All Activity

I’m pretty disappointed that no one commented on the 6z nam at 90 hours.

Snowing in Stephenson

For a day anyway! .

If you actually look at 500 mb anomalies you’ll see exactly what I’m talking about.

Dude, I actually look at models. I know what I’m talking about just like the storm on Monday.

as an all-season weather head, I just want wild weather to return

We have a 10% chance of 12+". Let's make it count!

And what a glorious, glorious thing it is.

Nobody does…he’s struggling. Been all messed up all season. Ya hate to see it.

That's beautiful may take a day trip to see

Great charts showing how much smaller the geographic footprint and magnitude of these Arctic arctic outbreaks have become relative to the areas of record warmth. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/uspa/warm-cold/0 Climatologist49 ‪@climatologist49.bsky.social‬ Follow The Dec-Jan period was the 7th warmest for the Contiguous U.S. since 1940. 21.1% had the warmest Dec-Jan during that period. 0.0% had the coldest Dec-Jan; 0.0% had the 2nd coldest, 0.0% had the 3rd coldest, .... all the way thru the 13th coldest. 9:32 PM · Feb 4,

This winter is far from over. A ton of anomalously cold air in Canada and tendency for that air to intrude south periodically. It’s only less than mid February. I would be surprised if most places around the NYC metro that are sitting on between 25-30” of snow didn’t finish +40”.

Got down to 32 overnight

Don't buy your line of thought at all.

I do have to agree with @NEG NAO's maps of late February. I think there is a small window of opportunity for cold (and maybe a snowstorm) in the final week of February, but this will be like threading the needle. However, it is not going to last, as the MJO is heading towards phase 6 in the last days of February or the first days of March. That's the worst phase for cold and snow. Those hoping for a 3rd act 4/7/2003 snowstorm, I just don't see it in the cards this spring.

February isn’t a winter month anymore, it’s the new March. Last years snow was as fluky as March snow used to be

Are you sure it’s not dandruff?.

This year should be much wetter I would imagine...hopefully El Nino doesn't get too strong.

Looks like a decent snow shower coming down the Catoctins.

What kind of leader are you?.

Maybe we can get the 6z gfs to lock in

Flurries...

Oh, I definitely think we will see snow again, I’m just not sure of anything impactful IMBY. Definitely not over for points north. Probably some good snow ahead for Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan.

At least we have upslope pics to get us through.