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  2. This is your first thunderstorm??
  3. There is a -0.2 correlation with N. Pacific High area in July-Sept. It's not huge in the northern Hemisphere Summer but there usually is still some circulation effects.
  4. Rolling thunder here in 20157. Looks like I might get stuck between lines. Still as can be out right now.
  5. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO1/loop30.html
  6. Thunderstorm #1 of 2026 confirmed!
  7. Hasn't rained here in like 20 minutes, time to raise the drought monitor index
  8. Seems counterintuitive because wouldn’t heat being released in the tropics combined with a cold arctic strengthen the N Pacific low due to a greater contrast?
  9. Nothing wrong, under the circumstances, with a break. As always …..
  10. Just saw that the temp. Was up to 91 at PHL with a dewpoint of 77. Very, very juicy out there! Sun coming out here in Northwest Philadelphia.
  11. Pouring here on the north west side of Winnie in these little convective showers.
  12. Quarryville PA storm spinning aloft, will move toward Atglen in Chester county.
  13. constant thunder now in NW DC - incoming.
  14. Looking at radar, wagons way way SW. Maybe W CT can get in on something but otw. forget about it
  15. Severe thunderstorm warning in McLean. Radar looks primed. Gust front right on my doorstep. Looks fun
  16. Had a quick five minute rain here then done. Looks like it's all south of me now. Nothing severe, classic July storm.
  17. Two distinct storms today in Frederick (not including the one around 4am) and both were the real real. Prolific lightning in both storms with top shelf precip and healthy wind with the 2nd round. Getting some clearing now.
  18. Looking like southern NJ could be in the crosshairs for round 2. Convection already popping
  19. The southern boundary has just cleared my backyard and it’s legit. Good gusts and most impressively it’s not a one and done but sustained southerly winds for over 5 minutes now.
  20. Right - it's not as strong before 2016. If global temps were the main cause though, it wouldn't be over the N. Pacific Hadley Cells. It would probably be over the Arctic or at least some place north of 60N. South sees a dramatic dropoff in average anomalies. I'm pointing out relative anomalies vs the rest of the world. For the sake of discussion, you can't just say that wherever the warmth is occurring it is because of global warming. If coastal NA had the highest anomalies in +PDO, you would say that is because of global warming. The ENSO driving argument is more removed from GW than you imply. There is probably some other pattern in effect.
  21. grabbed a quick quarter inch here, the local vegetation rejoices
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