All Activity

High of 76 today. Just picked up .19" in the last hour.

.44 rain today in Marysville.

We made the drive out to the cabin in Swanton this afternoon. Drove through heavy rain for several hours, it was a mess. 50F here now with misty rain but we're supposed to get well into the teens with snow showers by the end of the week. Hopefully my first flakes of the season in person.

When I was a sophomore (2000 I think) at college in Flint,MI the night before my Digitals 2 and Calculus 4 final exams we got 16" of snow. Whole college shut down and all the finals were canceled! I can't remember how they ultimately calculated our grades but we were all pretty stoked about it.

December is coming out onto the stage saying hold my beer.

Looking at the McHenry extended forecast temps look good for snow making once we get to Thursday. Hopefully Wisp can get going in the next couple of weeks

I would put the warm up around the week of christmas (unfortunately) and into the new year as of now. The MJO is in no real hurry so we may not get into 1/2 until January but start the warm up process at the tail-end of the potential phase 8. Going to be a tough forecast for December in the temp anomaly contest thread.

rain about to taper off but that was a good soaker

Same should be said about doom and gloom posts about D15-30 patterns.

Heavy rain here

Welcome to that 70's show

Just flipped to snow here. Still thinking 3-4” with a solid ice/slush base from the 0.36” of rain earlier

I’ve seen rug pulls happen even closer to the event than 3 days before.

That is a crazy sequence of events in the final week to Christmas. Is it better to have loved and lost, than not have at all? This was 2015 Stowe/Mansfield on Christmas Day. Only Xmas Day since 1954 with no snow on the ground at the Co-Op stake. This November reached a higher snow depth than was seen at any point during that 2015-16 winter.

Climo wise, this time of year you'd expect these systems to cut hard and drop heavier snows across the Great Plains. I can't recall seeing a setup just like this in a long time with the antecedent trough over the Great Lakes.

Looks like we may play Kansas in the 3rd place game, due to the margin of victory metric in play.

0.36 so far

Im not surprised at all with the volatility from basically all the models. We had an SSW or at least a significant weakening of the PV. We also have the MJO doing its thing and it's a good thing at that. The models have had a really tough time in the mid-range this season. A lot going on in the atmospheric river.

Those moths are great in spring into early summer for eating Oaks. Those are the winter moths or Silkworms , Cankerworms .and Leafrollers . There’s a few different species.. We had a huge crop the last 2-3 years here.. each one heavier than the last . Hoping for full deforestation soon

.39 rain today.

The NAM is tentatively scheduled to be retired in March 2026. After a ton of delays through the years for various reasons, we finally have a time. I'd expect it may shift a bit, but the point is, the end is finally near.

Another fairly well modeled to overperforming event

Choose and cut Christmas tree farm