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Off topic, but can someone lock the Winter thread so we're not posting about the same thing in two threads? TIA.

We have arrived to the time of year where medium range is taken with a grain of salt. Way too much going on and we're throwing into the seasonal transition into the background mix. Certainly some potential for some unseasonable warmth next week when looking aloft but looking at the llvl and sfc configuration...lots of caution flags. This isn't to say we don't sneak in a very mild day or two but I wouldn't hold my breath right now

41 here meh

Timber

You need to have quite a few things come together for a solid March snow. Not saying it can't happen, but more elements need to be in place. I remember a few solid April snows one not too long ago.

FIT finally punched through. 46 but the last 5 deg of which were in the last 40 min. DP up to 36. Under full March sun ( the street melt water is steaming for the first time I've seen this year including that 52 sunner on Saturday, so we've crossed a sneak sol threshold) there's no way in physics snow is not melting today.

50.9" as of today here at WXW1 138.6" in Barrow

Lots of time for that to trend…like yesterday’s did, and tomorrows too. I asked you what you were cautious about regarding the mid month flip..cuz you sounded enthused yesterday, but you never responded.

Have t checked. Probably 12-18” depending on the location.

Down in Aldie helping the farrier. 50 out does not feel like it. Getting the horses out of the fields is quite an adventure. Put my tall muck boots on and glad I did. Sinking about a good 3-4” into the mud at the gates.

Sunny areas getting nuked here.

There's no mechanism for that. AO needs to go negative and I don't see that. Colder air is WPO driven with PV on our side of the globe. Probably a lot of lakes cutters, active start to severe weather season

This is my deepest pack of the season right now. You can see those faux Adirondack chairs by my fire pit are buried.

the op has been all over the place, not really "going cold"

I hope the GFS is wrong. Not because I don't want the Mass weenies to get snow but I really could do without ZR. Almost couldn't bring out the garbage bins last night without falling on my ass.

Agree. Big potential but time is running out.

GFS looks good. 33 and rain south of the pike, grid gone Pike North.

Torchy out there. 51F

There’s a few Met posters here that live in MA that are gonna lose their shite if that happens

NOT what weenies like CoastalWx like to see!!!! That would melt all of the snow in Weymouth, and CoastalWx would NOT like that one bit!!

Yeah, next wednesday. GFS op went cold, while the AIGFS is still trying for 80

Is that for next week ?

I'd take the snow over that shit...though I'm sure this will be stricken with the scarlet "X" from DIT...

Although I day or two of absurd warmth would not surprise me....Feb 2018 had that, and we have avoided it this season....analog has worked out pretty well, but the timing has obviously been a bit astray.