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Euro needs to join the party.
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Storm potential January 18th-19th
Franklin0529 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Yes!! Some really strong members. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
wxsniss replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Lagging vorticity I was referring to was here... this could be feedback from the line of convection sweeping off southeast coast, I'm not sure as 6z GFS hinted at this too, but it disrupts much better cyclogenesis. Otherwise, we'd have a huge hit. -
Yessir!!!!
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Boston Bulldog replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Longitudinal trends on this will be driven by trough dynamics rather than downstream features -
Well that a lil better !! I'll have to get the real potent coffee in the morning !!
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Go to bed happy now.
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Storm potential January 18th-19th
WeatherGeek2025 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
does it show a stronger storm? -
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
radarman replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Precursor advy event for the interior still there as well -
Hey at least it runs a half hour earlier now, lol
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Wow that is an improvement over 18z GEFS!!
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
rimetree replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Probably some shuffling back and forth with so much time left. The last few years of coastal failures have left me a bit skeptical. If it looks similar in 24 hours then maybe we're out of the woods with the 'what can go wrong will go wrong' feeling. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
WeatherGeek2025 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
no high to our north or east, this could trend another 50-100 miles west -
Is that gulf moisture trying to connect to pacific ?
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Oh crap. After seeing the GFS.. now I gotta wait up for the euro lol.. looks like I'll be groggy at work tomorrow!!! Ahh the pains of being a weather nut!!!
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Well, well, well. Would you look at that, the wind is back, shocking! Currently 35.8/27.9 with WNW 11 gusting 24 mph. Had a shower a while ago, but maybe 0.01 to 0.02 fell.
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Yup! The GEFS members are clustered well southwest of both 18z and 12z and precipitation is also much further west. Interestingly the mean trof position isn't improved.
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
Harry Perry replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Interestingly enough, there are many of these lake effect streamers even over here that are stacking up. About 1.5” here and still coming down pretty good with the radar only showing this. -
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About a 3 inch mean here on the GEFS. Not too shabby
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Some of those panels have rain pretty far inland
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Storm potential January 18th-19th
Franklin0529 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like it gets here. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
60F ...but we should see some flakes flying this weekend regardless.
