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  2. Weather is so strange sometimes. This is IMBY 2.3" of 10:1 on the 18z NAM with first system... On the 12z NAM it was 6.7" Somehow ended up with 9.3" of 10:1 on 18z NAM with both systems. On the 12z NAM it was 11". Not too bad despite "losing" 4.4" with the first system not hitting. 15.5 Kuchera on 18z NAM and 15.4 Kuchera on 12z NAM so gained 0.1 somehow.
  3. NAM was never more south. It was colder at first and then the primary held on and went too far north and transfered late. Is it right? Who knows. Looks like we have the usual warm tongue to worry about. RRFS looks better and maybe the hi rez will be better as well.
  4. Yeah, I actually deleted my post. It WAS progressing identically through about 18z Sunday or slightly later, and then was substantially worse after that.
  5. Just wait until they come out with NAM.ai lol...get your weenie googles out!
  6. By tonight/tomorrow 0z-12z we should see NAM start handling the thermals better.
  7. By 7pm NAM has sleet line up into Northumberland County, extreme southern tier is taint from 1pm on. Holding the line for itself ha. I'll give in until 0z to course correct.
  8. Its about 30 miles further north which is a huge difference since that encompasses most of the metro
  9. The NAM kinda does truncate at hour 36 I believe? Could make sense.
  10. The coastal never gets cranking and we are flooded with warm air. Is it right? Who knows.
  11. 7pm Sunday SCPA is mixing with sleet. I still think it is too warm
  12. Now I’m confused was reading NAM was more south now it looks bad?
  13. I definitely see these as a potential for you to be posting Tuesday morning about how you “ can’t believe” you got 24” lol
  14. I mean it has the FGEN but only bothers to bring it north after we all are sleeting. The HRRR has FGEN more spread out which makes sense imo with this setup and then its real band is right on the snow/sleet line
  15. Yikes, not what we wanted to see, but it's the NAM. It giveth and taketh away every cycle.
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