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Recon descending into the storm now

0.90” of rain on the day here in Lebanon, 7.81” MTD and now 35.19” YTD .

Euro coming west this run ?

5 posted yet ?

Loving the temps rn. Not many trees near where I live..lol. Sort of spoiled growing up on the East Coast with the heavy tree cover and only an hour from Shenandoah National Park and Skyline Drive.

Day 1 marginal risk issued for east tn for 5% damaging wind and 5% hail .

Arizona/New Mexico would have serious issues if Polo tracks east toward baja and into the SW.

Looks like we have to toss euro AI

.83 today so far

Euro AI maximizes well south through. Meh.

Euro AI would dump a ton of rain over the tristate

Think they are out to lunch on this one

Euro AI

Agreed with that. We've seen this time and time again at this hour.

the strong HP is in a better position north of the storm in Canada blocking the LP back into the coast further south which the Canadian and GFS does not do with the HP a few hundred miles southwest of the Euro position

still enough time for anything to happen in regards to the track of the LP IMO - Upton and Mount Holly leaving their options open - greatest risk with this is coastal flooding

Euro AI

ok my complex is gone. WE did good rain last evening. No more bitchin from me. We picked up .57" here. Ill take it hapily. Been cloudy all day now the sun has popped out some. See if we can create some more instability to get more storms

damn, still cheaper than fuel oil. One cord of hardwood has approximately 25MBTUs, $550 200 gallons of fuel oil is approximately 26MBTUs, $1,200 A fuel oil fired furnace is probably ~10% more efficient that a well performing wood stove, but still, wood looks like a good deal even at $550 per cord.

FYI, here is the most recent OHC map from Rosenstiel. Polo is currently positioned over a deep, warm eddy. The 26° isotherm is around 70-80 meters (250 ft) in depth.

Couple of rounds of storms last night and temps are in the 70s currently. Finally close to normal.

My favorite pic so far at Yosemite

Yup, Just a total wipeout of all trees over six feet tall.