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Flood Watch canceled.

I don't sugar coat things for CoastalWx.

This needs to be brought back under control. Who's running the show at these agencies? A special marine morning with "a strong shower" and a FFW when I can't find anything more than some sprinkles within 100mi on radar. We've reached Baghdad Bob levels of forecasting. I guess if you're gonna be wrong all the time you might as well be spectacularly wrong. Get it to together, you're supposed to be pros.

No offense to average joes but the general public does not know or care about the difference between a flood and a flash flood. Might as well just say flood and call it a day. Only us weather weenies will understand the difference.

Seems kind of bossy

Flush your DNS cache and reset your IP on my PC. It can be done from the command line prompt in Windows. Google it, it is easy. After doing it, reboot.

Going back a bit, I was talking about PWM record high tides on a post. I got an updated table from GYX (attached). Some interesting items that I learned. Storm surge and storm tide are 2 different things, but we often use them interchangeably. Storm surge is the water height deviation from atmospheric phenomena in itself, nothing else. Storm tide takes into account everything, the atmospheric contribution, monthly astro tides, the 19 year tidal epoch, coast rise/drop, and anything else that may influence a tide height. In the NEUS, we use storm tide the most b/c we have 2 high tides a day and our tidal ranges are high. Along the Gulf Coast, storm surge used most often b/c there is only 1 high tide a day and the tidal range is low. For PWM, 3 of the 5 highest storm surges are not even in the top 20 highest storm tides, so that shows how one is not necessarily related to the other. For proper historical scaling and an objective meteorological POV, storm surge is what one would use b/c that has only one factor. For storm tides, one may note that we've had 5 top ten tides in the last 8 years. But that is not a level playing field. PWM sea level has risen about 8" in 100 years, and more than half of that is due to local land subsidence.

I can see the gap heading my way lol. Ofc the way these storms fire and die then fire again eleswhere, hard to predict based on radar.

What a fucking bunch of nothing.

.06 today 2 day total of .10

I’ve not had 2” raining 3 months.

Nope!

Man I've wanted a good light show for a long time now. I've got a D850 and some great lenses for it but I need storms for the shot to exist!

I meant more so in the abstract as Vortex mentioned they no longer issue flash flood watches at all. I understand the rationale of "we have too many different products", but situations like this make me wonder if the flash flood watch could've stayed.

Its gonna be just south of me most likely. There is a front that is slowly sinking southward. The stuff that fired up earlier today(and went severe) was to my NE and also SE may have been enhanced by (DE) bay breezes/ ocean breezes. That's the problem with this setup and why many won't see anything significant- there is no large scale forcing mechanism and wind shear is pretty meager. The storms are more pulsed and difficult to sustain.

Looks like it works on cellular data. Not WiFi. Weird. Don’t feel like configuring DNS shit.

This is his shtick. Like I said, it makes me curious and not upset. Thank you, I've said this before but its posters like you that have made me get to where I am now. I still remember when you told me to post less and listen more; and you were right, my earlier posts back in 2021-2024 were... bad. I still make mistakes, my analysis isn't great or even close to you or meteorologists ones, but I like to think I can now point out concepts that might impact events decently well. I'm taking climatology in the fall (maybe I'll learn some teleconnections for winter) and then synoptic meteorology in the spring so by next year at this time I should hopefully be far better. Then again, the posts from our mets here oftentimes teach the nuances that aren't covered in class. I hope they never see my sometimes skeptical posts as doubting their or the NWS knowledge and earned authority, but just trying to add a wrinkle into the conversation to help me learn.

Man I wish I could meet the person behind these posts. I am genuinely curious why you are the way you are. I would love to meet the guy who types 20 periods and then does the next sentence correctly. I want to know who is on a weather form while being vehemently against climate change. I would love to see the person who seemingly thinks they know more than studied meteorologists. I want to meet the person who had "expectations" for a teenager on the AMWX forms, and then feels "severe disappointment" over what I've become. Why am I disappointing to you? Is it because I believe in degreed meteorologists over the whims of a stranger? Is it because I believe in the science of climate change? Is it because I don't baselessly use anecdotes for forecasting and I push back on those who do? Despite your often demeaning posts towards me I can't seem to find any emotion in me for you but curiosity, and maybe a bit of pity.

.06 so far with this developing batch

soon come

There is no flash flood watch.. it's a flood watch. There is the potential for flash flooding to occur, and if it does, then a flash flood warning would be put into effect.

I wish I could lol. Seems like theres a boundary across our region. Hopefully it lights up this evening.

Send some over this way(of both). Nothing but a patch of drizzle here so far.