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I remember it doing pretty poorly early on before the 23-24 nino. If i remember it had a ‘09-‘10 redux with the canadian and -nao block and broad mid latitude troughing in CONUS.

Wettest May on record with 10.31" for the month (previously 9.05" set in 1995). Washout of a month. Good riddance.

And we’re off…

I can’t speak to winter, but my full expectation given the conditions in the Atlantic is that the strengthening Nino will be even more suppressive than some of the current seasonal predictions.

I'd go ahead and cancel all outdoor plans and go with stable cool/wet weather - it fits the unrelenting persistence to seek out and destroy any free hours that collective civility would have any chance to experience. Don't fight it

Where is Ji? He usually opens an early winter prognostication thread by March. it is time!!!

NYC finished exactly normal for May 48F low

WB June Can. Long range for the winter. Hopefully just cold enough...

Was there a synoptic reason for the relative precip minimum in the northern piedmont and NW coastal plain? During the recent wet period over and over again strong cells would drift SW to NE from SC but they would suddenly start to weaken a sthey went north, leaving us to get crumbs up here. Sometimes the remnant cell would actually actually seem to redeveloped after it moved past. Was that just bad luck?

Warmest meteorological spring in recorded history

Heat and big humidity kick in this weekend, it seems. Also a very, very dry pattern ahead.

Hail falling w/o any rain is quite rare in New England, and the East Coast for that matter, owning to the more moist climate and lack of an EML the vast majority of the time.

So I have a question that someone relates to the June topic. I just posted in the winter form for this upcoming winter as well. I saw a few different posts now from different people saying they're expecting a Modoki El nino for the upcoming summer and winter. From what I'm reading, that gives us a completely opposite effect of a typical super El Nino. Meaning, not as hot of a summer, not as suppressed when it comes to hurricanes, and a colder stormy year pattern for the winter. Figured more people are in this current June discussion topic than they are right now in the winter discussion ( that's been crickets, as it should be )

It didn't cave last year or the year before either fwiw, and did pretty well with the BN temps forecasts.

So I'm just curious. I saw a few posts from different people saying that they're expecting this El nino to be a Modoki El Nino for the summer and winter. And they're saying with that it's opposite of a typical El nino. Just curious on thoughts from you guys on this

Woke up to rain/mist this morning...another dreary day.

I'd take the February 83 renegade storm and call it a win !

Op Euro looks dry through the middle of June. Hopefully the recent wet period was a sign of change and not an aberration. We need continued rain. The water table is still quite below average.

Weekend is going to be all about the warm front. I would not be surprised if guidance is a bit too hung up with the warm front and at least southern areas end up in the warm sector. But not a good sign when you see the sfc low weaken as it crosses the Great Lakes region. That's a good way to stall the warm front or transition it to a stationary front and we never truly warm sector and end up cool with clouds/showers. Uncertainty high for sure weekend and early next week...potential is there to get quite warm but need things to work out

so?

57 and raining now. Craptastic.

Juneorch at its best.

Shit day. Too cold.

15 years ago today was the most insane severe weather day I have ever experienced. June 1. 2011.