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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This video was made five hours ago and the enhanced risk has expanded since, however I'm still always interested to hear Trey Greenwood's take over convective chronicles. -
Agree with this, we will see what NHC says though. .
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this is how i managed the 2011 Octobomb. Grabbed the Honda 2000 we had at work second day in. It would run the forced air heating system, I macgyver'ed in a temporary plug. After warming the house, the important functions were easy: coffee grinder/coffee maker, power vent water heater, and some temp lighting and phone charging; cooking was on the grill and the camp stove
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Pretty close to TS status if not already there.
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Getting hit by multiple storms this evening.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It seems that NAO is far more malleable and influenced by the solar cycle and ENSO than the AO, so I feel strongly that the AO will be lower than the NAO this season. -
Mike Masco doesn't say but explains NYC weather
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well, I do see an opportunity for some of that, but I'm speaking of the seasonal mean. it clearly will not be the predominate DJFM pattern. -
Saw a post on FB about three Tornado Warnings in the UP at the same time. A rarity for sure
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What model was the basis of this idea?
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Then again...clouds are one of our most common failure modes. I do think someone will get walloped tomorrow. But I might have been inclined to keep it at 30% with no CIG hatching. The CSU MLP guidance has not painted any 45% contour at all on today's runs. That said, the 30% on that guidance *is* centered over the DC region.
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I think its time for Mr. G to hang it up
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After a little break from the heat this week it's coming back next week. Up to 0.22" for the day.
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the smoke is still here. still ranging between 3-8SM at all obs sites across ne il.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thank you for checking it out. The Dauphin county youtube channel has some good stuff. I really enjoy the friends of Wildwood and Friends of Fort hunter lecture series. https://youtube.com/@dauphincounty?si=Uhbac1Gt5xRdxPjr -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Should see that -PDO continue to weaken into the Fall as the CTKW’s move north along the west coast and the upwelling from the california current weakens as the N Pac high begins to take a beating. -
This afternoon's line of storms was gusty, like the morning line, but it was weakening as it moved through and didn't last long. I only got 0.38" this time. We were not able to recover enough after the first line.
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Yea. Unless you live in a high prone power loss area, i don’t think WHG’s are worth it. It looks cool and is obviously super convenient but if you run the numbers for a mid sized home that rarely loses power (less than once/5yr), it’s a loss. If folks have the extra cash in this brutal economy, sure…get it. But I would recommend a good portable generator for everyone else.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
18z HRRR largely clouds over the warm sector tomorrow. Hard to see that happening.- 1,196 replies
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WPIX trying to increase their ratings or decrease them ?
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When you factor in real-feel, nearly a 50 degree drop from the peak of the recent heatwaves. Low temps in the 50s will feel so foreign after this recent stretch! I love our climo! Just when you think things are starting to get extreme and unrelenting Mother Nature gives us a nice respite. Same thing in the heart of winter when the bitter cold stretches are followed by a nice thaw.
