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  1. Some very impressive RI probs on the latest ships guidance
  2. And just like that we have a rapidly intensifying hurricane. The gulf coast cannot catch a break.
  3. Looks can be deceiving. edit: recon showing they may not be deceiving in this case. Time will tell.
  4. Considering the system is still substantially tilted, this thing is going to have to go nuclear to be at 105 in 24 hours. Not saying it isn’t possible, but it seems highly unlikely at this point.
  5. Woof. This is not the year to take globals at face value and discount the HWRF
  6. TD19 looks substantially further south than forecast this morning
  7. May be banter: can you upgrade based on mesovorticy winds?
  8. Hopefully there aren’t any chasers the beach
  9. NHC says surge could go 40 miles inland now
  10. Already said tops were warming and visual degradation soon to follow
  11. I think the two eyes walls join instead of the inner one Dissipating
  12. Storm surge of 13 feet and it is forecast to extend up to 30 miles inland isnt concerning?