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  2. mappy
    Oh for sure, just something I noticed up here when comparing runs
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Over a foot of snow with over 1/2” of freezing rain over a giant area would redefine the word “crippling” for years to come
  4. DDweatherman
    They say good things come to those who wait, slightly slower evolution but the ceiling is very high in that scenario. Would be very PD2 ish in duration and potentially even magnitude.
  5. mitchnick
    If you look at the progression of the Euro, it brings the northern stream trough down with a delay that allows the Baja low to fully ejected and the 2 combined/phased are what we get with that 5H anomaly map I posted.
  6. jbenedet
    This looking more and more like a crusher for ACY, DC, Baltimore. There is a -NAO developing around the time this makes it to the east coast, so a slower track and more phasing are likely than currently modeled. That said I don’t think that portends a big latitude gain.
  7. CT Rain
    Pretty good trends overnight IMO. Seems like potential for a decent event Sunday/Monday. Don't think the upper end is too high here but could be a nice moderate kinda event?
  8. Weatheriscool
    That would create so much infrastructure issues well into the following week. I am sure that tems are well below zero over that snowpack as well
  9. WNC_Fort
    You thinking WNC sees a little bit of everything? Or chance it stays all snow?
  10. Voyager
    This is from Mount Holly, but relates to our forum as well. As of now, a 40% chance of at least moderate impacts for many in our area.
  11. Damage In Tolland
    Looks like 1/4 inch maybe 1/2 from a squall last night
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If it can turn the corner the way it’s showing on 6Z euro this could be a 1 to 2 foot type deal for our subforum. Then we can talk about wind too as the coastal deepens.
  13. olafminesaw
    Stop the count! Hopefully the North trend stops today. I take comfort in the general bias of models to overdo phasing and make systems more progressive lately. Not sure if that rule of thumb will hold with the pattern change
  14. Jebman
    NWS in south central TX is hinting at anomalous moisture over our region at the same time that very cold weather is in our area. I may NOT be safe here at all. Anyone in ice accretion regions with this storm please be extremely careful. This storm means serious bisnass.
  15. fountainguy97
  16. Baum
    The Thanksgiving event and subsequent early season arctic outbreak and clipper train put last season to bed early.
  17. mitchnick
    At 144hrs, the slp is sitting over Nags Head with the 50/50 feeding in cold air and the midwest trough pulling in the Gulf moisture while the slp is sorta stuck. Oh boy!
  18. eyewall
    These model runs are actually scary:
  19. Chris78
    Hey Will. What's the start time? Looks like it's pushed back a little?
  20. DDweatherman
    I think mainly a factor of speed. End result might have been more robust than 0z in totals. Looks awesome up at h5
  21. ChattZ
    Nothing like a warm nose
  22. DMAC98
    I was about to mention this because the NAM and RRFS have it as well, almost like an appetizer of sorts. Looks to be on the Euro as well but it's well S of those two:
  23. buckeyefan1
    Absolutely insane 6z Euro
  24. Eskimo Joe
    What an awesome batch of overnight runs. To make things even better, I get to be on a panel at IMD today that moderate by Dr. Louis Uccellini.
  25. DDweatherman
    I would pay to see extra frames of that 6z euro fun. Woulda been a HECS for a good bit of this sub given that h5 at the end and what was already OTG thru 144
  26. aldie 22
    This is starting to get interesting
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