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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Albedoman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I seen so much wind this year== whats another day. I am waiting for the flash freeze from a dusting of snow to appear by tomorrow evening. -
Because, If you start letting things slide everything goes to hill.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Patrick-02540 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
The only time winds materialized for me, as forecast or greater, was on 12/23/2022- two weeks before my house generator was installed. Lost 3 solid trees, roof shingles/flashing (roof needed to be replaced anyway). Also stupidly left a chair on the back deck which took out 12 spindles on my railing. Power out for three days (right up through Christmas Day), as temperatures had crashed into the single digits. I do not want to experience that again. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Do you remember those 2 in 93? Rippers . I remember tons of tall pines snapped or uprooted -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That Jan 6-7th Storm was a Monster ! Remember it well. Recorded 13" at the Radio Station amongst the buildings and Streets in Pennington gap. 16" outskirts of Town. 18 to 20" in Western Lee County in Rose Hill area(there was a deformation of sorts that ran across there ). Some Highest Elevations up to 24". As we all know, that went on to be a Major Blizzard in the mid Atlantic with over 40" in area's ! -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Those without open ocean directly to their S or SE often don't remember these but hard to forget within 30 miles -
Why not a snow squall warning?
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
That may be the saying but Hill is still supposed to mean 'hell'. so who cares -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
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I’m well aware
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
It’s Sam hell -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Like shooting fish in a Home Depot bucket -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
We take and twist to our own language. Sorry. Man 18z Euro get us all white for Christmas -
59 at 709 cst and it's now 52 in 3 mintues potent!
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I don’t mean to be a pretentious ass, but I’ve read “Sam hell” on these forums 50 times over the years, but there is no such expression. It’s Sam Hill. Sorry.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
This screamer reminds me explicitly of the ones we had in Nov: Dec 93-94. Monsters -
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Xmas 2020 was pretty epic. We lost power Xmas morning.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yes. -
Light rain and drizzle during past 5 hours or so, temp locked between 39-40. Currently 39.4/38.8.
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Always take the under. The best winds are always from some unhyped front coming through.
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Dam that line is fierce. 2 squall lines just merged into 1 down in Tennessee.
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in case folks missed the BTV area discussion earlier: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 Sfc analysis places powerful and deepening 985mb low pres near Ely MN, while a 1030mb high pres is acrs the north Atlantic. Upper air analysis shows sharpening full latitude mid/upper lvl trof acrs the central Plains, while deep moisture advection continues on a strengthening south to southwest flow in the 925mb to 500mb layer. As sfc low pres deepens the 925mb to 850mb wind fields strengthens overnight into Friday acrs our region. The NAM and RAP both show progged 850mb winds of 75 to 90 knots, while 925mb winds are in the 55 to 70 knot range, highest over the northern Dacks into the northern CPV. The difficult challenge continues to be how much mixing occurs, as the strongest winds are co-located with the axis of heaviest rainfall. However, given the progged fine line of convective showers by NAM3KM/HRRR, the embedded heavier down pours would have the potential to tap very strong winds in the 925mb to 850mb layer and transfer some higher speeds to the sfc. Given this potential and latest RAP/HRRR soundings showing 500 foot agl winds of 45 to 55 knots, with 59 knots at Malone at 12z Friday, we have expanded the wind advisory. HREF shows 60 to 80% prob of 60 mph or greater winds along the Route 11 corridor and acrs parts of central/northern VT with <30% prob of winds greater than 65 mph, while indicating 90 to 100% of winds >45 mph acrs most of our cwa. Did consider High Wind Warning for northern Dacks, but southeast direction and still some uncertainty on boundary layer mixing, may limit areal coverage of 60 mph wind gusts. Still something to watch closely. Also, have some concerns over southern Greens with southeast downslope gusts near Rutland, but soundings are showing slightly weaker low level wind fields and limited mixing due to the moist adiabatic sounding profile and weak inversion above ridgetop. Generally thinking wind gusts in the 45 to 55 mph range, which wl peak between 4 AM and Noon on Friday.
