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  2. Nice solid coating at the end Wintry day here in the tropical interior
  3. Ugh lures too....watch out for those treble hooks
  4. the sooner the better, i'm over cold/snow after like 12/25-1/1.. If it's not a MECS or better blizzard i'm checked out
  5. And even if the Friday and Tuesday storms miss we have a parade of clippers to look forward to for the next two weeks. Pretty active pattern for this time of year.
  6. 28.6° -SN 9.2” Latest core 1.5”/0.08” Storm total 9.2”/0.71”
  7. Ensembles (both GEFS and EPS) have a pretty nice pattern by the end of their runs with at most a short period of AOA normal. Time will tell.
  8. Today
  9. Euro is just a little too warm for most of Tennessee heading into the weekend, with very light precip. After, it gets cold, but barely any qpf, looks like warmth and moisture return together mid-month but that may be a head fake too.
  10. 1:40 am…...cranking winds coming through. Poor trash cans..
  11. 0z EPS is better than 18z EPS—it's probably the most aggressive it's been for this system.
  12. 0z gfs has a nice 7-10 day run, but beyond that the -NAO gone and it's much more seasonable, if not AN
  13. Euro looks nothing like the GFS for Sunday night unfortunately
  14. 0z ECM gets about 1" of snow up to NYC on Friday evening. It looks cold enough to accumulate most areas if snow does make it that far north. Not much support at this point, however. The ECM is the northern outlier.
  15. PWM 05z obs - 28/26 -SN 2.3" new 4.4" total
  16. Posted this on 11/23 Where the hell these long range so called weather gurus snow weenies seeing snow for our area on facebook and other media sources and who are just trying to make a few advertising bucks playing up the polar vortex bs but the current models are sure are NOT portraying anything like this right now for our area.. Every single snow chance has now dwindle to rain/mix event and also an insignificant rain event at best for our area as the cold dry air is winning the battle. The models have shown only one positive thing in the last two weeks for a major pattern change and a possible major snow event for us but when it will ever occur will just be plain luck. If you old timers recognize the current major pattern shift on the last weeks runs which we have not seen in nearly 6-10 years is identified as the four corner lows which are developing and pushing into the Gulf of America. Then these lows are quickly re-energized with a ton of moisture and are setting up for a good Miller A type of storm event- rain or snow along the east coast. The lows south of New Orleans into Tampa are impressive on the model runs. This is the best look in model runs in a long time as it appears the GOA is opening back up for business, however these low pressure systems are also quickly becoming southern sliders too. The cold dry air that does come through with a cold front is NOT retreating back up into Canada so quickly before the moisture reaches us. Would not be surprised if the Carolina's up to Washington DC sees more accumulating snow then us this year. This pattern is slowly setting up for a lot nuisance mix storm events snow/sleet to rain for our area if this keeps up. A pure snow event will be hard to come by in the next few weeks
  17. Euro certainly won't be GFS like. Flatter at H5
  18. Euro is about the same for Friday. Little more moisture this run
  19. we will make friends with the 0z Euro
  20. Yeah, Euro is nice for Friday. Looks like a 1-2 inch type deal on SV
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