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End of the month maybe.

Damage?

Your local area has just finished the warmest 11 year stretch of winters into March following the big warmer shift in 2015-2016. Since the winters have still averaged below freezing, it still feels cold. But just not as cold as it had been in the past. So every local area has been affected to varying degrees by this warmer shift. This is why global and national temperatures are important since it shapes which will be felt locally. Places closer to the East Coast that have seen their averages climb to the mid to upper 30s over this period have definitely have felt warmer. It’s why this past winter felt so cold. This winter would have been closer to average in the old days. But relative to the post post 2014-2015 period it felt much colder even though many areas saw no record cold this past winter. It was great to see a return of the benchmark snowstorm tracks which had been absent for the past 3 seasons. The Detroit average 11 winter temperature through 2026 is 30.3°. The previous warmest 11 year stretch had been 28.9° ending in 1957. The earlier arrival of spring over this period resulted a 32.6° December through March average vs the previous highest 31.0° max in 2007. The biggest benefit of these warmer run of winters has been in the lake effect snow favored areas like Marquette. Warmer falls into winters boosted the Great Lakes temperatures and slowed the arrival of ice. So a great set up if you are a big lake effect snow fan.

Holy shit

Haha. The damn bear got into our trash and opened up bags all over the yard. Asshole.

Just northwest of his 50.3, I had 48. Big big valley wide suck effect this past winter

32.1° with frost. Of course clouds are moving in now just in time to lock the cold in.

I was thinking of you this morning hoping you'd see at least a few cat paws mixed in I had 39 down here when the rain moved in

It would have been nice to be a tad cooler with that precip moving in

I'll keep checking in every so often as long as you're forecasting which means it's held off even longer

32.6° and I left the poms, kiwis, figs, and pawpaws out all night.

Light my money on fire, poison my watershed, and give my whole family cancer? How could I say no?

A bit of frost again this morning.. we take

Maybe a low-end severe threat for both Saturday and Sunday, although instability is just so limited. I'm tossing the overmixed HRRR.

CPC has us wet to start the summer, but I'm definitely skeptical. I'm not sure about persistently hot, though.

Yes to all of that. We can certainly get meaningful severe here in July, but the retreating jet causes really higher-end supercell threats tend to wane by the end of June, unless we hit on some TC stuff in the fall.

Drought brings forth more drought. Rain chances are diminishing for Sunday. Then looks like an extended dry period. With summer on the doorstep. There is going to be a lot of burn bans. I would not be surprised if this drought continues to worsen that the 4th fireworks will be cancelled. We won't be mowing yards much longer. I hate brown summers & go right into more brown during fall & winter. Hopefully what looks to be dry turns into wet.

I really hate the darkness more than cold/snow, it's depressing to put it succinctly. But snow in April or May blows equally as much, even if it's 80 the next day.

Gotcha Chief, so how would you describe the 8 days before we get to that point ?

What the F? Just looking at the skin on my hands you'd think it was January outside.

The warm pattern begins the 16th

exactly! Those stupid models too. Who's going to believe charts?