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Early predictions : 20-30 inches in DC (normal amounts 13.7" 30-40 inches in Philly (normal amounts 23.1” 35-45 inches in NYC (normal amounts 29.8” slightly above normal temperatures (+1.0°C to +3.0°C) averaged for the season; however, there will be occasional significant Arctic air outbreaks numerous coastal storms leading to above normal snowfall for the season - perhaps even a blockbuster snowstorm or two similar to other very strong El Nino winters (February 1983, January 2016) polar vortex disruptions” and “Sudden Stratospheric Warming” suggests there can be Arctic air outbreaks to deal with; especially, during the second half of the winter.

Seems to be holding steady state in regards to an EWRC. True signature of an intensifying high end TC .

Looks like some inversion issues for us up here.

Should be the coldest night of the fall so far overnight for many, Low to mid 20’s here, Colder up North.

Love getting these Guam reflectivity shots on this monster...

WB 18Z 3K NAM is a tick warmer this run for tomorrow am.

Mayer and Anthony cut from the same cloth.

Afternoon high of 57 IMBY, but it'll go in the books as a midnight high of 60.

Afternoon

Made it to 60 today. Not has cold feeling as I was expecting. Winds were blah too.

No doubt about it. Rain chances for next weekend just fell into death valley. Texas is well west of the Super Nino Moisture Plume. No rain for us throughout the Nino. Southeast will be Waterworld though. Worst drought in Texas history shall have taken place during one of the strongest El Ninos in all of recorded history. We do DRY like a BOSS.

Fall training time for them... hopefully someone doesnt injure his finger like a certain boston hot prospect did...no need to miss much of the plowing season

you have to wonder if places like Wawa should bother opening this season

First of all - El Nino has little to do with warm Halloween vs. cool Halloween. An example would be Halloween 2024 which had highs in the 80's here and it was a neutral Enso - going into a weak La Nina. Secondly I don't see your need to use vulgar language on here.........

Hold on that cant be right...someone here said the threat for a freeze had vanished...

Well at least you can cozy up to an open window this winter with your favorite book.

I find it interesting he doesn't acknowledge his hypocrisy.

Hmmmm mandatory evacuations no big deal right? I agree, most of those homes never should have been built. But here we are. It doesn’t take away from the severity of the event unfolding or its impact. This is the second and likely far most impactful nor’easter of the season and it’s mid October.

How many times in different locations all up and the outer banks has that road been destroyed? Lots. Its a barrier island in some places only yards wide. This isnt something new happening. It happens yearly. For every house you see destroyed, probably 10 more are being built. Ive been going there for decades and in many of these places homes should never have been build at all.

Never heard of this guy. Working his own gig or what?

55 degrees out with a decent wind out if the nnw. With all this weight loss, even with a hoodie I'm freezing! Not used to be cold.

Doesn't quite want to quit here; up to 0.56".

Clearly you do not live on or near the ocean. Allot to see there. Say goodbye to highway 12 on outer banks. I’ll take pics and post from smith point this week of a beach completely obliterated. And this is only the beginning of super charged southern stream storm loaded winter. So imby yourself away .