesday as the run ends -
Forecast for Thursday to Saturday looks brutal for Jay Peak. Wow figures my son flys in from Florida at the absolute worst time all winter to ski.
