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You think it'll be that low (for Norrisville)?

Yeah, it's on its own island right now. CMC has it buried in the gulf.

I’m sure the deatbands know where to go, the usual spots…hopefully

Don't know if it means anything, but WB 12Z HRRR is a tick south at HR 31 compared to 6Z in Midwest

Right now I’d go 7-11” for HoCo, Baltimore, and HarCo. 6-8” for DC. 21” for Norrisville.

Most is going to fall between about 4pm Sunday and 2am Monday. That’s 1-2” per hour stuff.

They got to be leaning on gfs. I am curious what the warnings will read later.

Can someone please explain to me like I'm 5 how weather apps like AccuWeather can significantly decrease the ice totals and duration and severity of this storm in Greenville while the models euro/GFS are raising ice totals? Chris Justus is hyping ice totals to catastrophic and giving Greenville .75. I'd say there's a huge difference between the damage .36 of ice will cause as opposed to the .75 most everyone else is forecasting. Why these lowball ice predictions on these apps compared to everyone else? .

I just take solace knowing that y'all suffer the opposite way when there's an unusual summer heatwave...

Word on street is that he is OC of choice for Minter and FO

Weeks like this make work tough. I have two important calls today and I'm not totally engaged.

La la lock it in.

BTV has been hinting at high end ratios up here.

I have 80 pounds of propane a 20,000 BTU vent free propane heater, a DC to AC converter for my jeep and a propane top skillet for cooking in a pan or on a griddle. But Lord, help us if we actually have to use these things for more than a day or so .

Never thought I'd see the day where we're calling 2" per hour 'crap'. Shame.

As of 10 minutes ago

Based on the map Paul just posted, which i had to double and triple check all the time stamps, maybe the real mets are also thinking the models are overdoing the non-snow. Paging @MGorse, as if he’s not busy or anything. ETA: Does that map *include sleet* as snow like some other models? Also off topic and apologize if bantery, but how does the NBM account for some including sleet as 3:1 snow and not others?

tx powergrid watch 2026 all fun and games until you lose power and it's 9 outside

Yeah they're getting smoked up there where no mixing occurs and high ratios

Know HRRR is still outside it's range, but each run keeps slowly inching the snow line a little south each run

Sit inside and watch the shit show unfold. Gonna be pretty frozen there for a few days for people who can NOT handle it.

All my friends and family expect it from me lol. I mean.. my vacation this year was a snow chase on the Tug Hill. 6 feet in 4 days was exactly what I needed lol

Someone along the 84 corridor is gonna get over 20”

Today and tomorrow is dangerous stay inside cold. But the rest of the week i will be in my glory. Deep powder and frigid winter air. Will absolutely be bundling up and taking some scenic walks.