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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This generic analysis is pretty useless and won't bare much fruit this year. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Define "well above average"....if you mean like +5F, I don't think you're getting that anytime soon. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
NoCORH4L replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
North of the lakes region, it looks like they'll actually add to their pack, even through the weekend. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
A-L-E-K replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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30 years ago Thursday it had snowed for 50 hrs, giving us 30". 10 days later, I had 3.20" of rain and a flood!
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I'm starting to worry that the Jan 14-17 window is getting can kicked a bit since the 6-10 day eastern trough is getting less strong and the ridging over it is stronger. But the good news is MJO is starting to curve into 7 around day 15. So the pattern change after the 18th is probably real. Still not counting us out for the mid-Jan system, but there could be temp issues east of the BR.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 27. There is no greater joy in life than waking up to Blizz having posted GFS 240+ hour snow threats. Always brings a smile to my face haha. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
deep deep winter -
2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
La nina being basically dead does not mean it's not going to torch. In fact, the last time a la nina dissipated (in 2023), January and February absolutely torched in the East. Remember, the East has been in a cool pattern since August. We are due for a well above average temperature departure month. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I had 3-5" to include both events, Should end up on that high end as 3" tonight looks doable. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
In the end 2-3 for me and 3-5 for you seems right. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
sauss06 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
If i was a betting man, i'd put my money on Friday 1/30-2/1 -
A Finnish start-up has introduced the first commercial solid-state battery: light-weight, durable, fast charging, and inexpensive. If product claims pan out, EV performance, which is already matching combustion vehicles, will improve dramatically. https://insideevs.com/news/783380/first-production-ready-all-solid-state-battery-official-specs/
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I'm heading back up today----I've been away for over a week. No doubt there's a few inches from a few events waiting to be cleared. - Today
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Blizzard of 96?
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Happy anniversary to the big dog
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
06z GFS, 3.4", 06z 3k Nam is around 4.9", 06z HRRR which has been awful was 6.4"......... -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Looks like most of the qpf will be in the form of snow.......NCP when it lightens up tomorrow. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
UnitedWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
From my barely trained eye it seems at least the GFS is yo-yoing on that for the weekend, for your area -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
The colder trend for the weekend has not made it into my forecast -
Well, if... IF (yes, I know) it was simply to remove him and install the duly elected people i have NO problem with it. Now, moving forward, and some of those statements
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
UnitedWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
GFS is looking a little colder again for the weekend, and for tonight in NNE. Still has activity in the longer range... stay tuned -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
1.8" final here, On to tonight's system. -
The 2018 snows in Savannah and Atlanta bookended the trip for my wife's first brain surgery at Emory that year...
