All Activity

Severe is to hard to be predict/modeled than snow.We even saw this in our parts last week where Saturday was being modeled as more severe than Thursday even a couple days before,but it ended up opposite Nashville disco this morning even mentioned Social Media.It's goning wild.Even one person bringing up 2011 that have many,.many followers,you shouldnt even bring up 2011 this far out.

Man what a chiller and I think several low temp records got set with IAD at 27 and BWI 30. I thought I would make it to 31 but hit 29 and Frederick bottomed at 25 and stayed at or below 28 for 4.5 hours

Yeah it did not say why just unknown outage. Funny thing is they are usually pretty good about sending a text about any outage. We never got one until after service was restored. Still says service is being looked at but have been up and running since 8:30. Need to figure out the EV charger though. While it is powered it says it is offline with the WiFi. Think it may just be a unplug and replug issue, but could be that the connection was lost and has to be re-established. Up to 54 here now. HVAC install is almost done. House is holding at 68, cooler than what it is when the heating is on but just have a jacket on.

https://www.cnn.com/2026/04/21/us/deaths-disappearances-scientists-investigation ..they've hit the Climatology community, too, if there weren't so many of them.

Maybe this will be the year we don’t make it?

Down to 28 this morning W of BWI. I have no memory of a spring freeze around here after Apr 21.

lots of denial itt

green up coming along nicely

We need a sustained, humid airmass. We've basically been living in the Plains the last few years.

If a chunk of blu-santi ice dropped from a plane's toilet and landed in my yard, it's an event! We live in SEPA, we take what we can get. Had a number of azaleas bloom last week and they took a beating these past two nights 48F at noon.

One of the reanalyses would be the best for that. ERA5, etc. Don’t know off the top of my head if there’s useful web visualization of those. PSU ewall used to, but those were like 1993 level graphics quality lol

31 this morning for the low Despite being on LI and near the water, spring is my favorite season. Of course there's plenty of crappy days with clouds, rain, and can't forget allergies! But the days where it's 65-75 and sunny are the best weather days of the year IMO. That in addition to long days, late sunsets, high sun angle, and the greening up of the landscape is pleasant to see after seeing brown and gray all winter. It's amazing how different a 50 degree day feels when its cloudy vs when its sunny this time of year

Related to what you’re saying: As JB has emphasized, the models in 2023 that had the beautiful E US trough/Aleutian low that some of us here were repeatedly posting and very excited about were also forecasting the typical BN SSTs around Australia. Had it actually been relatively cold around Australia, JB believes that the E US would have had a cold winter. But alas, it turned out warm around Australia, atypical of El Niño. Is 2026 going to end up colder around Australia like JB expects?

Keep it out. More chilly weather coming.

was a very strange feeling mowing my front lawn with the sun out, 45°, and snowflakes hitting me in the face

Worcester, PA. down to 22.8 last night. Now up to 44. Ready for summer !!! Despite the limited rain - grass is growing pretty fast. .

But that also had the -PDO from hell (which I think you're referring to) that just killed any chance. It could happen again, but odds don't favor that happening again imho.

December 2023 wasn't in the 30s most days. It rained a lot, but it was a really warm December. It was either the 2nd or 3rd warmest December (along with 2021), both behind 2015. I think it was December 2022 that was in the 30s most days but hostile for snow, although December 2024 could fit that profile as well.

Not way out in fantasy range anymore

today was probably the last day i was in winter gear until this fall..

We need several long round of slow, soaking rain and unfortunately that just doesn't seem to be in the cards.

Switzerland is amazing and very accessible.

Deep nap. They are out there flying around once the sun is out.

low of 26f here.

Man thats awesome. I haven't been out of the country yet but I possibly planning to go to the Alps this May before I start my summer coaching job. Do you have any recommendations on locations/any other advice?