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For the first time in a long time, a high amp, strong MJO wave is projected to move into phases 7 and 8 come mid-month

I think we need to give this new group time to gel--it's not like this is the same team as last year. I mean they practically cleaned house in coaching, and only like 8 players remain from last year's OD roster. It's hard to imagine that things stay the same the entire year and don't get better. I mean on paper, aside from the bullpen, this SHOULD be a better team. And with new coaching it SHOULD be a better team. SHOULD...lol I mean that would be insane to clean house, finally start spending more and build a better lineup with the productive veteran leadership we've been missing...and not get better. I mean those have been core issues we seem to have addressed. I think it's way to early to give up on the season...because there are a different set of variables at play, and 8 games is not enough time to see how things are gonna come together. It just sucks for the time being,get. I think if we can be around .500 at the end of April that would give things enough time to gel.

Winds turn around to the south between 6a-8a and we should see some steady rain then. Yeah, wicked back door front.

Luckily, Auriema handled the loss with class.

0.4 thanks much

We're already there, IMO. The normal high temperature for today at BWI was 62°. Even if it's a -10 departure for a high, we're still in the 50s.

47F

We've had quite a few fires already this spring too. Very rare for spring to see fires here.

WB 0Z HRRR. Rain moves in by 8 am Sunday east of mountains. Clears west to east starting in the early afternoon. Bad timing but the rain is needed. Potomac already looks low up my way....temps falling back into the lower 50s by sunset.

Yeah, I kind of typed ahead of my thoughts there There was a “surge” between the end of February and sometime in May … most of which occurred in March, but in total it was between .3 to .4°C this is may vary by source. I’ve seen the range. But yeah, that took us right to the doorway we do not know we do not want to go thru, apparently The 1.5 critical threshold. At least we’re not respecting it as a species. And that was not supposed to happen so soon. The surge of that spring close the gap at an alarming rate…outpacing predictions by global modeling and scientists by decades; at the time, it was believed it was temporary. So what’s troubling further, or should be… it has yet to go back really. We are as of right now still just about right there - but it’s obviously varies by tenths of a single degree weekly. There was conjecture in the ambit back in 2923 that it probably would settle back after a while. that has not happened. I don’t recall exactly who said it and where it came from but I do recall. Anyway, the details aren’t really that important… my objection is directed atpeople like that guy making declarative particularly ones that are preposterous like that because they don’t fit the mathematics of what’s actually happening in objective reality.

I am starting to get concerned about precip right now again. We were essentially screwed out of some decent chances of rain the last few days and we really need it. The stream base flows are barely at normal in our local streams but the big issue is that little to no ground water recharge has taken place. These numerous back door cold fronts are dryer than a popcorn fart. Yes it is great to be 80 degrees the last two days but no decent rain events with the back door cold front is very troubling. This begs the question- where in the hell is all of the gulf moisture? The farmers are worried as if this pattern keeps up, they will be turning their fields in the next few weeks with a giant cloud of dust. Also, if you planted annuals the last few days, they will be destroyed with the frost/freeze on Wednesday morning with lows getting near 22 degrees here in the LV. Never plant annuals until after April 15 in our area.

Stupid UConn women. The men held up their part of the bargain (so far). Oh well, the living room's not that bad.

Today's Highs before the natural AC was kicked on PHL: 84 ACY: 81 TTN: 78 New Brnswck: 74 NYC: 73 EWR: 72 BLM: 71 JFK: 70 TEB: 70 LGA: 68 ISP: 67 HPN: 67

Here in methuen the roads are filled with potheads..

Thank you!

I’m at my house in CT. Went from 66F this morning to 46F and light rain. .

59 now after a high of 79. Whe we went to dinner is was summer. When we came out it was fall.

Down to 69F Lancaster. Still 82F Hagerstown. .

This winter was rough on the roads. Just torn up.

where you been all winter man?

Well that rain line was just a splash. I sure hope more develops. I was surprised to hear the news reporting in Asheville on so many wild fires already over that way. I’m hoping this does not turn into a long drought with a lot of fires. My yard already shows summer type cracks.

Not any ENSO correlation.. slight PDO +correlation to the following Dec. A lot of general +SSTA correlation to +PDO and -SSTA correlation to -PDO Following Jan has 0.4 PDO warm/cold pool correlation.. PDO sustains like 63% of the time

I hate backdoor cold fronts...

atleast your close to Agawam now

March PDO: -1.44 down from -1 in Feb https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/pdo/