All Activity

BEST news EVER, lets keep it down

I hate being "that guy" but I have a flight with my 2 kids Monday noon out of BOS ... should I wait for model wiggle before looking at changes, or is this event looking locked? Please share any opinions. Thanks in advance from a respectful longtime lurker and enthusiast.

You don't get it

I like the GEFS signal for Saturday.

Here's the SPIRE for reference... quite INSPIRING

We’re in the winter playoffs. No more pre-game handshakes and hugs.

Maybe barely an inch on grassy or shaded areas. Roads never coated.

Wait the UKie shows this. Doesn't make sense

0.53” here

Ukie also a nice hit - didn't see anybody mention it. .

The pac giving the models problems. Play gfs/icon vs cmc H5 and you can sort of see why they’re doing what they’re doing. I don’t like that the 6z euro is camp cmc, but hopefully that changes here soon

lol

80s for highs days before and a lot of the snow accumulated during the day for ORH. Toss those sun angle arguments long and far if you have the temps and rates.

Uncle shows a good sized snowstorm

Ukie on board with the Miller B type scenario for Sunday. We may have another week of tracking ahead fellas. Buckle up.

Ike is the only model with anything approaching that. UKie is a rain storm. So you may only have to shovel rain...

Starts as rain but goes over to 7-10” southern Md into Pa

UKIE starts as rain but flips to mod-heavy snow as the low turns stronger

Now quick, go on social media and pretend to commiserate, hope it misses/ flowers boom.

We shall see what the 12z model suite has in store for us. Alternatively, I've never seen donsutherland1 start a thread before. Would love to see him start one.

https://sierraattahoe.com/live-cams/

It still amazes me it was in the 80s for high several days before. Just is the ultimate "freak out" for ppl! Even more amazing IMHO is that inland sections of SNE already had an official heatwave late April in 2002, and then accumulating snow a month later, during the DAY no less. And the intensity was nothing like May 9-10, 1977, nor was the pattern. If you look at the 500 for 5/18/02, you will go "that produced low-elevation accumulation snow in SNE???!!!" May 1977 you can track the 500 trough from nrn Hudson's Bay days before. It drops almost due S and evolved into a massive 5 contour cut-off low just S of New England. Take a look 12z 5/10/77. Last closed contour goes from Newfoundland to RDU! Omega block. Of note, the block moved E enough for the wrn trough to move E and resulted on the "7 Fabled Days in the Plains" for large, highly visible tornadoes, esp. in the TX/OK Panhandles. It does not look impressive on SVRPLOT, but that was long before storm chasing became popular and detailed account of svr wx were limited if populated areas were not hit. But from a storm chasing POV, it was unreal. Similar to the first week of June 1995 for the same area. Lots of footage of that as Project VORTEX was on it!

.1, was surprised to see that much, a solid 9" at the stake.