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As always this is from a no nothing like me, but I’m kind of throwing in the towel on anything warning level this week. Just seems to be pretty consistent now that it won’t blow up in time or it’s moisture starved

I’d like to see that southern stream energy get absorbed into that northern stream sooner, so we can have that bowling ball mature sooner and be an able to wrap in all that southern energy. If, not we are left with this discombobulated mess of a storm.

What could go wrong?

It’s hilarious that shortwave struggles to generate advisory snow. What a winter.

I think this goes far beyond a lull...this has been a multi year significant snow drought...

Columbia imby 1.11” Jan 9-10.

Storm thread for Thursday/friday going to be meltdown city if it plays out like the overnight runs. Waiting for a changeover from rain….blobby precip field, a few people getting raked while others get flurries…oh man it will be rough.

Euro finally gets close to the GFS and then the GFS looks awful at 6z lol

Looks like maybe a few. Gas up the leaf blower.

Let’s get a 1-3” event

Looks like we can score some goods on storm 1. Cool cool. Let’s reel in that appetizer. Storm 2 though—at the end of the 0z Euro—can’t say I’ve ever seen anything like it. Weenie dreams!! Holy F!

what about the 6Z euro

She gonna come just not big

A 1 county sized jackpot zone surrounded by a 1-3” region the size of Delaware lol

1.91 storm total. Over night runs still lead me to think options are on the table. The official WPC guidance has one day that is mentioned on Friday for the northern mountains. Like WNC-fort said, by early to mid week we should know. But looking like a cake job to our west in the mountains right now.

WB 6Z EURO (rain limits accumulations)

The best snow cover extent relative to the means so far this winter was back in late November and early December prior to the big warm up for much of the CONUS outside the Northeast and Great Lakes.

Yep. It’s going to be hard to get a siggy event I think.

GFS too

I think the one thing that concerns me the most is that all the good moisture that this thing needs to wrap in is way offshore. That’s why the euro is fairly meager with precip. It’s straining to get anything into the conveyor belts and dump precip. That I don’t like.

WB 6Z GEFS is a little better....

Duster days are here again

0.6 on the board. combo of sleet snow and rain.

I'm bumping this because the Euro did pretty damn well with the H5 look at this range. Yes I was told the surface was barely cool but this is really a good indicator from the Euro at nearly 10 days out and beyond. Surface was too warm at this range but that's been the problem for a lot of the season with these cold fronts. Now starting today we are well below normal and possibly looking at multiple snow threats. Some people talk shit and some people know their shit...

I’m going to wait until Tuesday/Wednesday to make up my mind. I love snow in my backyard but if McDowell is fringe at best… I might just book a cabin in Banner Elk and have some fun.