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  2. T. August
    Agreed… too much smoothing. Almost ensemble-esque
  3. wasnow215
    We will see about that and how the models are handling the low placement etc. Won't know til nowcasting.
  4. Snowncanes
    The RAP dry slot can be seen here. Im not sure I would really buy into that not being moist enough for snow growth. Not sure why there’s that tiny dry pocket either. Maybe a Met could explain better than me. I think the HRRR likely has something similar going on.
  5. ForsythWx
    The “blank canvas” we‘re still operating with going into this snowstorm in Winston-Salem. May be hard to measure!
  6. GBOVolz
    Ground already turning white here in Halls .
  7. Jeff Co Vol
    Now that the event has begun, most everyone has moved to the OBS thread. Link to the OBS thread
  8. RCNYILWX
    Of course not following expectations once we tried to simplify the headlines - good ol' lake effect lol. The good news is that while the lakefront has been mostly whiffed since this morning, there's also lot of people in the nearby suburbs in Cook where it has been snowing hard. Curious to see how tomorrow plays out, with strong convergence but steadily decreasing inversion heights and delta Ts. Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk
  9. Regan
    I missed that. Can you describe what thy said ?
  10. mitchnick
    That seems to be an AI thing. I've been noticing that on a number of both AI runs.
  11. Cary67
    Was in Northbrook most of the day. It was ripping at times. Sad to head back to dust town
  12. stormtracker
    In this famine, I'd take it
  13. Buddy1987
    After the GFS with this last storm, I will find it hard to believe for quite a long time. Trash model.
  14. JACKASS
    Agree, Yesterday morning was the coldest it's been. -10F Plus, I won't have to be out in it heading for work.
  15. Jns2183
    On the negative side we seemed primed to waste the best two weeks of cold in a decade Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  16. T. August
    It precipitates for like 48 hours with no panel getting over .1” lol. Yeah technically it is indeed half an inch of liquid.
  17. Terpeast
    Verification scores coming in for ai-gfs and its ensembles, ai is doing better than their dynamic counterparts. But that’s not saying much. I’d say its middle of the pack on par with op euro and geps, with ai euro leading the pack.
  18. ADB83
    Snowier across the board? .
  19. wncsnow
    New RAP
  20. Jersey_Snowhole
    18z gfs ai says “you think tomorrow is going to be hard to watch you ain’t seen nothing yet”
  21. PackGrad05
    Wral just showed their Barron model and it is much snowier. They said it performed well with the last system. .
  22. Stebaney
    There outer loop I-295 was just completed so there’s that.
  23. Chrisr4419 started following The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
  24. housemtnTN
    Nice snow shower out here right now. Nickel to quarter size flakes.
  25. CentralNC
    Check please!
  26. stormtracker
    Wait, what? And he called that not pretty???
  27. Modfan2
    If that verifies then that’s not too bad; I was -9F here yesterday so as cold as it is now
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