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Meh, let’s keep this thing bumping north

Idk this evolution has all the hallmarks of a biggie. Models fairly consistent with totals rising leading up to the event. Fingers crossed.

I work for a township. I am out from when it first starts. But as a homeowner, yea, it's best to get out during and keep up on it.

Yea, the most recent run keeps my area as some type of frozen precip the entire event while the run prior to the most recent gets the rain close to us for an hour or two

About an inch here.

1"

I don’t know if you were around for the 93 superstorm but that’s similar to what happened here, even in March it stuck around for awhile. We got screwed out of the 2 feet the south got, but it was enough to shut schools for days. About 11 inches encased in ice. .

1994 all over again folks if that happens

AM AFD from BOX. The probability %’s are high.

Overnight and 6z summary: WAGONS SOUTH

The 1035 HP is still in play saying it for days

nice little 1.5" of fluff, looking forward to this weekend, to possibly double my season to date within the last week and a day...over 10" now since Friday night, if this weekend pans out as currently modeled, can be over 40 by end of January!

6z euro comes in colder and further south. With that one done and the overnight modeling, this is all I got: NC: enjoy the glacier Upstate: I genuinely will be praying for yall

It looked to me that the Ukie was also a little colder and just a tick south as well.

It looks like that model is counting mixed precip as snow as the 540 line is north of us during Sunday afternoon like the regular Euro.

gfs still has a foot for us around here

I think in these setups you have to get out and do what you can before a change over. Unless you are commercial. .

This is a communications nightmare for news outlets. Could be 5" of sleet and minimal icing or half an inch of ice. The 5" of sleet is more likely, but when some models are spitting out significant icing it's hard to ignore knowing that it's better to be prepared for the worst

you're better at turd polishing than i am cad while nyc gets 20 is a bad time lol

Here you go.... WB 6Z GFS

I’m really beginning to wonder though if the Euro is way overdoing it on the ZR potential? Maybe I end up being wrong but I feel a sleet fest inbound.

I think this is the key in that the conditions just don’t favor those big coastals anymore. But this year it’s finding a way to snow. At least we’re not sitting on a month of 45 and cloudy or 2007s endless rain. In the early 90s conditions didn’t favor any snow at all for several years. Then 93 and 94 happened. .

The 06z euro came in a bit colder so it holds onto the frozen precipitation longer. Also I think the gfs is handling the backside of this storm better with the wraparound snow its bringing in.

No way... I gotta move it and once sleet hits , it becomes heavy and difficult. I'll take my 15" of clean snow thanks! Lol