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Precipitation hits a wall coming off the plateau. .

The Euro this close in should always be factored in to me.

Agree fully. The wet content of what's on the ground followed by the deep freeze means that it will take a long time to get sidewalks and side streets back in order

Rain that will freeze

I wonder how well the snow performs as it passes through the TN area could give a feel to how it’ll do here?

Lol just save a Kooch and compare. Its a tool that can be very helpful but not used for verbatim snow maps I posted them for shits and giggles. The elites don't like it. I also post Bufkit and 10 to 1. Keep this in mind the Mets here are conservative. Always under in big ones

12z GFS looks like it starts a clipper train after this one wraps up.

That storm was a beast. I was in Nassau and I had 5” in one hour. Was insane. if we can hang out on snow for an extra 2 hours we could snag a foot, but the consensus is for a changeover around 5 pm.

Thanks, will share with my dad . Kinda wish I was hanging with him in Columbia, keeping him company (first winter without my mom). But he does have a sn...snleet removal service, and I took him a huge bucket of sand. I am also happy to see a decent winter storm here in Harford.

24/16 with light sleet in Wolf. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

You know ... I was just thinking about this last hour - it's like the modeled storm is moving toward the impossibility of that dopa jerk product. Converging on it such that it makes it right for the wrong reason this time?

You dont need a rapidly intensifying coastal when it's already frigid, you just need a storm thats not going to warm up all the levels, unfortunately this storm will likely do that with it's combined primary/secondary tracks.

When you start pinging I know I am on borrowed time. I’ll be checking in with you.

it was more of an ice storm, with the few inches freezing solid, you could not get the ice off car windows it was too thick. with no home depots around yet, you could not get salt, table salt, kitty litter or sand. i got stuck in a parking lot on the ice spinning in circles and had to be pulled off by a passing tow truck.

Talking in terms of totals. If we get 4-6” snow/sleet, that’s a lot easier to shovel than 10-12” of snow/sleet. .

How I’m going to react to my first snowboard measurement around 6-7am tomorrow: ~1”: oh fuck oh god please no it’s all happening again ~2”: ugh. Hopefully it’s snowing like crazy at this time ~3”: ok, maybe we can make this if DC isn’t already pinging ~4”: yeah baby ~5”+: haha! Fuck you nam!

I love seeing this, but are the globals the way to go this close in?

Would you take more stock in what the euro is showing as far as the sleep line staying closer to the shoreline, are you still considering the NAMM as a heavy contender bringing the sleet up into the middle of the state?

what's with the 1 hour of snow and freezing rain on Monday in NWS forecast in my area? I truly don't get where Weather Channel and NWS come up with unexpected jumps/changes. I can't monitor the board full time, so I may be missing things. Forecast Discussion on NWS doesn't mention any kind of change over.

34.5/13.1 DP has dropped some. Got a cold ENE wind right now.

Does anyone know what source Apple Weather uses? They have been adamant calling for 18- 22 inches of snow in the Paoli Malvern area almost all week. They have not backed down even with the Mesoscale computer runs.

Yep, 2/13/14 for example I don’t think was a rapidly intensifying coastal and there was widespread 10-14” amounts.

Imagine being upset that the models were wrong in your scenario.

Mets do seem way too reliant on models, its really frustrating. SGF has dropped me from an expected storm total of 14" to an expected total of 9". They missed last night badly. They put out a graphic that showed 2-5" up here and 2-6" area wide, I woke up to .5" on my back deck and I think half of that had blown off my roof. They just weren't even remotely close on that initial round. Models look pretty good for round 2, but we are going to need some good ratios to do anything impressive, unfortunately, when you are dealing with high ratios a little change in QPF makes huge changes.

There it is! the model transmission failure that seals the fate of this particular storm as actually happening. That's how we know... the technology, some how some where some way from some source always fucks up when it is exactly the wrong time to do so. It's just creepy action at a distance electron double split eerie shit where the storm some how doesn't want to be detected by the quantum processing of the models or something but it's dependable -