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Did not expect this level of mild to start the day. Feels outstanding outside.

Additional sites will be: Germantown, Gaithersburg, Chevy Chase, and Laytonsville. While these stations are more compact in size, and therefore able to fit in more urban locations, the limiting factors are: available land partners, cell reception, and open sky for accurate wind measurements and solar charging of batteries.

Wait till it’s gone on the 12z and a SER is there.

A nice January thaw day on the way although a bit breezy with highs well into the 40's. Even better weather tomorrow with sun and less wind. Shower chances increase Friday and into Saturday which will mark the end of our very brief milder period. We turn back to colder during the day Sunday and we should see normal January temperatures returning for much of next week. We may also start to see some potential for more wintry weather as we move toward the end of next week.

A nice January thaw day on the way although a bit breezy with highs well into the 40's. Even better weather tomorrow with sun and less wind. Shower chances increase Friday and into Saturday which will mark the end of our very brief milder period. We turn back to colder during the day Sunday and we should see normal January temperatures returning for much of next week. We may also start to see some potential for more wintry weather as we move toward the end of next week.

Suspect the rain will exit stage right well before kick off - bigger deal IMO will be the wind....

That is awesome. Good work to you and @wxmeddler! Any details on locations?

None of this is surprising, it’s pretty much on-brand for a La Nina: the front-loaded cold, the dry air, the snow hole over the mid-Atlantic, etc. If we were seeing lots of Perfect Track Rainstorms like a few years ago I’d be pissed and start talking about “the elephant”, but this winter has been what I expected so far, looking historically. I don’t think we’re done with snow yet anyway.

Yeah my whole driveway was a sheet of ice. My daughter is of the age now at 12 where she wants to walk the bus stop on own ( I'm perfectly fine with that unless it's raining real hard ). But, this morning she took a few steps outside, turned around and asked me if I could drive her to the bus. But of course I couldn't wait with her. I had to just drop her off. She said she had it from there LOL

I think you’re right. Last week, my concern was that our source region really gets scoured out by mild Pacific air and the models are reflecting that. It shouldn’t take long to reload Canada if we get some cross polar flow, but yea, a lot of this will be largely dependent on trapping already marginal cold air and making the environment ripe for stout HPs.

Assuming that’s all falling after D7, that’s basically climo for a 1 week period in mid January.

Yall would have to put our foothills thread on suicide watch if it played out like that lol

this would have been an "ice storm" opportunity if the fall rates were more - tho could argue the length of the event is challenged. There's an established drain/ageo flow ongoing that is just about perfectly balanced against melt layer overrunning aloft. We're glazed to perhaps .1" ... shrub and twigs starting to do that day glow look. Car windows are mottled and there's icicles forming along the edge of the awnings. But the puddles in the salted streets are barely patterning rings. Rad is a bit more robust coming, moving in from the west but it may not last long.

Def. somewhat less snowfall than I expected to this point....was referencing the pattern.

Absolutely. You've done a good job this month.

1/6/25 snowstorm was event of the year and of the decade for me (so far). Really that entire January was good, with snowcover lasting until the end of the month.

I want to file a complaint with the person responsible for the planning...

Temp backing down below 32 here at 31.7

yup...my thoughts exactly.

These CFS ens AAM forecasts are volatile especially for later in the forecast period. So fwiw, the latest forecast mean is the most bullish yet for a rising AAM starting in ~2 weeks and actually going modestly positive (El Nino-like) in ~3 weeks:

1.8" will probably do it. All fluff, no taint

The big ridge out west and trough to the northern gulf will happen, but we have to watch the western Atlantic for too much ridging—speaking for the southern 2/3 of the forum…

Temp has actually dropped a full degree here since 6am. It was about 30.5F and now it’s 29.5F. There’s def a bit of a cold tuck going on with BOS and PVD winds out of NNW