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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thats always "relevant" in his posts lol. Just like the last 2 cold winters we had, global temps wont matter to most next winter, nor will how how strong the nino is. The sensible weather in anyones location is what most of us really care about. So as we get thru summer and towards Fall, it will be interesting to see what you, 40/70 and others who lack a strong bias and have a forecasting background start to think as the winter approaches. -
All my snow was gone by midday. It's Colorado so you never know, but, that appears to be the end of any snow chance for the season.
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Severe drought for pretty much all of MD except for the western highlands.
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You mean its always the same?
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A tenth here last night. Like a broken record. Looks like another tenth possible this weekend lol. Getting ridiculous.
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I have no official meteorological observation but I sure am glad to experience this slightly training band of moderate rain northeast of CLT.
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Amazing there’s no fatalities with a cell that violent. It really was a perfect confluence of ingredients; high SRH, an increasing LLJ, ample space from other storms and plenty of instability.
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Windy with a temp down to 53 degrees already.
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2026 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Of course you are! Nice NW breeze and dryer air as arrived. I ended up with 1.2 inches of rain. -
Just had an s tier thunder crack Even the cold shit pattern delivering lapse rate bangers
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44 and light rn/fog here in Wolf. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Perfect spring day. No notes. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yep. 1972 was a good example of a -PDO super El Niño. The -PDO is going to have no limiting effect on this developing super El Niño thanks to the extreme ++PMM that’s in place. In fact, it’s not only helping to kill the trades, enhancing the warming, it’s also working to support the development of an east-based/EP event, as per the research I’ve already shared in this thread a couple of pages ago, explaining how a +PMM favors east-based/EP El Niños -
Yea I can still workout in wind pants. I’d like it to be warmer, but the sunshine today is top shelf.
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This weather is a Bob Ross painting.
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Yes, the low humidity has been fantastic for the lawn. No brown patch or fungus issues with temps and humidity like this.
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It’s perfect out there right now!
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Haha I’ll blame something. Southern wake got over 1.5” radar estimate. This is still our biggest rain in forever
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I'm ready for shorts weather. My hoodies and sweatpants are getting worn out.
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Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Carvers Gap replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
More patchy frost tonight over the northern valley into SW VA. This is getting old fast(covering up stuff)! These temps have been steadily going in reverse since those mid-80s summertime, bluebird days a few weeks ago! 57F at TRI right now. Feels like February.- 218 replies
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Haven't gotten into permethrin yet, just vigilance once I'm back inside. Worked all but once; in November 2022 one found a hiding place in the short hairs and had a drink. It was quickly dispatched but only after infecting me with anaplasmosis, which messed with my balance and eyesight along with making me feel awful. Doxy to the rescue. 10 AM thru 12:30 was spent on the woodlot, with its abundant horizontal fir (thanks to Dec 18, 2023), also wandered thru the cedar swamp, a cool area in both senses. Only found one tick so far, likely a couple will turn up to be squashed. Great day to be in the woods, except for the black flies. They're still only checking the menu, but also checking out eyes and ear canals.
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Had some heavy rains form overnight as a line came through. Walking out to the chilly air felt great!
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Blame the gravity waves.
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0.48" for the day here. A nice surprise, as was expecting a few tenths at best.
