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Probably gonna lose thermals if it does
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So at 213 moisture building in the SW, but seems to me that sw gonna slide and dig into the southwest. We'll see
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GFS trying to do something at 210...hold on
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It's a bummer we can't buy a Gulf Coast low. It will take tremendous vorticity advection and a negatively tilted trof to spawn a surface reflection close to the coast in this setup. We are likely stuck with the primary over the lakes and a weak secondary reflection well offshore until the wave gets past New England latitudes. Even a little bit of southern stream interaction with the ULL could generate the surface low we need to initiate the self amplifying processes of surface deepening and trof sharpening. Without that to key on, this looks like a long shot.
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What storm was that bro? I don’t remember a 10 inches storm
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You are a troll. You knew that was going to be the outcome at 144. But I do love your enthusiasm.
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Yes, that’s the place to be. Jim Cantore and his crew are packing up as we speak
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3 years. Which is outrageous out here. I have literally stopped losing my shit over it anymore. I am old and have become a grandad at this point. An inch makes my granddaughters smile. And that is really all that matters to me.
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Wish there weren't so many cooks in the kitchen and we had a clean PNA ridge because that's some explosive potential there.
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Pretty wild ending there on the GFS .
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See you guys in Maine
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
At least it bombs out over Cape Cod. They deserve it -
Well that part is our fault. We choose what we give time to...and in a setup like this I wouldn't give it much beyond a curious look at the model runs vs. a serious tracking look.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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Congrats ACK on the op GFS.
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We don’t win anything man. Weather… sports? When is the last time you got double digits
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You gotta start looking at this like a slot machine man. We win some. We lose a lot more. But when we hit the big one....
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The gif that keeps on gifing
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Uh oh… -
The only thing it’s capturing is our time wasted
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3 shortwaves on the map at 180 and not a damn thing will come out of it
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CMC not looking great either through 120hrs. Similar to GFS.
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At 144 it is trying to capture and tug it. So close.
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Nina gonna nina...seems favorable wave spacing is one of the hardest things to get!
