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  2. My snow was only wet for a few hours and then when the real heavy stuff came it was below 32. I actually think it helped make it accumulate more. Areas to my south were getting 3”/hr near 32.
  3. The HREF rarely fails me with its run right before events start. It’s been spot on most storms I’ve experienced. Can someone please tell me what happened with the RGEM though? I was tracking it all Sunday into Sunday night. It busted dry everywhere, and we’re talking runs while the storm is happening. It almost looked like a glitch. Its hires version did better. Just for example here was the rgem/hires rgem 6z run for MA/RI. Ridiculous.
  4. Winter can’t really be anything other than an A here now
  5. A piece of good news is that the models don’t currently have a heavy 1.50”+ rainstorm in the near future. The best outcome going forward would be a series of weaker lows like the current runs are showing without much total QPF. This way we could see many days with gradual melt with highs into the 40s and the increasing sun angle.
  6. Haha. Took a break from some model runs and come back to both the GFS and EURO a miss to the south out here. It is getting comical at this point. Too far north, south, east and west is the Winchester way.
  7. My snowfall is now slightly above normal for the season. I noticed last week that for the first time, possibly ever, my running snowfall average (41.2") is now below what is considered KMGJs (42.2"). The past few years has really been eating into my seasonal average snowfall. So as it stands now, this seasons 44.5" here is the most since '20-'21s 53.8".
  8. I said it after the first failed threat in December, we need all models on board if we expect to score. I should have stuck with that premise over the weekend but put my chips on the failed, overperformer modeling. Oh well, just another live and never learn in the wacky, weenie world of snowpium. As for next week, I haven't even looked at it, taking the one threat/failure at a time approach. One thing is for sure, not saying they will be right, but all modeling ends winter after next week. So if it's going to happen, next week is it.
  9. Some fairly rare NE to SW upslope action in Pen-Mar this AM. Putting down a fresh coating.
  10. Some photos from last night. Adirondack chairs, still uncomfortable, and useless. Note the deck and the lack of snow. Wind just came off the lake and probably blew it all to Providence.
  11. I do think we probably have another 10 days here give or take before it really warms up. Euro still wants one more big cold shot before we warm up too. Should be plenty of time to hit average or above average snow for the season. After mid-March who knows, it may get cold again relatively speaking, but obviously increasingly harder to snow even if it does.
  12. If it wasn't for LES ORD could join RFD in the sub 30 sweepstakes club. Clippers have dusted Chicago a bit more than the rest of N. IL also. Every mile further E/NE under the trough helps. Great winter for Toronto
  13. ..RECORD DAILY LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT ASHEVILLE THE HIGH TEMPERATURE WAS ONLY 28 DEGREES MONDAY, FEBRUARY 23 AT THE ASHEVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD LOW MAXIMUM OF 29 DEGREES, SET IN 1989. RECORDS FOR THE ASHEVILLE AREA GO BACK TO 1869.
  14. Ah ok, yeah, I think I have browsed there before, it's been a few years.
  15. Looks like PYM shat the bed before 11z…power issue? Maybe the raw obs will be saved. I’ll try to remember to check in a week or so.
  16. I think the system ends up further south. We'll end up dry and cold. Even in the areas that get hit by the system won't see too much accumulation due to the March sun angle.
  17. That’s true, I don’t want my license revoked. I knew coming in this was a longshot even though it’s an easy way to win around here…we’d rather do complicated or non ideal setups
  18. Yup…wind failed at TAN. Interesting. Still they had a stretch with frequent gusts over 40 before it crapped out. 1045-1252z…lame. I’d count it.
  19. And I was not being cocky, just trying to save your drivership if this one does not work out.
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