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Weirdly it doesn't.
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ORH was -4.8. Coldest since 2017. 2nd coldest (only behind 2017) since the frigid December 2000. 12.3” of snow was slightly BN. Respectable month but would’ve been better if we hit on another moderate event. Snow cover was good though. I think something like 25/31 days with cover.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It’s only 19° and windy, but it didn’t feel too bad in the sun! -
The next big snow within driving distance will be my next chase. I NEED SNOW lol
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
TheSnowman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Unlike YOU All, I'm up till 4, wake up at 12. Not to mention I had to drive home on bad roads from 12:30-2am last night from my gig. I Catch the fun at night, but I Sleep through any morning event. I Missed it all, but the Total was 2.25" so OBVIOUSLY You guys overhyped these bands like crazy as I'm finding out All morning. -
Something to do as we wait
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
tamarack replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Biggest snowfall that month was 1.9" on 2-3, at temps 10-12 below zero. Farther north, CAR got no snow but had their 2nd coldest daily max with -15/-28. Just had a quick squall, visibility briefly under 100 yards. It's letting up but might approach the forecast 0.5". -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
TheSnowman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It Didn't Will. My Grand Total was 2.25". Let alone each squall. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Some years ago, I did a three day weekend in Redfield at a resort for cross-country skiing called Salmon Hills. It was late season, but there was a a lot of snow on the ground and some good lake affect falling. Very fun and very wilderness feeling. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
NAO may never fully go + for 1 and 2.. there’s 2-3 possible snow/ wintry threats thru day 10. I don’t agree of mid Jan being a torch at all -
we're analyzing h5 from different operational runs at 10+ days out lol
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Celebrate the Perihelion on Saturday and sunrise starts getting earlier. Back is creaking.
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I woke up so late hard to know for sure here. Going .25” bc that’s the highest I found but other areas had closer to a half inch but may have been wind blown
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Heavy virga
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
weathafella replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I recall him say the pattern becomes problematic after the first week of January. -
12/31-1/1 Possible Snow Showers/Squalls to Start 2026
mappy replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
Cleaned up driveway and a good .25 in sheltered spots -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
TheSnowman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I missed this one Today Sleeping. I Missed That one being in LA. And I LOVE Squalls. So Great. A Total S**t Start to the year to continue from the beginning of winter, to go along with the 5th STORM IN A ROW Northeast RI gets Less than most everyone. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I've been in a step back orbital perspective on matters as of late. It's almost like these mid winter dildo smacks upside the head are really like taking a canonical January thaw, and stretching to 5 weeks. Almost symbolically... but could be argued in more practical reality, too. I can't ...well, I'm not prepared at this time to say that's en route again, but we're staring down the barrel of a warm up that seems to be getting sturdier in the guidance, while planning ... perhaps "hoping" being more apropos, that it is prelude to a -EPO--> +PNA correction later on. But having the last 9 or 10 seasons of fuck ups in mind isn't lending much confidence that all that will really sort out in our favor. In fact, the GFS out to 360+ hours is trying to skip the latter correction aspect - trying to. I dunno, you tell me. I'm fighting the urge to bring up the January sputtering prediction I made back in September. Admittedly, it was half glib at the time. Sort based upon (last decade of mid seasons)+(CC sarcasm)/2 ... so doesn't really count as 'in the race' with other more constructive seasonal forecast ... LOL no. but still, what the fuck I know I come off as heavy handed about y'all taking too much emotional/dopa hit reliance on this shit, but in all honesty, I don't want sit through the next 67 days of no reason to check in at all. ha -
MHT closed out Dec -6.1F/17.9" snow. CON -5.2F/12.7" snow. MHT seems total seems little high but they have an on-site observer last I knew. Respectable month though for SNH despite the missed opportunities.
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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
Weatheriscool replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Another soaker run on the GFS for the region -
Hopefully it verifies.. it’s been too cold.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
The cold first week in January. There still could be two light snow threats as well this coming week. He had a post saying pretty much there is no cold in sight in January. I disagree, yes we can all agree on week 2. -
2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I agree regarding the TNH+ and NAO. However, at least as far as January is concerned (1980-2025), the NAO was < 0 on 63% of days when the EPO was < 0. Since 2015, that figure was 72%. A larger period beyond January 1-31 is likely involved in the linkage between EPO- and NAO+. -
12/31-1/1 Possible Snow Showers/Squalls to Start 2026
Wxtrix replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
the first one was about 45-60 minutes before the line came through and the second one was after we'd settled back to sleep after the squall, lol. Martinsburg gusted to 43. -
December 2025 Avg max: 26.5 -4.2 Mildest: 49, 19th Avg min: 6.8 -6.6 Coldest: -18, 9th Mean: 16.7 -5.3 3rd coldest (#1: '17, #2: '13) Precip: 3.85" -0.98" Wettest: 1.26", 19th Snow: 22.4" +3.0" Biggest: 8.0", 24th Deepest pack: 10" 24, 25 2025 YEAR Avg max: 52.24 -0.35 Hottest: 92, 6/24 and 8/12. Tied for hottest in June, hottest day in August. Avg min: 31.54 +031 Coldest: -19, 2/2 7th year w/o -20 or colder (Also, 3rd year bottoming at -19.) Mean: 41.96 +0.05 (Some illogic, can't find why.) Coldest year since 2019. Precip: 37.22" -11.61" 2nd driest year, only 2001 had less. Wettest day: 1.53" 9/25. 9 of 12 months were BN. Snow (calendar year) 70.0" -18.8" Biggest: 12/24 2025 had perhaps the fewest of standout events of our 27 full years here. No double-digit snows, no 2"+ rains, the fewest days with thunder (5, previous low was 8, average is 15), no especially heavy winds. Ironically, the only real standouts were the hot days in June and August, especially the heat wave of August 11-13, only the 2nd one here - in the coldest year of the most recent 5. The very low precip doesn't fit my idea of "event" - more like watching grass grow. Fortunately, we had no problems with our shallow dug well, though the garden suffered, as my late-June total knee replacement hindered my ability to overcome the lack of rain.
