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TellicoWx

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About TellicoWx

  • Birthday 12/12/1977

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KCHA
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Tellico Plains, TN

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  1. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Obs

    I didn't get any at the house, but a mile up the road on top of Coker Creek Mtn picked up 1" overnight. Received 2.84" of rain since Sat night, ready to see the sun now.
  2. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Obs

    On break, made it to 90/10 rain/snow here in Athens to west of 75 lol
  3. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Obs

    Yeah, temps at 38 tho
  4. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Obs

    Rain here in Athens
  5. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Obs

    Down to 35° here, with a heavy mist, seems to be a lot f low level moisture trapped still against the mtns.
  6. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Obs

    Picked up 8" at the state line on the Skyway (maybe more further up on NC side, didn't go all the way over).
  7. TellicoWx

    December 2018 Pattern And Forecast Discussion

    The system around the 15 may squeeze a few snow showers out for the mountains. The trailing 850 vort captures some neg 850s with it, 18z GFS came in further south while 12z Euro came north. With no cold air supply to the north, it's elevation driven. Looking at the teleconnections, around and after the 21st is where I'm interested to see if anything can begin to show up for anything in our forum. PNA is kinda blah.
  8. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    Regarding tonight's moisture, the Euro tries to spinup a weak 850 vort over mid SC, NAM is farthest East just off the coast but dries out the upper layers quicker, while the GFS takes the middle ground. Euro/GFS are both saturated enough thru 700 layer. Loc of the weak impulse and drying from the NW varies the snowfall from 1/2" to 2".
  9. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    If I'm not mistaken, the GFS is the one that had the 90° turn with some of the pieces while the rest were more smooth. I know I dismissed it as Goofy being Goofy, but maybe it's resolution/algorithm wasn't allowing it to tell a complete story. While the higher resolution models, can "see" things better, thier algorithms as designed to smooth out such "noise". One thing I am taking away for this storm modeling wise, if you see pockets of 850s/925s showing up it's a red flag that something is just not right in the thermals regardless of what transition is going on.
  10. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    MRX AFD for tonight: For later tonight however, the backside of the shortwave trough axis will shift back overhead. Model soundings show the column saturating vertically back into the dendritic growth zone again around and after midnight as this occurs. This supports snow spreading back southward across much of the forecast area tonight. No significant changes in that regard as previous forecasts showed at least a rain/snow mix spreading south to the Georgia border late tonight and into Monday morning. There are some doubts with regard to additional snow accumulations tonight. Have another 1-2 inches advertised in the higher terrain tonight, with another half an inch possible in the central and northern valley. Some guidance suggests more is possible, others less, so the going forecast is a middle ground approach. Suspect this is in good standing given the expected low level temperature profiles.
  11. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    Congrats to everyone who got snow, nice cold flood here lol. Looking back I can't help to think of the model solutions that broke the ULL apart into multiple pieces during the transition, with some performing a 90° turn. Just a theory of mine, but I believe that is what may have happened. Instead of a smooth transition, we ended up with multiple pieces at varying layers that jumbled everything up (warm, cold, warm, cold throughout the column). If that is the case, modeling wise our technology hasn't reached that type of resolution ability yet. An interesting system to go back over tho.
  12. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    Highest point on the road is 5390', and Newfound Gap was getting rocked last night, so I would assume it was about the same up there. We got nothing but rain. How did your side do in the low elevations?
  13. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    00z Euro, showed accumulations of an inch or two for McMinn/Monroe area. Some models have it, some dont. MRX updated the point cast this morning here to include up to an inch overnight.
  14. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Discussion

    Yeah they did, they are focused on the 2nd piece of energy for tonight that will have the biggest impact on the central/southern valley.
  15. TellicoWx

    December 8-10 Storm Obs

    Here's a meteogram for you to put in your archives Carvers lol. Latest HRRR for Tri: *check the snow output...you need a bulldozer
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