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It’s rain in all of WVA - no shot

Chicago NWS

Ton of qpf incoming at 130. Will to be cold enough is the question.

I think this is gonna be a continuation of the bad 18z trend - norther

111hrs it's now a touch stronger than 18z. Damn see-saw ride.

Maybe?

At 105hrs on 0z, Gfs trough a touch weaker than 18z fwiw.

48hr QPF for those more concerned about ratios

Similar totals as the 18z run

0z gfs seems to be wanting to speed up the system imo. Definitely moving out quicker than 18z and definitely faster than other models It wasn't too drastically different but definitely nervous on that trend starting

slightly lower totals across the board, vs the 18z

to be fair icon is literally the worst model, we have to look at the euro and see if it made that west trend

And weaker/drier

new gfs maybe seems slightly south w/ the surface low?

For s.a.g before gfs

Looking pretty solid for you. I80 north definitely has highest chance of seeing warning criteria. Slightly lower temperatures and higher ratios. A bit further from warm nose pushing north. As low passes by could get some wraparound and lake effect with n to ne flow off Lake Michigan. South of I80 could see warning criteria as well but more south you get there could be more issues with temps/snow ratios and lesser totals. But this looks like a decent spread the wealth event.

00z ICON

57 and moist Actually feels great after the last couple weeks of chilly, dry ball numbing cold.

mid 70s were nice today. 47F now and dropping in the high altitude regions of the District.

12z Euro had us all drooling. Only to have 18z back to reality. Everything else in middle

good win for the caps - rough day for the DMV.

The best winter storm I ever saw was the blizzard of 79. Presidents Day storm no 1 .. I was only 12 at the time... At the height of the storm bwi got 17 inches in 5 hours.. snowfall rates of 3.5 inches an hour. I remember waking up about 3 am looking outside and it was snowing so hard the whole street was lit up. I was 12. And even after all the storms I've seen since.... I still haven't seen it snow as hard as it did in that storm. I remember my next door neighbor measured 24 inches. That blizzard is what got me hooked on the weather and meteorology. Been studying it ever since

Down to 37.9/20.5, looks like a few flakes are flying by the deck lights in the wind. Speaking of, had a 43 mph gust about 90 minutes ago.

I'm off through the weekend so will get to experience this one from the weather enthusiast side. In all honestly, haven't looked at model data since my shift ended this morning lol. How are trends for Chicagoland? Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk

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