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Agreed glad something trended SE, not a fan that it was the NAM, woudl prefer Euro but its something.

I’m in the Philly thread all winter as I service accounts out that way for snow removal.No question, a band of scattered flurries can generate a 15 page thread.

If you believe long-range CFS forecasting, it could be a spring loaded with severe weather opportunities. High shear predicted going forward for most of Western PA and the Midwest. I've already seen a couple (weak) hook echoes attached to supercells on radar nearby, and the dying remnants of a wall cloud. Neither actually dropped a tornado, it would seem, but nonetheless unusual, especially for this early.

March is marching

Was gonna say, the change we want to see

Just about to say, the 18z NAM is SE. Not that every run matters, but I'd take it for sure.

18z nam…

Wind driven moderate feels like a decent guess for Monday right now. I’d lean 45% wind sig 2 10% tor sig 1 Hail idc

LSV already upgraded to a 30% risk for Monday. Ominous. SPC mentioning strong to intense tornadoes. And it's only March.

Seasons in seasons. got my snow now I want warmth.

Brian loves the warmth. Use to be a snow weenie.

doubt it-bad pattern and climo gets worse by the day. I'm ready for spring...

has forced squall line/qlcs, with damaging winds and embedded tors written all over it.

Spring forward even more

No it won't. I hate severe, unless it's severe cold.

Don’t worry buddy, we’ll get ya to snow one more time.

SPC already has a 45% area for Day 3 in S IN, S IL, and W KY.

Remember the new conversion tables

Van Wert (of course lol) wants to kick off the weekend with an 80mph Tpole snapping semi flipping dust storm lol. Tis a bit breezy with multiple 60+ gusts here. for the last 4-5 hours. most N/S highways and Interstates are closed with flipped semi's around here. Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Northern Indiana 127 PM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0115 PM Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 N Van Wert 40.89N 84.58W 03/13/2026 Van Wert OH Emergency Mngr Multiple semi trucks rolled over and power poles down in Van Wert county. A lot of blowing dust too.

I mean if it continues I see 45% wind hatched at least for sure

Good lord this wind is kinda shitty.

WB 12Z EPS: may be a month too late but worth keeping an eye on the last week of March period.

Not really.

that's top tier for a synoptic wind event in this region.