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Why u say that? It has multiple model support and ensembles support

If you do not mind, was this west of the 6z eps.

Well that settles it

Pretty similar at 500mb to this gem

If a storm thread gets started before Thursday, I swear I will hunt you down!! Both landlord and my son were here. We're dug out. I have a flat tire AND a broken windshield washer thingy --on the driver's side of course! Son has the piece needed but he's in the tractor and the part is in his truck. I might be stuck home another day! Temps are going to dip this evening. It's frigid out there. @ 25F but sun feels nice.

You and I can agree to disagree and be friends. The GFS was closer at 12z Saturday for Augusta at 5.9". The Euro was 6.8" I didn't record the NAM but suspect it was closest.

1/25/2000 - never forget

MI clipper dreamfest winter.

I see. Well, honestly this thing is probably only going to hit Hampton Roads. I just know from experience as someone near Richmond. I feel like this one has to hit Richmond in order to hit y'all and I can tell you right now having to count on that track ain’t good.

record low for friday is -5°. Might be in jeopardy.

This one is a long shot.

WOW

I think it has a decent chance to meander NW. We have five or so days for that happen. Nothing is written in stone, yet.

Thank God!!

The key thing to watch on the Euro for the next runs is we need the 500mb s/w to dig WEST over Minnesota at valid time 00z Jan 30. The 12z euro didn't dig that as far west as 6z did, and hence the result. So when watching for trends, watch the 500mb vorticity over the Minnesota/Wisconsin/upper lakes.

And Ahoskie!

Making adjustment to my totals the sleet bucket has 2" in it trusting that more than ground measurements of 1.50" 8.5" snow + 2" sleet 10.50"

It is a slow go out there even with me getting minimal freezing rain. My 20’ long 3.5feet wide house sidewalk took about 45 minutes and would usually take 10-15

I would like to see 48"...

.

Here's the EPS Ensemble pressure centers from last nights run (06Z). Will hopefully see the members tighten up around the coast in the next run.

You must be real close to Narrowsburg Ny? I have a buddy who lives in Beach Lake. He just called and said the drifts were real bad in that area. I'm just south of Hamlin Pa, on the very northern edge of the Pocono Plateau close to 84.

We can ask to be crushed by every run for 144 hours lol. But yes I agree, at this stage we need to be in the game, and we are.

Even if we miss out on the bulk of the coastal, we only need a few tenths of an inch of QPF to really generate some fun/meaningful powder given the arctic air being pulled in behind the storm