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  2. At this point it might not even by overperform - just “perform”
  3. NAM is horrible. Either NAM or NWS busts big time tomorrow.
  4. Now cast time. Models can’t save you.
  5. Would love to do that. My wife says no way. She takes it down the weekend after New Years....But I do put it up the weekend after Halloween so yeah.
  6. I"m going to need to see some support from the 00Z CMC RDPS / HRDPS before I give much weight to this. If it is onto something both the RDPS and HRDPS should start to see it.
  7. Just dropped another degree to 24 degrees. No model really had us dropping temps like this.
  8. NYC metro has biggest upside potential. The surface high position/intensity and antecedent is pretty well perfect. It’s one of the rare times to bet against the “warming 925 - 800 into go time”
  9. Freezing rain in Mt Airy and Temperature of 19 Outside. Never remember freezing rain at 19 degrees before. Anyone know if there is a temperature that will erode the warm nose?
  10. This would align with the colder air that the models weren’t picking up right?
  11. That heavy qpf along the gulf coast is robbing the moisture up here. Happens every time.
  12. OK kids and baby Mets your 0Z HRRR from clowns like us LFG Still snowing at 48
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