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  2. Just crossed Afton headed west - according to the jeep, the temp rose from 30 in Crozet to 33/34 with elevation on the mt before dropping back down in Waynesboro...
  3. Sitting above freezing here with the slightest onshore breeze. Just inland is in the low 20s and still dropping. Wouldn't be surprised if inland South Jersey starts off as wintry precip tomorrow
  4. Looks like I bottomed out at 19.8 at 11:13pm....edged up to 20.7 since.
  5. Winter Storm Bellamy hit parts of the Midwest fairly hard on Saturday to become TWC’s second named storm of the season, and then the system continued its eastward trek and started to affect our area by early Sunday morning. Throughout the day it brought light snow to the area, and by the afternoon we’d picked up about an inch of accumulation in the valley. Coupled with the accumulations from the midweek system, I figured it would be worth a quick ski tour to see how the powder was building up in the higher elevations, so my older son and I headed up to Bolton Valley in the mid to late-afternoon. We toured on the lower 2/3 of Wilderness and found a general 3 to 4 inches of powder coating the existing base in untracked areas. That seemed about what one might expect based on picking up a couple of inches from each of these past couple of systems, and conditions were actually a bit better than I’d expected because I was worried that the wind might have blow the snow around and left us with little powder to ski. Indeed the snow was fairly light and dry (my liquid analyses from the two storms averaged out to snow in roughly the 5% H2O range for liquid equivalent), so it was nowhere near enough for a resurfacing, but it definitely offered up some nice turns on lower angle terrain. Most turns weren’t bottomless, but you’d get some bottomless turns here and there where the powder had settled in a bit deeper. This was certainly a case where denser snow would have made a huge difference in resurfacing, but there was only so much liquid equivalent with these past couple of systems in this area, so they could only do so much to cover the subsurface. The next storm in the queue has been named Winter Storm Chan, and it looks like it could add a more substantial shot of snow to the slopes – Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories are up throughout the area. So, on top of the snow that’s already fallen in the past few days, it definitely holds the potential to kick the conditions up another notch.
  6. 9.7F currently. 10F at MVL. It’s mid-winter outside, snow depth is limited at home but 3” of settled powder covering the grass helps with the aesthetics. Higher elevations see snow depth escalate rapidly.
  7. Absolutely Insane…almost an 80 degree rise(79).
  8. Maybe we'll only get an inch, but it'll be plenty to cause a zillion accidents Wed morning. Everyone's brain fell out over the summer. Tires? What tires?
  9. Definitely over performing here. We’re not even under a WWA. Not sure if it technically warrants that as well probably only end up with ~2in but so far it’s enough to make the roads a mess. They salted earlier but i haven’t seen them plow or resalt since things started and it’s making the roads a slick mess which i dint think the public was prepared for. Sure is pretty to get a fresh coating though!
  10. It's crazy how much bust potential is involved here,any tick s and e and we all back in the game. All it takes is a mile here or 10 miles there. Also 0z gfs ticked cooler. Patterson,nj is now the furthest west the rain falls.
  11. It's actually below freezing where I am per the car thermometer. 30 on the dot.
  12. I always remember 1/14/99 ZR in the single digits in S NH and HIE went from -33 to 46.
  13. Yeah that ocean wind will raise temps for any coastal areas pretty quick. I am at 27 right now, which might be the low for the overnight hours.
  14. it’s usually a 10m bike ride for me to work… brisk but not too bad even in winter. Begging my gf for a ride tomorrow morning lol
  15. yep - it'll be what it's gonna be in the morning. Hopefully walking my kids to school (it's less than 2 blocks lol) isn't that gross.
  16. Two things I've noticed while looping recent HRRR runs... the model has been playing catchup for 6 or 7 runs on temperatures overnight. It has been steadily correcting colder throughout the Northeast. And it hasn't been correcting (i.e., trading off) dewpoints to compensate. It's a cold airmass. The second thing that is well depicted is the strong surge of warmth/higher dewpoints coming from the SSE right into our area during the day tomorrow. That should warm the boundary layer in a hurry. That suggests maybe there could be a quick burst of snow/sleet (surprisingly heavy?) to just west of I-95 tomorrow morning with snow then changing to rain pretty far north of the area as the day progresses.
  17. 22/20. One of the coldest nights so far and all for some rain.
  18. Temp is 29 after falling to 27 earlier. Clouds are moving in.
  19. Currently 26.2 degrees with a dew point of 21.4 degrees. The clouds started coming in about an hour ago. Temp had bottomed out at 23.5. If the snow can start before sunrise, that will give a great head start on snow retention on pavement/sidewalks. We shall see in the morning.
  20. Can’t bring myself to wake up tonight to see the 3 minutes of snow we’ll probably get. Hopefully we’ve got better days ahead
  21. I'm not trying to be mean, but this was too good an opportunity to pass up...
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