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  2. WmsptWx
    Yes, I'm sure you know more than subject matter experts...
  3. Ruin
    Again this map is no way near accurate im sorry its changed a bit but no way we should still be in the orange color
  4. Jackstraw
    I've got nearly 3 acres. I mow a 10th of it. The rest is a small garden, well, I just plant stuff around randomly around the house, no tilling, no rhyme or reason where, it's my "shrubbery", native wild plants wildflowers grasses and brush, trees and mud lol
  5. ineedsnow
    Euro trying for flakes Saturday morning
  6. metagraphica
    More showery than I expected. Still a nice day for working outside.
  7. roardog
    These guys are talking about atmospheric responses like WWB,MJO,SOI, etc. I don’t think anyone here disagrees with any of this. Posters like Bluewave and Chuck are talking about the pattern over the North Pacific and or North America not being completely Nino like. I’m still not even sure why we should even be expecting a strong Nino response right now since the RONI is at like +.5
  8. CheeselandSkies
    It really seems like a mixed bag with ENSO. Feels like in my adult life we've had wet Ninos, dry Ninos, wet Ninas, dry Ninas, warm Ninos, cold Ninos, warm Ninas (most dramatically 2012), and cold Ninas. The strength and timing/speed of transition (TNI) makes the biggest difference.
  9. CoastalWx
    Total cancel on gfs. Hope it’s wrong.
  10. brooklynwx99
    there was also a major block that was poorly forecasted in February... one of the worst pattern busts I've ever seen. if that occurred, things would have turned out a whole lot differently that month
  11. A-L-E-K
    today's run selling some fantasy relief for NE IL, screw hole moved detroit's way gonna ride it
  12. HoarfrostHubb
    Wheel of 'rhea.... probably won't be quite that awful
  13. forkyfork
    should he hold your hand and tell you it's going to be a modoki?
  14. ineedsnow
    Awesome pattern on the GFS
  15. michsnowfreak
    That cansips was from Sept though...pretty far out.
  16. roardog
    2015-2016 had some big snowstorms here. Once upon a time there was a map posted here that showed that once you cross into super Nino threshold that we actually start to get above normal winter precip. The worst part of a Nino around here is the tendency for dryness. Even the weaker ones where we get below normal temperatures have a tendency to be dry. If super Nino can get us above normal precip, I would take that any day over a garbage non Nino winter like 01-02 or 11-12.
  17. SouthCoastMA
    Jersey south was boiling, regardless
  18. A-L-E-K
    yeah, not too into getting into a debate with lawn obsessed americans but the notion that women are the ones into lawn care was p funny real heads know baddies are all about the native plants
  19. weatherwiz
    Time to drop by and share a few of these
  20. SouthCoastMA
    I wonder if Eastern NE was cooler, and if higher nighttime lows skewed the mean out there. That said, I do know there were several hot days mixed in this month, especially further west.
  21. snowman19
    You’re a f*cking asshole. Par for the course from you. Troll
  22. Today
  23. Wxoutlooksblog
    Only if this pattern holds. I'm skeptical. WX/PT
  24. dendrite
    It’s not going to change that much with 95% of the days already baked in.
  25. kdxken
    Been hit with a few of the pop-ups. Drops the temp into the '50s temporarily.
  26. NEG NAO
    My insensitivity analysis says that June will average below normal temps and precip - I'll leave the more accurate sensitivity analysis outlook to Don.
  27. weatherbo
    Came across a random patch of snow today. It's at the end of a camp drive so it's remnants from a plowed pile, but impressive to see on May 28th, nonetheless.
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