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  2. LakePaste25
    It interferes by *weakening* the SE trough and making it *even warmer* meanwhile a 97-98 type pattern increases the chances of a big snowstorm via the active southern stream. That winter came very close to multiple KUs that barely missed the cold air phase. 82-83/15-16 produced one and had +PDOs as well. In my several years of tracking weather it has always been preferable to have a +PDO and is backed up by evidence. “-PDO means less el niño so it’s snowier” is such a wrong way to view it. You *always* want a +PDO in the East, and hopefully it flips and we get that!
  3. klw
  4. J.Spin
    That’s interesting – so certainly that January storm contributed, but what do you think was the cause of the record overall snow ratio? The ratio of 16.95:1 here at our site wasn’t a record (2020-2021 was 17.25:1), but it was certainly up there – it took second place and was well above the 13.9:1 average. I wonder if ratios were generally high all around NNE this past winter.
  5. SnoSki14
    A +PDO coupled with a super Nino is just 97/98. A -PDO could cause deconstructive interference which makes the pattern much more variable.
  6. MGorse
    A monsoon here! 3.21 inches and still pouring due to training convection.
  7. donsutherland1
    The ongoing super El Niño is approaching historic proportions in ENSO Region 1+2. The anomaly for the week centered around July 30 was +4.1°C. The last time the anomaly was at least as high was the week centered around July 6, 1983 (+4.2°C) as the 1982-83 super El Niño was nearing an end. The record is +4.5°C for the week centered around June 29, 1983.
  8. ineedsnow
    Sun is out now.. lets destabilize a bit
  9. CoastalWx
    It’s a big sash with Steve’s face on a sandbag.
  10. scoob40
    2.14" so far at CEF.
  11. dendrite
    Is there a badge for filling them?
  12. CoastalWx
    Hopefully Ginxy is there with sandbags for them.
  13. CoastalWx
    Pouring now but best stuff a few miles NW.
  14. HIPPYVALLEY
    Some sun breaking through here.
  15. SACRUS
  16. jm1220
    About 2.3” now and more coming in. Will probably break 3”.
  17. Hurricane Agnes
    Looks like the Wissahickon hit bankfull.
  18. frd
    What do you make of this? Notice a tight range for multiple months. Also of note is a deep - NAO now and a rapidly climbing PNA
  19. Damage In Tolland
    Another 4-6” for Yawgoog Boy Scout camp?
  20. CoastalWx
    Windy here. Definitely gusting over 30 from the south.
  21. mahantango#1
    US National Weather Service State College PA The forecast has trended in a very good direction for today and tomorrow! We're still expecting a warmer/wetter pattern for the second half of the week into the weekend.
  22. CoastalWx
    Yeah they’ll be soaked.
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya I’m banking on the next 2 batches to catch up SE areas.
  24. donsutherland1
    Through 9 am, JFK Airport has received 2.05" of rain. That breaks the old record of 1.90" from 1948.
  25. Torchageddon
    Its crazy inner dynamics of scything through its own eye at 10z to work out dry air I guess but that lobe got absorbed back into the eye anyways! Deep convection rebuilding around the careworn eye now and slightly larger.
  26. HoarfrostHubb
    Oh, there will be precip. Just in liquid form
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