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What can possibly go wrong? We got the right model on our side!

Nice call the other day Kevin. 82 here. I forecast low 70s

Looks like a cold frontal passage with limited moisture-we are starting to get out of the season of stratiform rains. Too bad it was a holiday weekend but we really needed that big dump back then

The lawns here are very noticeably browning. However, all the ensembles are spitting out an average of 2.5+" of rain over the next two weeks, which should hold off any drought for a while.

i got you beat. 41 degree rise (48 to 89), although my wx station runs a couple degrees high in the sun

CMC and AIFS have pretty much nothing, icon too

Anyone that's under a CB negative CAPE is probably getting a 1/2" or more in 20 minutes, tho. Regionally? doesn't look like a soaker for now but there's a couple days

ha... no one is "using" anything. understood - that's not the purpose of the post.

This is for 276 hr. One should not be using 2m temps from any model that far out as they are subject to large errors that do not have to do anything w/ the forecast limitations of beyond day 6-7, but the fact 2m temps are not MOS adjusted/calibrated.

Not much rain coming Sunday. Steiny def setting in for places that missed the rain last weekend

12z Euro showing a real return to summer starting middle of next week... upper 90s and low 100s

Torch !!!!!

The problem is that the front has trended faster, so it’s increasingly likely that it moves though during the unfavorable time of day.

I see the Euro now doesn't give us much rain on Sunday. This drought is just gonna get worse over the next couple weeks. I hope it turns around during the summer.

82/44 Dry toast.

Toasty Euro run

79/42 A 40-degree diurnal rise day off 39F.

yeah by like 5 second a day at first

2:45 pm and it's 79/47. Humidity at 33%. Amazing for June.

80/48

That’s the biggest difference I see and that kind of brings us into the summer vibe.

Or at least if/when there are post BDs or N-door boundaries regionally we're going back to 72s instead of 49s yup.

Looking like a lock that most area's receive < 1" precip from now through mid month. Best shot of any precip comes sunday but the timing is looking poor. Maybe some showers but not the best set up for convection despite the frontal passage. After that looks like another week of bone dry.