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  2. You have their data from March 2001?
  3. 29 this morning. Hard freeze expected again Friday night and Saturday high around 42. Last freeze here is usually end of March/early April. So figure a few more weeks before growing season begins
  4. Normal temps this time of year are fantastic with the late March into April sun. I’ll gladly take that right now. I’m ready for spring (NOT SUMMER). I have my limits
  5. Today's mid 30's feels SO much better than yesterday's mid 30's. Sunshine changes everything.
  6. The death ridge in early April won't help either.
  7. Yes, correct. Neutral/-QBO would be higher than nina/-qbo and Neutral/+QBO would be lower than nino/+qbo.
  8. Reposting some of the charts I posted previously. Your line doesn't look anything like the raw data from individual stations. There is no significant difference in warming between individual Chester County stations and the Philadelphia Airport. Of course cooling station moves should be excluded. That's why the West Chester plot ends in 1969. Per the table below, there are big changes in the Chester County station population that you aren't accounting for. In comparison, the Philadelphia airport heat island is mature and isn't changing much from decade to decade. If heat island is important, why ignore the movement of Chester County stations out of towns after World War II?
  9. I remember those vividly...had like 6" and then 8" to finish the best winter of my life in style.
  10. In addition to Fairbanks, cities such as Anchorage and Yellowknife, NW Territories as well as the area in between and surrounding have a chance to have their all time record coldest Marches. That’s ~2,000 miles long and ~400 miles wide area (~800K square mile area). Does anyone have a link to monthly records for Canadian cities and more specifically Yellowknife? Anyone have a link to maps showing historic temperature anomalies by month for Canada like we have for the US? Yellowknife in March of 2026: Mean temp March 1-23: -26C Normal for entire month: -16C March 2026 so far: https://www.predictwind.com/weather/canada/northwest-territories/yellowknife/march Normals in C: https://weatherspark.com/y/2362/Average-Weather-in-Yellowknife-Northwest-Territories-Canada-Year-Round
  11. As I recall, in order of most likely to least likely to have a SSWE during winter: El Niño/-QBO, La Niña/-QBO, El Niño/+QBO, La Niña/+QBO
  12. I do know what you mean on that....unlike other disappointments, like 12-5-03, PD II, 1-29-22 and even 12/96 round two to a degree, I wasn't even close this time. I missed 2' by like 40 miles and the holy grail by like 60 miles. It was only awful because guidance got it up here, and then pulled away at the last moment.
  13. Fishing for smallmouths for years on the river. Use 6lb and 12lb Fluorocarbon mostly . Currently 44 degrees. Looks like some more rain Friday.
  14. nice headed out lewes/rehobo way for easter... fingers crossed for a torch
  15. 2.59” melted through the tipper here. Sad.
  16. I had hope that the cold front on Friday would at least bring some showers but it is looking more and more anemic.
  17. The last 4 years, Stratosphere has been a huge hit with favored QBO state Nov-Feb. +QBO -QBO It doesn't automatically translate to AO state, although this Nov's SSW did precede more -AO conditions early to mid Winter. The last 2 March Stratosphere warmings have not lead to -NAO conditions +time. Typically Stratosphere warmings have a lag, and coolings correlate at 0-day
  18. Today
  19. meanwhile up here in ville, 9" of snow, and 1.5" of rain MTD
  20. Thursday night looks like another round
  21. My guess is that we will have a completely different stratosphere/SPV this coming winter given the anticipated +QBO/El Niño/+IOD
  22. felt like a january morning today..
  23. I noted this active wx pattern in my Holiday forecasts for April 1, and Easter weekend. Rough part is that I still can get some sn/ice out of this, especially at night/early morning.
  24. Nice day today with highs around 40. Looks like a mix coming for Wed-Thurs. Then a quick shot of cooler wx.
  25. Two storms between 22 and 24” probably would justify an A or close to it, but it also felt like only a 5-6 week blitz and not much more. It was cold in December into January but not a whole lot to show for it which left a sour taste in my mouth. Same with March. Also as greedy as this sounds, being 10 miles away from something historic kind of left you wanting more too. But I certainly will take all of this over the absolute garbage we’ve had recently. Once the snow finally came around MLK, it stayed into the second week of March. I guess a B+.
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