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They cant be like the razors edge of emotions in this forum dude. They are a govt agency that people depend on for stability of information. At some point they have to convey to millions of people that a major winter storm will be threatening the region tomorrow that will make travel difficult and potentially life threatening and they dont need the noise of 1-2 inch differences between each model run to undermine that obligation.
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Well the good news if we get screwed is that it all gets washed away in a couple days anyway. At least we're getting snow opportunities this year
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Merry Christmas everyone!!
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Hoping we save it up here, NWS seems confident in all snow for our neck of the woods but the models look ugly outside the ensembles.
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Overnight ensembles all show the PAC jet finally extending again early in January. This kills the Aleutian ridge and starts to develop a nice +PNA. -NAO also persists. I’m not punting the next couple weeks by any means, but if that look in the pacific sector is durable, we could get a very favorable pattern going into peak climo around Jan 10.
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Got to admit, it may not be a torch pattern, but it's not a snow pattern. Even to our north, there's nothing screaming out on the ensembles as a legit threat. This rollover pattern (NW to SE) that gave VA their substantial snows and mostly modest event for DCA/BWI, now NYC area, is lousy for area wide snowfall. Luck always plays a part in snowfall, but this pattern requires lottery winning type of luck.
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26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
Baroclinic Zone replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
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Somebody had too much brandy in their eggnog last night
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Merry Christmas to all. Not much to celebrate on the long range looks at the moment, is there? Oh well
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26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
dendrite replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
AI. Don’t do it. -
26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
dendrite replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Jns2183 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You do realize every other model is 4x-5x that? Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
Kitz Craver replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
Merry Christmas all! Should be a fun day of modeling -
58 degrees on Christmas morning. Disgusting
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26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
CoastalWx replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
CJ potential here maybe for an inch or two extra. -
Boxing Night Snow/Sleet/Ice Dec 26-27 Storm Thread/Obs.
Birds~69 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Thinking 2-3" snow then crunchy crunch crunch. Not horrible. At least we are tracking something..... Merry Christmas all! 33F -
26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
Ginx snewx replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
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26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
CoastalWx replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
I meant that it may help drive snow a little more NE. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Merry Christmas everyone! -
26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
CoastalWx replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
Merry Christmas! -
Merry Christmas to everyone today. I hope everyone has a great Christmas!
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26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
Ginx snewx replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
Where what model.
