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  2. It’s an unstable longwave pattern so these types don’t last very long. The closest analogs are mostly El Niño years. Early Jan 1952, late Dec 1957 and Dec 1965. Hopefully those roll over the same way because those years had some great patterns a few weeks later. But I kind of agree with @brooklynwx99, it’s not going to verify exactly as depicted for 10-14 days on end. It’s prob going to trend toward something a bit more stable. Hopefully that means on the snowier side for us and not the furnace side.
  3. GaWx has a nice run-to-run post about the 12z GEFS and how it started to lower heights over the NE in response to the NAO. I have had the NAO wreck my ideas more than once(good and bad) both when it appeared suddenly or didn't appear as forecast. It is a true wrecking ball. Until models sort it out, proceeding with caution is wise. I agree.
  4. This is the first 20 day below normal streak for the new 1991-2020 climate normals era. XMACIS2 reset all the prior period departures to the 1991-2020 climate normals. So we don’t have the earlier departures based on 1981-2010, 1971-2000, 1961-1990, 1951-1980..etc.
  5. Ravens WILL win out and they'll win the Division.
  6. Freezing fog tonight, thunderstorms in the forecast for tomorrow night.
  7. My snow cover will take a hit, but I'll probably have a layer of white ice.
  8. Atmospheric River events set to smash hard into the Sierra Cordillera next week about Wednesday. Weather in south central Texas is nice, cloudy drizzle with 62/60 conditions. Some of the modeling is showing ten inch water potential plus near Palisades. If some of that is snow.... Some of those clouds at Mammoth are moving so damn FAST! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge
  9. Aside from random piles, most of the snowcover will be gone by tomorrow here, and I'd imagine most of SNE. Hard to call the 19th cutter a grincher now, unless theres some damage to be done up north.
  10. Have yourself a merry little miserableness .
  11. Serious question: What does it do? is it redundant? Personally didn’t vote for him and don’t deny a warming climate, but what do we lose? Not asking snarky questions so not fishing for snarky responses; just wonder if it’s not something that’s already done elsewhere. (e.g., we have a ton of overlap elsewhere in government that’s used inefficiently) .
  12. High of 43.2°, currently 40.4°.
  13. Fell short of the forecasted high of 51, only made it to 48.
  14. Exactly the same 14.6" here in the western Maine foothills, but with 6" depth and about 0.8" LE.
  15. some of them here in parking lots lasted til around May 1st
  16. According to the Watch Duty app, no new fires today so far. Fingers crossed. Up here it hasn't been too bad yet as my max gust has been 54mph. Cruising the nearby Estes-area Davis stations on WeatherLink, the max I can find is 60mph.
  17. One site, only 27 winters, percentage of total winter snow: n Oct-Dec Oct-Jan El Nino (8) 24% 51% La Nina (7) 25% 48% La Nada (12) 37% 59% SSS, but the outlier seems obvious.
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