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This week of high heat (DVN, a few days ago, had several days in the 90s, maxing at 96 today) is a bust. Monday-Wednesday we reached 80, 88, 83, with the rest of the week likely not even reaching 80.
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You have some measurable rainfall this month ? Im sitting on 0.00
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
76 dp here. -
The NWS is already putting out a few considerable severe thunderstorm warnings in Iowa/Illinois for 70mph wind gusts
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Parameter space near/south of that warm front in the backed surface winds tomorrow is alarming for any semi-discrete storms that can maintain themselves in the area. While there certainly are some caveats such as storm mode, degree of HP dominance given less than ideal venting flow and high PWATs, and prior convection, the high population and potential for relatively fast moving storms makes this likely the most dangerous setup so far this year on paper.
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The SPC has all of western MI under the gun tomorrow evening, but the CAMs are split on how much late night crapvection interferes with returning instability. None of the CAMs are exact on convective placement now so it’s up in the air. Hope I at least get a nice storm this evening if tomorrow turns out to be miss south stank.
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Thank the lord you're still alive. Great to see you here. Thanks for letting us know about the new site. Good luck with it.
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Sad but true
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we'll try again tomorrow...
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Soupy out. Humidity 69 and Dew is 76 here.
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Feels properly like a wet blanket out there.
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PWAT me baby
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AWT
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
They can and often do act as a forcing mechanism. More lift!- 465 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Will that help with severe chances today or just help convection start? Seems we have Cape and not much else to work with today (bad shear, bad ML lapse rates, okay surface lapse rates). Either way how likely do you think it is we get some thunder today? I’m head coach for a swim team from 3:45 to 6:15pm so I gotta monitor the situation.- 465 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Per the latest SPC mesonanalysis, there appears to be a bit of a lee trough running from CHO up to Harrisburg.- 465 replies
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Bbbuutttt ACATT said 50’s, rains, ass, -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Dew point is atrocious today. Only 81 degrees but it feels like 87 -
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
dailylurker replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Full sun as well. Radar looks more impressive than I thought it would at this time of day.- 465 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Clarksville mesonet site had a dewpoint of 76. Impressive.- 465 replies
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Just two? That sounds like a normal DMV commute to me. Lately even central MD traffic has been terrible. Not sure whats going on, but everyone seems really on edge. Last Friday I-95 was shutdown in Howard County, then Saturday on my way to Hagerstown for a softball tournament I-70 gets shut down. Many days rt100 where it merges with 29 is a complete cluster and overflow clogs 108/103/104. I was making a left turn on a green arrow the other day and someone coming from the opposite direction making a right on red never stopped and almost hit me (had I not slowed down). Then they proceeded to flip me the bird? Of course the car had limo tint on every piece of glass (inc. windshield) so who knows what was inside.
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I still think there's a chance that the trough is too progressive in some of these guidance, and that a slower/attenuated total mass results in more EC parallel/quasi parallel flow - i.e., a bit of a Bahama Blue. Admittedly, that is not what this is, ... but it's not far from it considering this frame is about 60 hours in and the trough is still W of 90. My speculations won't be hurt if it doesn't realize just sayn'
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Saving this one for winter
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