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  2. Chicago Storm
    not really north. you get that illusion due to the changes in the precip field, which is caused by different interactions aloft.
  3. cmillzz
    ICON almost looks like a nonevent lol. Parts of Wisconsin still get slammed, but it's without a doubt weaker and north.
  4. cmillzz
    you said "definitely a cool start to spring". really hope you're trolling, otherwise you just appear to be mentally challenged in some capacity.
  5. fyredog28 started following Severe Weather Thread 2026
  6. RogueWaves
    5.5" today. May be bigger than this big dog. Waiting for GRR's overnight updates but from the APX latest for Gladwin east of me, another wet 3-5" seems reasonable unless things really shift south.
  7. Jebman
    Love your Flickr photos. You sure get some interesting weather up there!
  8. SnowenOutThere
    To my relatively novice eyes the 0z NAM run looks primed. Lapse rates, decent enough cape, and ofc insane shear.
  9. dendrite
    You can search them by date here https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml
  10. frostfern
    I can’t handle the stress anymore. My nerves are shot. I’d go if others are in charge of driving and navigation / radar monitoring. I just want to be able to take footage.
  11. McHenrySnow
    Huge difference in E IA between NAM and 3K.
  12. NorthHillsWx
    58.3 for the high
  13. frostfern
    NW trend took me out of the ice and put me in the severe risk. Most likely elevated storms over a cold surface layer yet again. Don’t need any more heavy rain at the moment. Pre-greenup season really amplifies the effects of precip anomalies. Too dry you get fires, too wet you get floods.
  14. frostfern
    That is insane for synoptic wind! After long stretch of mostly uneventful weather, this March has been anything but boring.
  15. wxmeddler
    I'm fairly well convinced that the recent SPC changes have fundamentally altered the way higher percentages are given out. So much so that most of the SPC climatology is going to have to be tossed / step-changed. Arguably for the better though! SPC Forecasters have repeatedly said that the % were under-done due to the way the rubric was constructed. That's why things like NadoCast and PPF's were always markedly higher. New 30%D3 is the old 15%. And that's good! I think it better conveys the actual risk. It's just going to get some getting used to.
  16. Today
  17. sbnwx85
    SBN’s top gust was 68 mph today.
  18. Runman292
    Crazy to see the hatched area include most of the marginal risk areas as well.
  19. The 4 Seasons
    Well it looks like we found an answer to no PNS from BOX pre 1997.. it's there just under a different product name OPU. I just checked jan 1996 is there, Feb 1995 is there. Thanks to @vortex95for that. Big help. Looks like I'll have to go back and re do all the storms pre 1997 that I didn't have BOX and ALY PNS for which will help a lot. They are all on the IEM site.
  20. nw baltimore wx
    I’ll be there 4/11
  21. Nomz
    That's about a good of a definition of the two tornado alleys as you can get.
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    Not really a good N. Hemisphere 500mb pattern until the NAO goes negative the last week of March ENSEMBLE LOOP The SW, US ridge as a dominant factor is the best going for us, as a we drop a trough over and east of it, the pattern of the Winter.
  23. Stormchaserchuck1
    Early March Stratosphere warming is starting to connect with -NAO on long range models towards the end of March.
  24. Rd9108
    This is the third time this year my power has gown out. Im getting sick of this.
  25. Eskimo Joe
  26. Paleocene
    Tree branches down all over the place in silver spring. I guess lots were weakened by heavy wet snow this month and last. And our very cold winter and recent freeze/thaw/boil cycle.
  27. vortex95
    Check out these historical snowstorms for NC: https://x.com/webberweather/status/2017664133848830174 https://x.com/webberweather/status/2017748647543509317 The March 1927 event - HOLY ( )!!!, and we thought what happened this season was impressive in NC?? So you may want to contact this person as to where and how gets all his snowfall data. Actually, he lists his sources on the snowfall map attached! I think there is a lot data out there you could use to produce in detail many pre mid-1990s events for SNE.
  28. mnchaserguy
    Hrrr coming back south a bit. Making me cautiously optimistic that I might actually end up in the bullseye for MSP on this one. .
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