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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
stormtracker replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
You’re fired. -
My question now is what is everyone's opinion on what could go wrong with this storm causing much lower snowfall amounts then modeled in certain areas ?
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That low does NOT want to move wow
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2/23/26 Last Chance SEVA Snow Threat
Coach McGuirk replied to Coach McGuirk's topic in Southeastern States
Just barely in a winter storm warning for 2-4 inches of snow Sunday night. -
How, on the eve of a HECS, does one possibly find themselves so downtrodden they are reduced to looking at D11 2m temp maps? Look... I'm here, too, losering it up, so I can say that. 12°F
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Grape flavored Crystal Lite water...recovering alcoholic with 4 little kids After examine the mid levels of the EURO, this looks like Juno and March 14, 2018. I just mean with respect to placement of the band, so don't get spooked out west.....different evolution this time. -
Just barely in a winter storm warning for 2-4 inches of snow.
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Snows itself out
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IMO its impossible for any model to pinpoint exactly where any extreme amounts will fall caused by banding - have seen that happen in many storms over the years.
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Good luck to the interior crew. My yearly visit to here. I hate (bc I'm jealous) how peaceful it is in here lol.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
78Blizzard replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
SREF held serve at 03z from 21z. Still a crushing. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
WxWatcher007 replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Thite plains sounds like a lovely place. -
SPC is forecasting a thundersnow risk! ...Discussion... Strong short-wave trough is digging southeast toward the OH Valley late this evening. This feature will phase with the southern stream and induce a surface low off the NC coast early in the period. Intense deepening is expected with this offshore cyclone which will lift north-northeast during the overnight hours. Isolated thunderstorms may develop along the trailing cold front as it surges south across the FL Peninsula during the day, but poor lapse rates and weak buoyancy suggest the risk for robust convection is not particularly high. Intense low-level warm advection will aid the potential for lightning discharge in midlevel convection along the middle Atlantic coast and southern New England. Forecast soundings suggest the majority of this activity will be within heavier snow bands along the northwest-north side of the cyclone. Across the Pacific northwest, significant midlevel cooling and steepening lapse rates are expected along the WA coast by early afternoon. Weak SBCAPE is expected to develop across this region and some risk for lightning is possible with convection that develops within this warm-advection regime.
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Did anyone post the 3z RAP?
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
TheSnowman replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
https://www.wcvb.com/article/massachusetts-snow-storm-blizzard-warning-noreaster/70448418 Does this channel think CT & the rest of the storm doesn’t Exist? Lol -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
WeatherGeek2025 replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
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He's getting possibly the blizzard of the decade for our sub named after him just as Randy did in 2016.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
tiger_deF replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Way ahead of you. Vodka cran or a classic G&T? -
Jakem started following The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026
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We love him too lol
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I have someone else in mind. @Allsnow
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Table of entries _ Allsnow Blizzard snow predictions _ Feb 22-23 2026 ... order of entry is determined by NYC forecasts ... FORECASTER ___________ NYC_LGA_ISP_JFK_EWR ____________ (error sq) _______ (error) TriPOL __________________ 29.8_25.0_32.0_33.0_26.0 ________ coastalplainsnowman___ 28.0_30.0_31.0_29.0_32.0 ________ kat5hurricane ___________25.0_23.0_27.0_26.0_35.0 ________ UKWeatherGeek ________22.4_23.2_23.7_19.4_21.1 _________ hmdeutsch98 ___________ 21.1_22.2_24.8_18.1_20.8 _________ dmillz25 _________________21.1_20.6_24.6_19.6_20.5 _________ WeatherGeek2025 ______21.0_21.0_26.0_22.0_18.0 _________ CPcantmeasuresnow____ 19.8_19.4_24.5_21.0_19.6 _________ Northshorekid __________ 19.8_19.2_22.8_20.9_17.4 __________ MJ0812__________________19.4_22.0_22.7_27.4_21.3 _________ hudsonvalley21 _________ 18.9_19.7_26.2_23.7_24.4 _________ Stormlover74 ___________ 18.7_21.3_19.1 _20.2_19.7 __________ brooklynwx99 __________ 18.6_19.2_21.1 _20.3_18.1 __________ JM1220 _________________ 18.4_19.1_20.6_23.2_18.7 __________ NsWx516 ________________ 18.0_20.0_25.0_21.0_23.0 _________ __ Consensus (median)__ 18.0_19.2_23.0_20.0_19.0 _________ Snowlover11 _____________ 18.0_19.0_22.0_20.0_17.0 _________ jaysoner _________________17.8_19.9_ 23.5_20.6_20.5 __________ DonSutherland1 _________ 17.8_18.5_23.0_20.0_18.0 __________ A_Status _________________17.2_18.4_21.2_23.8_18.9 __________ RJay ____________________ 17.0_19.0_ 21.0_ 20.0_19.0 __________ Roger Smith _____________ 16.5_17.0_23.9_14.5_16.8 __________ SACRUS _________________ 16.0_17.4_20.0_19.1_18.6 __________ NegNAO _________________ 15.8_17.9_27.5_22.6_18.5 __________ hooralph _________________15.1_18.2_22.5_19.8_17.5 __________ Prue11 ___________________ 15.0_18.0_23.0_17.0_19.0 __________ Juliancolton _____________ 13.4_15.7_24.0_16.2_21.3 __________ WintryMixmaster ________ 12.9_13.0_15.8_13.9_ 13.2 __________ BxEngine ________________ 12.3_14.9_22.0_17.5_12.8 __________ Stormpc _________________ 11.8_14.4_16.7_ 12.0_14.8 __________ dseagull __________________9.4_12.5_16.0_13.3 _11.8 ___________ <<< FORECASTS (or edits) AFTER THIS POST WILL NOT BE INCLUDED IN CONTEST SCORING >>> 30 entries received by deadline
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread
LeesburgWx replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Feeling confident Loudoun ends up in the Norlun band. Just about every model places it over me here. Putting all my chips in on it as the CCB is likely staying east of here -
You look at the last 4 days of Euro runs and then compare it with this, it's actually crazy. Last 16 runs of the gfs
