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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
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0.06" overnight. October has had measurable rain on 5 of the 12 days, for a grand total of 0.14". GYX thinking about an inch by Wednesday noon. Hope that verifies.
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Definitely counted wrong yesterday morning, but ended up around half an inch maybe just under. Nice to see some sun though!
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Despite my yard, there are some nice colors popping around the area.
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3.51" for the event in Mount Airy (about half way between 70 and 26).
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Torching
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Why the hell can it never be like this on a damn Sunday??
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Ended up with 2.12" yesterday (one of my nephews who lives in Upper Darby had a birthday party so I drove to and from there through various intensities of that rain) and had 0.03" from the thundershower that came through here this morning between 2:30 am - 3:30 am, making for a 2-day total of 2.15". Got up to 62 with a 57 low yesterday so wasn't really "raw" but was pretty much an all day soaking. Low this morning was 54 and it's currently a mostly sunny 69 with dp 62. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I think you're generally reinforcing my point, which is that this thing is much harder than most people thought it would be, and we're making less progress than people thought we would even given the increase in the use of renewables that we've seen. You say "Renewables only began to move the needle in this decade.", but there is no "this decade" in that chart - there is only "this year", which happens to be an extreme outlier w/El Nino, showing anything other than the same trend upward. I think that's likely the main factor, and not primarily due to energy policy. Only time will tell though, in the years ahead. If it's truly due to energy policy then we should see a continued bending-down of the curve. My additional assertion would be - this is also turning out to be more economically disruptive than anticipated; vis a vis the increases we've seen in electricity prices, and the resulting economic headwinds that have been experienced, in particular by countries that have had more aggressive renewable policies. -
Would not be surprised to see multiple inches of accumulating snow for ski areas on Saturday and maybe even grassy accumulation accumulations lower elevations of NNE. Wonder if the Tug hill could pull off several-plus inches
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I'm still a little skeptical, but I'm buying a little more stock in snow this weekend. The signal for at least first flakes is across guidance, and now we're starting to see guidance show the potential for minor accumulation. SLK averages first measurable on Oct 23, so this would be timely.
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3.56” total for the event, good soaking
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I am with you on the optimism. I am also growing more optimistic on seeing the season's first snowflakes up here at my location, given the pretty sharp downward trend in temp guidance. I'm not expecting any accumulation though.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
- Today
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2.48" rain fell from 8:20 am - 9:30 pm imby yesterday in North Haldeon, NJ
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Hopefully of sign of winter storms this year.
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I dunno, I have a better feeling about this one. Definitely a different set up than most in recent months. Latest GFS and Euro both actually upped the totals.
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Central PA Autumn 2026
Itstrainingtime replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Typhoon Tip replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
https://phys.org/news/2026-10-climate-fingerprints-reveal-stronger-evidence.html -
Man, that was rough. To add salt to the wound, the following offseason, the Dolphins passed up on Drew Brees and signed a washed Daunte Culpepper. The butterfly effect of this is that Saban left the Dolphins to join the Alabama Crimson Tide, where he created a dynasty.
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Strong ridging builds east after the 2 day chilly weather this coming weekend in the 10/19 - 10/26 period. Brunt of the warmth into the GL/Midwest.
