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I think it’s def worth a trip to the Northern Mountains for this one (Avery county). All guidance seems to indicate this one will rip up here. Biggest concern would be getting here before 8 or 9 as blizzard conditions will set in.

Ground zero.

And once it disappears we can move on to the wet mess at the end of the week.

I vote myself, since I'm a narcissist who wants my backyard to get THE MOST snow.

Everyone should get their skiing in rn it’s just unbelievable

EPS might actually be more bullish than the OP by a touch for Sunday.

Beavis could win the powerball and still complain about having to pay 200 mil in taxes. Altho im sure some could say the same about me.

Sheesh.. this escalated quickly

Not doing anything yet on 12z Xmas morning (on the doorstep)…but if it went another panel or two I think it would prob be a front ender for snow (at least N of HFD) then flipping/mixing.

He probably is but it also goes directly against his Winter Outlook which was for the worst of winter to occur between mid December and mid January...

However we can get it, we want it.

It’s not officially winter in the Midwest until we get a good Beavis rant . Nothing we can do to control the weather but it is frustrating.

-SN, 30/25°F

How starting the thread is looking to me right now:

Even after the all evening rain, still looks to be 3-4 inches of snow all around on in my neck of the woods that is quickly becoming a glacier. Now just need a few inches to give it a nice look again. Sick looking out the window and the nice winter scene with what remains from a-hole people walking their dog shitting and peeing without cleaning it up.

EPS looking a little better on the limited maps I can see on Pivotal. Further south mean of the LP off the coast and better 6hr qpf panels.

ice storm Christmas day

At least we Houdini a White Xmas on the OP Euro.

No! If he starts it'll go straight to Cville... Edit: Ninja'd by the perpetrator himself

One last comment about the 12z suite…when looking at the ensembles, be sure to look at the number of solutions depicting a certain solution. The warmer options are skewing the mean drastically when the median would look quite different. This recently occurred with early December.

Congrats Decatur

similarly nice changes on the EPS

Happy he wont be crushing bombs against the Nats *As* frequently

Definitely interesting with how the precip seems to be driven almost entirely from dynamics without real surface low pressure support. No idea if that means things will go well or not though. If only we managed to get a combined Friday-Sunday phased storm though. Also I've had the hot hand but for Cville South events so not sure you want me to be the guy in charge of this one. Besides, I can't offer too much analysis as I have a final Thursday morning and then a 10 page paper (I haven't started) due Friday midnight.

Snow timing is after midnight and wraps up late Sunday morning