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That's not great. My quick look at things, seems like weaker / further south is would be the lean based on 12z. Still plenty of time for that to change though.

As the author, we understand your pumping the storm! :-)

How about 5" of basin rain into this pack at 55F whilst the ground beneath is still frozen mm? mmm?

Which one am I supposed to use?

I feel reasonably confident that when the February numbers are tabulated a couple of weeks from now, we'll see a repeat of this enabling layout that knee jerk triggers myopic types that have trouble with multi-variate simultaneous awareness of reality they cannot see everyday ...

I wasn't sure if I should laugh or thank you for this so I did neither. You know, I'm guilty of assuming our average is a bit higher than those numbers. In my head I consider average around 30" because i think that's what it used to be. I've got incomplete data this winter due to me being in Florida in January - what did you record for your total for that event?

I will put in 2” just to be safe

Looks like it might have been over 2” here. This is after compaction etc.

that's the few noteworthy events

Great Point WIll! I had 11 in 2017-2018, and 16 in 2014-2015. Got 10 So Far this year. 1.25" Today of Perfect Snow to cover the piles.

Pretty decent model agreement on a complete shift from what we are seeing now in about 10-14 days. It’s that time of year. Going to take a long time to melt out, but definitely could be some nice days towards mid March

Hey @stormtracker you see what I posted here yesterday? Lol

I'm very sorry, but 4500 ft. mts. in northern and western Augusta County do not exist................. You goofed on that.

Yes, if you say “it’s coming” with every shortwave, you’re going to run into a few.

That’s what I meant…I was just f’n around bro. Kind of like what you guys do. Ya, When everything Jumped back on board…after Losing it early in the week…it as hard not to.

@WestBabylonWeather

People should learn what indices are, what they mean. It would offer a huge manifold of knowledge, from which one may then understand operational models with better predictive skill. In this case, the indices (derived by weight the ensemble) support the emerging/ steadily increasing warm signal that we are seeing in the operationals. It doesn't mean that will go on forever until Earth's sitting on the surface of the sun... At some point the signal with "max" and or suffer daily idiosyncratic aspects not presently seen... But in principle, the totality of it would mean the end of winter and the onset of spring. Yup. Right now ... you didn't ask but I'm fine with holding hyperbole to 'melt and mud season' - use that as a basis and then add if (and we probably will have to - ) we need.

we've had more winter this season than we have in many years. stop your bitching lol.

They are growing here too. Saw on the news last week before the cool down we registered pine pollen for first time this year which is early

we had some severe wx events in the area.

Yea It does. This decade the AHATT had it easy forecasting winters, now it was ACATT’s turn.

Exactly !

gotta pin the May 1st thread, getting awfully hard to find it every morning to update the countdown