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  2. When was the last time that happened? Maybe the frigid 1977 winter?
  3. DC latest NWS SUNDAY EVENING... .A large area of precipitation will overrun Arctic air in place over the Mid-Atlantic. This will lead to widespread significant snow beginning this evening, with the potential for ice Sunday especially south of Highway 50 and near and east of Interstate 95. In addition to the high threat for significant snow and ice, very cold temperatures are expected tonight through the middle of next week with sub-zero wind chills likely at times. DCZ001-MDZ006-008-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ051-053-054-502-506-526-527- 241830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0001.260125T0400Z-260126T0900Z/ District of Columbia-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Culpeper-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Southern Fauquier-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 526 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 7 and 14 inches, with highest in the far northern and western suburbs of Washington and Baltimore. Ice accumulations between one and two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central, northeast, and northern Maryland, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 4 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will likely overspread the area tonight, becoming heavy at times with rates of one to two inches per hour possible at times. A mix with sleet or freezing rain is expected Sunday. Significant icing is possible especially south of Highway 50. Visibility of one-quarter mile or less is possible at times. A prolonged period of wind chills in the teens and single digits continues this evening and lasting through the middle of next week, with sub-zero wind chills possible at times.
  4. RGEM is a huge thump. Almost a foot on Long Island
  5. With these frigid temps this next week I have no doubt the bay will freeze. Especially where I live in Baltimore county
  6. Love this blurb from RAH disco. I have said all along that sleet is going to save my area from crushing ZR. Of course not too far from me it's going to be lights out. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 457 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... As of 400 AM Saturday... * There will probably be a corridor of more sleet accumulation at the expense of freezing rain accrual than currently forecast, probably over a portion of the nw Piedmont. This probability is not explicitly forecast at this time; and it may not be until the nowcasting phase, when observational trends indicate when and where it may occur. * No notable changes have otherwise been made to the ongoing forecast.
  7. Latest Winter Storm updates just issued from NWS. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 526 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 ...MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... .A large area of precipitation will overrun Arctic air in place over the Mid-Atlantic. This will lead to widespread significant snow beginning this evening, with the potential for ice Sunday especially south of Highway 50 and near and east of Interstate 95. In addition to the high threat for significant snow and ice, very cold temperatures are expected tonight through the middle of next week with sub-zero wind chills likely at times. MDZ003>005-502-VAZ028-030-031-040-501-505-WVZ050>053-504-241830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0001.260125T0400Z-260126T0900Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Central and Eastern Allegany- Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke-Rappahannock-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Eastern Mineral- 526 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 10 and 16 inches, with highest amounts north and west of US-340. Ice accumulations up to two tenths of an inch, mainly south and east of US-340. * WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland, northern and northwest Virginia, and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 4 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will likely overspread the area tonight, becoming heavy at times with rates of one to two inches per hour possible at times. A mix with sleet or freezing rain is expected Sunday. Visibility of one-quarter mile or less is possible at times. A prolonged period of very cold wind chills continues this evening and lasting through the middle of next week.
  8. Well it's a week out . After this storms turn north I'll take a whiff a week out. A whiff now could mean coastal by then
  9. Really going to be a nowcast for tomorrow am. We will be watching the snow/sleet line in real time. Side note: 6Z 3K NAM forecast is 3 degrees too warm for me at 6 am this morning, so who knows about whether it is right for Sunday am.
  10. 10° out here for the low. Looking forward to what’s coming.
  11. Just find the model output with the most snow and hug it.
  12. When you’re up all night doing shrooms and gummies that happens
  13. Meh no idea what to expect could be 8 could be 16”. Rockland is right on the line.
  14. On the one hand the NAM isn’t as bad as 0z. On the other hand the rest of the globals are walking back their totals (though we were all expecting that from gfs).
  15. HRRR is probably too cold at this range and will come into line with other guidance. I'd love for it to verify too but it's still a little outside of where I'd use it. GFS was always going to cave. NAM getting a little better is somewhat encouraging although losing the GFS to this degree is a little concerning. It's going to sleet a decent amount into the city with this, we just have to hope the heavy snow rates can hold it back as long as possible. SWFEs will just try to screw us over in any way they can and gain the last possible inch north. This is the exact storm type where Boston will get buried.
  16. That RRFS is reprehensible. If correct, absolutely beyond belief. Throw it out.
  17. Wxmodels page doesn’t have kuchie like pivotal for icon, 10:1
  18. 6 degrees in New City Rockland County right now,,,,,,,,,,,bring the snow no thanks to any sleet or ice
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