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This generic analysis is pretty useless and won't bare much fruit this year.

Define "well above average"....if you mean like +5F, I don't think you're getting that anytime soon.

North of the lakes region, it looks like they'll actually add to their pack, even through the weekend.

30 years ago Thursday it had snowed for 50 hrs, giving us 30". 10 days later, I had 3.20" of rain and a flood!

I'm starting to worry that the Jan 14-17 window is getting can kicked a bit since the 6-10 day eastern trough is getting less strong and the ridging over it is stronger. But the good news is MJO is starting to curve into 7 around day 15. So the pattern change after the 18th is probably real. Still not counting us out for the mid-Jan system, but there could be temp issues east of the BR.

Low of 27. There is no greater joy in life than waking up to Blizz having posted GFS 240+ hour snow threats. Always brings a smile to my face haha.

deep deep winter

La nina being basically dead does not mean it's not going to torch. In fact, the last time a la nina dissipated (in 2023), January and February absolutely torched in the East. Remember, the East has been in a cool pattern since August. We are due for a well above average temperature departure month.

I had 3-5" to include both events, Should end up on that high end as 3" tonight looks doable.

In the end 2-3 for me and 3-5 for you seems right.

If i was a betting man, i'd put my money on Friday 1/30-2/1

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I'm heading back up today----I've been away for over a week. No doubt there's a few inches from a few events waiting to be cleared.

Blizzard of 96?

Happy anniversary to the big dog

06z GFS, 3.4", 06z 3k Nam is around 4.9", 06z HRRR which has been awful was 6.4".........

Looks like most of the qpf will be in the form of snow.......NCP when it lightens up tomorrow.

From my barely trained eye it seems at least the GFS is yo-yoing on that for the weekend, for your area

The colder trend for the weekend has not made it into my forecast

Well, if... IF (yes, I know) it was simply to remove him and install the duly elected people i have NO problem with it. Now, moving forward, and some of those statements

GFS is looking a little colder again for the weekend, and for tonight in NNE. Still has activity in the longer range... stay tuned

1.8" final here, On to tonight's system.

The 2018 snows in Savannah and Atlanta bookended the trip for my wife's first brain surgery at Emory that year...