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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I can remember we used to have them years ago. And it seemed to occur during around the last week of July, not the first week of September. Also I remember September 2011 Labor day evening had heavy drenching Thunderstorms that dumped over 2 in. Of rain in a very short time on the drought stricken area. My creek came up 3 feet from that thunderstorm. Then a few days later Lee showed up...the rest is history. -
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This is now on the short end of the midrange at no less than 120 hrs out now. Yet, it still should be tabbed with unusual uncertainty due to the lower accuracy of modeling a trough capture interaction. Yet, these are severe modeled impacts we have to watch. I must also be clear that the GFS has had its issues. Really, all global OPs have due to various lacking of data sampling. That being said, five days is, well, five days. We're creeping closer into short-range territory. Does this hold? I must admit I don't like this appearance. Any undermodeling of that trough and cutoff evolution, and we're even further east. Never like to be east of these when it comes to a southwesterly steering current.
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Can't believe I'm saying this on day 3 but alas...
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I do not think the northern tier has to worry about those temps.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Ended up with 0.50” overnight. Safe bet to say I’ll tack on to that in the next 24hrs. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
SouthCoastMA replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
seems like some showers regenerating to my west. Should crack .30" at least Dews gonna be in the low 70s later -
Heavy rain, with lightening and thunder last night; woke up one of our kids. Not sure how much fell.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
soadforecasterx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Got 0.54" from the line that came through yesterday afternoon and 0.54" from rain over night. -
You and me both
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I missed out on the more significant rains the past couple of days (just 0.05 total over 2 days), so this time I got nailed. Have 1.01" for the month so far. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Another 65” from midnight to 7 am. Those storms overnight were marvelous and rare for us. -
Meh not sure if that’s the issue. Pa been worked over but still getting more. We just too far south. But maybe we will see it tonight into tomorrow. Hrrr starting to show a bow echo line between 10pm and midnight for us
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Picked up 0.61" this morning. Up to 1.82" on the month. Not bad for 3 days. -
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The atmosphere is so worked over and there's a metric ton of debris clouds. Classic fail modes in these parts.- 2,390 replies
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
.6” overnight. 1.5” to start September -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Finished up with 0.96" this morning. More possible this afternoon once the temp cranks up. Currently overcast with temp/dp 71. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Typhoon Tip replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
(psst startin to think 'people of earth, get a new planet') -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Autumn thread is up - Noting that I finished up with 0.96" from the early morning storms. Currently 71 with dp 71. -
I choose the black tail.
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Typical. But expected
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The euro has a tumor?
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active pattern today... line after line.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
PA and NY stole this week from us.- 2,390 replies
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Hrrr seems to eventually wake up. NAM has been awful this year. Limping to the grave lol. FV3 and Herpderp seem to do decently.
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