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Plenty of single digit lows this morning with our lowest as is often the case in Warwick Township with a low of 3.8 above zero. Several degrees colder both today and Wednesday with highs in the upper teens with low temperatures in the colder valley locations near or below zero. Even colder air arrives on Thursday and Friday with widespread below zero readings and highs in the low to mid-teens. There will be a coastal low this weekend, but most model guidance keeps the impacts well east of the Philly burbs with snow possible toward the NJ shore points. That said there is still a possibility it will trend a bit closer to the coast and gives us some additional snow. Stay warm!

Everyone down in the dumps and here I am browsing options at local Can-Am dealers

I just did some google AI. Average us home’s roof can hold 20lb per square foot load. At a10 to 1 ratio, thats 38.5 inches of snow. So actually your point is valid if we get 2 more feet, assuming all of it is 10 -1 ratio.

Relevant to the ongoing cold: https://usicecenter.gov/Products/MidAtlanticHome

Plenty of single digit lows this morning with our lowest as is often the case in Warwick Township with a low of 3.8 above zero. Several degrees colder both today and Wednesday with highs in the upper teens with low temperatures in the colder valley locations near or below zero. Even colder air arrives on Thursday and Friday with widespread below zero readings and highs in the low to mid-teens. There will be a coastal low this weekend, but most model guidance keeps the impacts well east of the Philly burbs with snow possible toward the NJ shore points. That said there is still a possibility it will trend a bit closer to the coast and gives us some additional snow. Stay warm!

Wasn’t that how Jan 2022 worked out

Keep in mind the struggle the models have with the shallow nature of Arctic airmasses. Where the GFS and even Euro are developing the sfc low off the Carolina coast...probably shift that 50-75 miles farther northwest along the with whole storm track. I think this one has a great chance of passing right over the benchmark. The only thing I don't want to see is this bomb to something into the 980's or lower.

Not sure where you were when this happened, but someone on Reddit posted that they got the details of a car on 495 that hadn't been cleaned and ice flew off the roof and smashed another car's windshield.

Cold to start. Will storms return or mostly dry? Early spring? What will the groundhog say?

Oh yea for sure. I was talking about around here

Just want to post some hope.

So we want that norther or wester? Yeah, I always thought the rule of thumb is we want that junk dropping in over the Dakotas.

Someone could still get a foot plus like in the outer banks or cape cod

Yup. No absolutes is winter weather at this time frame.

Probably because the insane totals are not on Apple Weather anymore.

I still think this comes farther northwest. The 0z Euro was add to with the H5 vort. I don't think this vort is real...might be associated with convection and it seems the Euro then shifts the focus of evolution to this vort and results in south and east.

There's also the possibility of a partial phase that would enhance the ULL snowfall and then hit coastal areas hard (particularly along a line East of greenville NC to Hampton Roads). I think that's probably slightly more likely than the Euro solution of a complete whiff on the phase and much more likely than the full phase the GFS is showing

No EPS lows even came close Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

That’s the kicker

Visible satellite:

Yes I know it doesn’t get heavier, my point was more that it’s not going anywhere and anything that melts will just refreeze instead of running off or evaporating. Under normal conditions we would lose a lot over the course of a week. Not so much this time.

You know, Brian makes a good point. If the storm misses, the public will call it a 'bust.' Which is a real shame, because here on this site, we prefer the more scientific term for being completely wrong despite having billions of dollars in satellite data. We call it 'a statistical anomaly.' It sounds much more professional when you’re explaining to your wife why you spent twelve hours staring at a colorful map of a storm that ended up hitting a completely different ocean.

You can tell the experience of tracking by comments like those lol.