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Wasn’t even looking there lol. Just watching the interaction out west. Might need the PV to stay there if the Baja comes out and phases out west.

That's what the CMC and UKIE are doing. NAM has it basically where the GFS does.

I lurk from the TN forum. Too many times none, or only one, of us score so let's all cash in on this one!!

00z Icon is running right now, will go through the event period

@LongRanger moving this here but just curious what you are seeing with the NWS cert. i have looked via a FiOS connected desktop and not seeing what you’re seeing. Also checked via T-Mobile phone and iPad as well as a Verizon connected cell. Also tried with all extensions disabled, both with and without custom DNS settings. I just cannot duplicate the invalid cert you are seeing. And actually add an Xfinity connection now too showing valid.

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The models don't bring in the bulk of the precipitation in until either early Saturday morning or late Saturday morning currently.

Yes... I haven't felt this good in a long time. I don't even know the procedure, it's been so long.

Two are for this Saturday...I threw in one bonus map for the entire run.

Would love to see that vortex in Canada drift a bit to the north and west by 50+ miles.

spaceweatherlive has the Kp down to 6 now. It was very frustrating because everything was there except the Bz. Even down here the sky would have lit up had that been negative.

I’d weenie myself but if it’s there I’ll look at it!

Ngl I don't remember very many snow nights even of the dab variety from last year

seen enough of these set ups to know this ain't our storm. too cold, suppression, whatever, can't win em all. well, can't win any big events these days.....i can't shovel big amounts anyway. 3-6 is fine.

Haha. Was just thinking how fun the NAM runs are going to be tomorrow and Wednesday. I remember that thing spitting out 50 inch totals in 2016.

The gfs isn’t exactly a flush hit up here. Not saying it won’t happen, but certainly my part of the subforum isn’t a lock yet. I need to see better consensus from the big dog models.

No need to nickel and dime... </Optimism> Once the weekend storm slows down a little more allowing a clean phase with that northern stream piece dropping into the dakotas, the storm will move back north hammering us with 16 inches. </Optimism>

Wonder how many people are lurking here now. Sign up and join the fun. This one is going to be a crazy ride.

I was thinking the same thing, but I know CAPE would ban me if I did.

I lived in Olney during the 2016 blizzard Unreal storm. There is a fully buried car in front of the second car in the left. 37” with 6-8 foot drifts. Amazing .

0z ICON kicking off this evening's proceedings.

Thank you my man. I’m a weenie at heart, but I’m also a meteorologist by degree and occupation. It’s important to remain level headed and balanced. I want this stuff as much as anyone, but weather is a fickle beast. Gotta stay grounded! Appreciate the kind words.

It's the PTSD talking. I get it.

Fine I’ll be the one to say it. Good looking end of the run on the NAM

Yellow is 40%+ https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/wssi/prob_wssi.php