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I just got my rental car. Going to Boston for stuff tonight, go to NYC Saturday. So the michelle should start trending better.

Are we thinking this storm will be similar to the 1/2022 storm we had where it was pouring rain one minute and then dumping snow paste the next where we ended up with a foot of snow and a ton of downed trees in Calvert? I understand the synoptics aren't the same here but the results could be similar?

Considering this is a watch and not a warning I'm kind of dumbfounded that they didn't go with at least all of Central MD and DC area. A few more obedient ticks by our Canadian Shortwave friends and we're going to cash big on this. It's a watch, just do it.

Hey. We don't talk about March 2001. Thanks!

Can't help but have the same ptsd...some weenie scars never heal. Left work that cloudy Friday afternoon, very similar to today expecting 2-3' of snow. And then...

I was thinking about that too, but if memory serves correctly, it seems like for at least 2 out of every 3 big storms that this is expected to happen, NE NJ somehow ends up outdoing LI regardless, to some surprise.

Still absolutely pounding here. About an inch so far. CC shows sleet line sort of hanging near MA/RI border at the moment

No you are mistaken. Dad has always said S Wey .

Maybe at the very start there are a few raindrops or mix on the coast? There’s no concern about it cutting down accums.

I understand the watch for NE MD and the counties bordering Mason-Dixon... it was the Western Loudoun/NW Montgomery/NW Howard additions.

Baltimore officially under the gun.

Yeah pretty surprised they did not put up a watch regionwide

For my own greedy purposes I'd like to see the sfc end up to the south of KBID / KMVY by about 50 miles. Most favorable for inland spots of NNJ.

This is only through 7am Monday. In theory it could be higher. Speechless….

37 at home, 34 at work. we ‘ll need some cooling for higher amounts. meanwhile, we sit under clouds

There's a 10%, 90%, and best guess, along with many maps for % chance of getting more than a certain number of inches of snow, all at https://www.weather.gov/phi/winter

First weenie flakes just starting now.

We don’t have the best elevation and we often smoke exhaust for big coastal, but I do love Greenfield in an SWFE NW MA is built to thrive in these latitude set ups.

But at the start temps will be above freezing for sure

Yeah, most events jackpot either east of NYC or to the west. January 2016 and 2006 were the rare events that maxed out right across NYC and the boroughs. The heaviest snow for any given event usually ends up in the interior or across Long Island.

Thats a weird looking watch contour... but i guess they are going elevation for now

I don’t mean to be a Debbie downer here. But (in strictly Laymans terms)isn’t there a good chance that this is going to end up being a bunch of rain because the temperature is not supposed to fall below freezing during the entire event? Having a hard time buying this one.

no snow for me and @Blizzard of 93