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You beat me to it Jax. Lol. Yeah, looks minor but does appear to be one from what I've gathered. Either way, should keep the PV in a weak State for awhile. As you said, we'll know by next week for sure.

Triggering some. Gorgeous

There's been multiple times IWX or GRR could have issued one and just didn't and did Special Weather Statements instead

Yeah I better pull back

You have to have warming with the wind reversal to be a major SSWE,right now it just seems to be a minor,but thats to early to tell,Euro only shows the wind reversal lasting just a couple days.We'll find out soon enough,next week.

BWI: 17.3” DCA: 12.6” IAD: 20.5” RIC: 5.1” LYH: 6.2”

Temp down to 36 at Mammoth. Precip is steady moderate to heavy and appears to have gone over to ALL snow. Still no stickage. Still rain at Village level. Temp now at 35 degrees. Even with no lighting, snow can just be made out falling pretty good up at Mc Coy Station at 9,600 feet. It is likely all snow now at Main Lodge. It is really coming down in the lights there but still no stickage yet, no preconsolidation of any kind as of yet - 7.40pm PST (9.40pm CST in Texas). The surface reflectivity is changing. This is another way of saying that I am seeing it get slushy on the top of the roof of the Main Lodge, and that I no longer can see the puddles of water on the ground either, and the reflectivity there which has been marked with the rainfall as of late ---- is changing quite a bit. This is probably because of the start of slushiness from falling snow, something I refer to as 'preconsolidation' and it is building up. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge

Must have gotten another 4-5 inches since this afternoon. Relentless. One of the best upslope events in a while.

Dude... You're like a windstorm.... Your predictions blow in every direction. You should look back on all your posts, especially during the Winter months.

I just read that a SSW is not in motion. Is it right & is it good or bad? We shall see.

Oh they are on, haha. That area isn’t heated though.

For Will https://www.holland.org/snow-free-holland/

Thank god the sidewalk heater hasn’t come on yet. Will would be in here raging.

Enjoy it! Moving to the mountains has been the best decision in my life. Or at least one of the best

Champaign county with the worst drought conditions observed in the state, virtually the entire county under extreme drought.

Yeah I noticed lots of folks golfing in SNH. Hopefully no snow December and we keep it going

Lovely. Not nearly as snowy here, but I already feel like this might be a winter to remember for me now that I'm at some elevation for the first time.

I was right on that first flakes call and maybe I can go 2/2 by saying I do think that it'll be the first week of December that we get some sort of advisory level snowfall for interior SNE. I continue to like the pattern progression. Even though our last few winters have been absolute disasters we've done alright in the first half of December. It's not necessarily that we start slow, it's that we go into epic voids of activity as soon as we get on the board. 1.7" on 12/5/24 4.1" on 12/11/22 1.7" on 12/8/21 2.0" on 12/5/20 (followed up by the KU on 12/16-17) 8.6" on 12/1-3/19 2.8" on 12/11/19

As of 5.33pm PST, we are now seeing very WET snow falling at both Woolly Cam and at the Main Lodge. It's 38 degrees, ground is soaked, stickage is extremely unlikely. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam At Woolly you can make out rain impacting the pavement so what this may well be is a snow/rain mix. At any rate temps are far above freezing. What a waste of 5 inches of water. You can see hydrometeor impacts in water puddles on the Main Lodge grounds too. This is probably a moderate to heavy extremely wet snow and plain rain mix, in an upper 30s temperature environment in the presence of extremely wet soaked mud, mud that is well above freezing which shall rule out any stickage whatsoever. It probably won't cave until next week's colder storm. It's a real severe punch right in the gut, to realize that Mammoth at 9000 feet can get Washington DC'd, too. At least Mc Coy Station at 9,630 feet is seeing some accumulation on the grounds. Damn.

Did he say El Nino is fading?

Attack ? No attack bruh . Have at a snowy winter . Hope you win . To me looks better than last year but not by much

I'll take a late November/early December-EPO/+PNA regime now showing up on the ensembles any day. I expect some crazy swings in the deterministic guidance the next 7 to 10 days. Patience grasshoppers.

Why the attack? Was just saying it starts mid Dec every year. You are losing it.

Yeah pretty classic -EPO showing up for the last few days of the month Models at that range did just completely lose a sustained -NAO, so let's see if it hold when we get closer... but it does match weak-negative ENSO/strong -QBO analogs for late Nov/early Dec

You miss that know it all. You should have taken that individual for a long ride in your truck an dropped it off as unclaimed freight