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Well, those two can be mutually exclusive It’s not a bad question but the baseline synopsis of the winner has been favoring, western ridge eastern trough. This has been setting up in varying degrees of amplitude and sort of shuffling around, but it in the means… has been essentially that At a basic level that correlates with warmer weather in the west and cooler weather in the east. What’s going on in Texas? Not exactly the same thing. There had to be other circumstances that fed into that. Just looking at the basic pressure pattern they are drawing Mexico plateau air d-slope across the Rio Grande … Could be a kind of a south to north pointed local regional chinook/compressional heating assist.

I don't want to hear about false spring. I want real spring. Also, gotta ask, why is it that when the PV splits, it always beelines it for east and not the West?

D*** right you did. You've been running a perfect track record for probably well over two years. Every time a storm has missed north, south, east, or west you've called it. One can only enviously ponder such forecast precognition.

The west has been breaking warm records all winter. Should it be a surprise to see this happening? I don't know, I'm asking. Edit: quoted the wrong post. Meant to quote your post before this one. Edit 2: Pasted the quote i meant into the quote box, but the link back might be fucked up, lol.

Laredo has done 100° in Feb many times…they had 3 straight days in 1986 including a 103°.

Heard it again but had an obstructed view atm, then heard again in the late afternoon from indoors. Missed again. Otoh...I randomly saw a pair of hawks mating in a tree! Heard a ruckus, looked up, flipped out. Red-shouldered? It was quick. Also saw a cormorant later. Since Ive been grumpy-posting about March and winter's end, I will say today was a nice example for a good March day, barely cracked 50 (high 52), sunny, light winds, very refreshing! I was surprised how much snow was hanging on in certain shaded stretches in the neighborhood.

Emotionally, it’s absolutely a C- tops. I mean, our flagship storm was several hours of snow followed by mixed precip, and the last storm was an absolute joke here. Objectively, cold matters in the grading system and we had an anomalous stretch. I saw ppl playing ice hockey on a frozen pond in Baker Park and it was frozen for weeks. The biggest issue this winter was a lack of precip…an issue that’s been prevalent the last few years up this way. That said, I drove thru Gambrill today and they still have a couple inches up there at 1200’+, but that’s also a Frederick microclimate.

We are lucky down here it broke up to the sides

Massive ice jam up in Luzerne county on the Susquehanna. If that thing goes quickly there may be some issues. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Typical April for me

No Chance hole curse is a bitch. Hopefully some good storms help you out. You need it.

I wonder if some media source or the other come July 20 puts out a headline that says something like, “southern Texas was the warning we all missed”

Judah Cohen blog on PV stretch https://published.aer.com/aoblog/aoblog.html#PLS

Prayers 4 thundersnow

March DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 3.2 3.5 3.8 2.7 3.0 2.8 1.2 1.4 0.6

I’m still not sure that’s equivalent Doesn’t seem like it really is It’s happened in July there more than once? I really don’t know, but that’s kind of a defining difference. This is the first time this has happened down there apparently. Hence the record. And actually… Now that I think about it that’s not defining anything really because something happens one in 10 just can have bad luck and not happen and then something that’s one in 30 can happen three times so that actually doesn’t mean shit. The other method is just look at the average high down there at this time of year and consider the departure and then look at the average low temperature up there during a climate relevant time of year and consider that departure. I guess the scaler value of the anomaly plus whether or not it has happened befor and all that jazz. That’s the other thing … might be easier circumstantially geographically/geologically up there in July then it should be down there in Texas in February which is I don’t know it all seems really dubious

This great info. It's interesting to see that places 2, 3, and 4 in the list had such paltry snow totals from March 1 onward, and that there are four 60"+ full winter totals further down the list which averaged 22" in that timeframe. It looks like if Smithtown were to pick up an above-average additional 8.7" to get to 60" for the full season, it would land this year at 9th place for the full winter. 13.8" would be required to maintain the current #5 slot.

Denver is the new Miami.

I like how we all just silently and collectively gave up.

i haven't cut the lawn since 1998.....

Ok then, July, ha.

I hope so, Tim Kelley not so sure. Hopefully high pressure wins up north late week.

Heavy is the hand with a 16oz IPA.

March DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0