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Agreed, maintaining cold anamolies for two months will be extremely difficult. Especially based on the performance of March recently. .
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61.3/49 Tooooorch
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Most of these winter outlooks are just guesses. Last year who had below normal temps for DEC-Feb and 50-60 inches of snow for us?!?!
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It has been a near perfect foliage season. Even without any rain the ground isn't really drying out and, strangely, a few light freezes hasn't ended the growing season. I'm amazed at how healthy and deep green my front "lawn" is.
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62 currently…gonna be gorgeous.
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It really is ridiculous. That's literally 80% of our winters the past decade
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temp over 60 now, where's the wind ?
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Nonsense - he is predicting 10 - 40 inches total snowfall for Zone 4 ???? Why doesn't he just say he has no idea..................plus he seems so sure the early polar vortex disruption will be a short one and December will be a mild basically snowless month. He is one of the very few reputable METS online taking that chance before the vortex disruption even started........
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I wouldn't be so sure of that, GFS has a cold bias in the long range. Several times it's show huge cold shots at the end of the run and so far it's just been can kicking. -
vortex95 started following 8 More AWOS METAR Sites Now Avaiable
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K3M7 - Lafayette TN KK61 - Beloit KS KHSR - Hot Springs SD KLIU - Littlefield TX KN66 - Oneonta NY PAAE - Ouzinkie AK PANO - Nondalton AK PFKK - Kokhanok AK
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
soadforecasterx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Already 56 here. TORCH!
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Record latest freeze watch for MSP. November 18th is the date to beat.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
March could snap back... -
I can see 50"-80" from my house but will have to deal with only 20"-50"...
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56° dewy and raining oak leaves
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Central PA Autumn 2026
Mount Joy Snowman replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 50. A perfect ten today, whether that means the weather or your lady I’ll let up to you to decide. Happy Friday. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Cosgrove for NE US: after a mild DJ is going for frigid Feb and cold Mar. -
Thank goodness the models will be coming out an hour earlier starting next week!
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That's crazy -
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It's been one of the most beautiful Octobers that I can remember. Arctic blue sky, perfect temps, no rain. It's not that dry. The trails i hike in the woods are moist like they usually are from November to May. The shorter days and low sun angle doesn't dry things out.
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Hopefully this one does not vaporize as well.
