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Probably midnight Saturday night. Duration doesn't feel very hashed out right now.

10th percentile eps, this should calm some nerves

I don't think anyone in the mid atlantic likes amped winter storms anymore.

I like drippy ice lol

It’s been a few decades since I’ve heard thundersleet!

Anytime brother. I'm also the recognizable Green beat classic 97 s10 always at rutters.

As long as we awaken to 14 posts from you about how great the icon and 6z’s look we will know . If I see a Tony Tiger or Qbert or Kooky Kenny post .. I’ll be very concerned . That’s how I tell

I basically agree, except that I was here in 1978.

They are coming North for sure but they are in Richmond now

Completely agree. Check out the 500 vort map of the last 8 euro runs. Crazy inconsistent up there. https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/2014137831522742310?s=46

If I were everyone I would urge caution expecting something different from the new recon data.its sampling the upper low off California but there is still northern stream energy that is involved that plays a big roll too.

Any guesses on the timing?

I’m looking forward to my 3-4” of sleet and 1/2” of flat ice.

My wife works for the Maryland government emergency management...she said they had a call with NWS today Sterling, Mt Holly and Wakefield. I asked her if she asked if anyone on the call ever heard of Leesburg 04...she just looked at me and said STFU

Saw that post and realized our power is fucked.

I mean all jokes aside if i was betting on this I would bet all snow in CPK is more likely than not in this setup.

I need a Publix nearby their chocolate milk is top tier. I went to a swim meet in Florida during junior year and drank so much of it

Remember that the image contains the forecasts from various forecast offices, not just one, hence weirdness around the boundaries of County Warning Areas (CWAs).

found this read interesting from CTP afternoon disco KEY MESSAGE 2: Increasing odds for heavy snow and moderate to major winter storm impacts Saturday night through Sunday Confidence continues to increase in the potential for heavy snow and moderate to major winter storm impacts across central PA this weekend. As is often the case, the primary model uncertainty differences center around the interaction between the northern and southern branches of the jet stream which will ultimately steer the storm track and associated placement of winter wx/max snowfall. Latest models have doubled-down on the northward trend that was very evident in the previous 21/00Z model cycle. Big ? remains will that trend hold or will there be a reversion back to the south. What we know at this juncture: 1. Ptype should be all snow as arctic air remains locked in place 2. Most likely timing for heavy snow is Saturday night through Sunday night 3. Odds of >6" and >12" of snow have trended higher (maximized over south central/southeast PA) with an increasing risk for moderate to major winter storm impacts this weekend What we don`t know yet: 1. Exactly when, where and how much snow will fall

34"@10:1≈3.4" QPF... Holy smokes Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

I wanted to get a store bought supreme pizza so bad. No pizzas at all in the stores. SOLD OUT. Everyone is scared of the arctic front and about one sixteenth of an inch of ZR, only on the trees. Roads are too warm. Damn. No store bought pizza. I hate this storm, I really do.

But….. it’s following the canonical front loaded Nina script, therefore I gotta ignore all guidance, stick to my guns, and continue being a raging insufferable asshole to everyone who disagrees with me.

Kept my forecast for DC at 4-8 for tonight. Nowhere near enough model agreement to go one way or another.

I hope the grid isn’t depending on @Ji

I thought winter was over…