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  2. Yeah, I mean, it was such a meager “event” to begin with, I don’t think anyone is losing a ton of sleep over it. I would have been thrilled with 3-4” but tonight’s runs are showcasing that unless you are on the cape, Good luck with accumulating snow
  3. All the local folks I talk to say this start to winter has been wild. We're over 40" on the season now. Hovering around 10 degrees with -SN.
  4. Why are we posting mesoscale models when they're useless more than 48 hours out?
  5. See you when a threat actually comes. This is toast.
  6. I’m in Journal Square in Jersey City and the tiny band packed a punch, the squalls were something else!!! .
  7. The positive tilt of the trough and having it consistently pressing southeast at the same time is giving me Bruce Willis storm vibes. Where the low levels just try to suck the moisture out of the air even if things look decent at H6-7
  8. Hrm...sometimes the stubborn GFS 48 hrs away ends up being annoyingly right and sometimes it looks dumb--a legit 50/50 in either direction, I'd wager!
  9. the GFS just has to be tossed assuming the ECMWF holds steady. it is awful with these anafront type systems and is almost always too progressive with them we’re still on track for plowable snowfall in the metro IMO
  10. Light snow falling at the house on the Ring Cam! Great pattern for the ski resorts in the Mid Atlantic.
  11. Nice hit for the cape on the CMC. Cutback everywhere else though, definite slide SE
  12. It’s all alone. So probably lean away from it
  13. Even the AI gfs is more robust. Gfs is lost.
  14. It’s truly crazy. I can’t think of any other way to describe it. Thinking we might very likely be shut out of snow here this month. That is likely a terrible sign for the rest of the winter. It was actually cold enough to snow this month, it just couldn’t happen though. Always need a bit of luck down here on the coast. But each year that we don’t get a KU, we need more and more luck to get something because of how much the base state has warmed. The 2010s winters feel like ages ago now
  15. Got into a nice weenie band tonight. Was dumping. Heaviest ended up to my south where my persistent banding was but I think I should manage to get in the 2-3in range. Hoping Sat will be more spread the wealth.
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