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  2. what am I missing-models don't have much for the coast at least-looks well N and W
  3. Definitely. Though even 1997 and 2015 had much more activity by this point. 97 went on to be one of the quietest years on record but still it's impressive just how little activity there's been at all to this point
  4. Going away to block island next week, hoping it’s not a washout. But I dont love how the models look. Guess I should have figured in what has been a wet summer that it would continue into September.
  5. ^More on this: The very strong Nino seasons of 1982 and 1877 only had 1 TC by Aug 26th. 1965 only had 2. And 2026 so far has been a sig. stronger Nino than these 3. @TheDreamTraveler
  6. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2026-2027-first-forecast-super-el-nino-polar-vortex-snow-cold-united-states-canada-europe-fa/ Winter 2026/2027 First Forecast: Super El Niño Drives a Major Weather Divide
  7. Flash flood watch up for SWCT for about the 10th time this summer.
  8. Could be a decent day north of I-70 into PA. More scattered than isolated wind damage.
  9. That’s the earthquake that caused it all , was originally listed as 4.4 now 5.2.
  10. Yeah GFS and NAM are both showing Passaic as a hit so idk what to believe lol.
  11. AI models are not infallible. Sometimes they can be "blind" until the last minute, as appears to be the case with 96L. https://x.com/yconsor/status/2092682443710923077
  12. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Check this out: https://www.medguideusa.com/guide/nolvadex/ - MedGuideUSA - very detailed.
  13. Today
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Check this out: https://www.medguideusa.com/guide/nolvadex/ - MedGuideUSA - very detailed.
  15. the early afternoon SPC D2 outlook did expand the SLGT somewhat so that it now covers a good sized portion of our area.... still doesn't look like it'll be a particularly high end event, may or may not end up getting a watch out of it tomorrow. But, something to follow.
  16. How far N & W? Like Sparta or Poconos?
  17. I see someone already hinted at CC for that.
  18. But not so crazy for a very strong Nino.
  19. Sometimes the hardest part of reading about past disasters is having enough imagination to truly grasp the power of nature. if you ever were curious about the Johnstown flood than go watch the video coming out today about Glacial damn flood in Nepal and China. Especially the one at the border with giant building that gets engulfed. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  20. Probably not, since the El Nino developed we have seen 7 anomalous-sustained PNA ridges vs 0 troughs. It's usually the other way around. 6 straight months of -PNA, and PNA for Aug looks to be around 0.0.
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