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I'd be very concerned if I lived in Wisconsin because they've yet to get any of the snow you've predicted over the past month.

Rain has arrived well ahead of schedule in Philly, which might diminish the severe threat since I don't expect to see much more sun or make a run at 80 given the radar

He never puts them…or the model.

Right smack in the middle of Ineedarealitycheck's expectation for winter's return... 'nough said. heh... yeah it's D11 so ... zip confidence. Altho, it's fair enough to say that there is an emerging warm signal beyond the 20th in the indices. My personal feel on things is that winter is over. We may get a 'spring snow' at some point, but I don't see that happening for the next 10 days, and beyond that... I get increasingly more soured by the implications of CC more and more every passing year. When combining that with post equinoxian solar irradiance ... doesn't send my sixth sense into any cold feel

He’s had some decent storms. Needs to realize this ain’t ICT.

long range forecast based on the GEFS/EPS, cool down next week then I see another warm up towards the end of the month before a cool and dreary april. Heights start to build over Scandy late month and retro towards greenland by the end of March. April is at least going to start blocky imo.

Been clouds all day for me.

SPC site is slow. Anything going on? Couple models juice up the southern stream and get cells going ahead of the line in MS/AL. Otherwise this whole thing is mainly a line from Tennessee to the Deep South. I lean toward the latter mainly straight winds.

the wrf-arw and arw2 both show it too... me personally I think it's cracked out. we'll see though. Would be pretty cool just to see flakes after it being 80 today.

Another period of warmth after next week’s cooldown…

Isn't it cool by you today?

timing is bad for most of the area imo, area's out west might get some wind damage though

Hoping for a few showers.

Some good news. Hopefully, with lake ice coverage well below historical averages, we'll see somewhat less of a lake influence on spring temperatures this year. *Fingers crossed*

I must be getting old enough to not know the new/kewl acronyms. What does TTH stand for? Talk to the hand? Guess that'd be TTTH. EDIT: nm, answered above.

Friendly reminder that snow accumulation does not reflect what the model thinks will stick. It reflects the amount of QPF that the model has falling as snow. The issue of why the QPF has over 0.50" of liquid falling at the tail end of this event is, however, a fully legit question.

Same here. This warmth sucks.

Epic snow for Wisconsin and long overdue. Decent stuff for Iowa. Nobody deserves it more.

The GFS has been spot on this entire winter! I heard it’s verification scores are off the charts like my IQ.

[emoji12] .

LOL wow. .

We’ve jumped to 87.4 since

Didn't expect to see groundcover flowers in bloom when I woke up Persian speedwell