Ji Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 as of now...I am completely buying the Euro which would give Leesburg 4-6 inches of wet snow. ITS PAYS to live in Leesburg! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 as of now...I am completely buying the Euro which would give Leesburg 4-6 inches of wet snow. ITS PAYS to live in Leesburg! ...til the next coastal brush... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 as of now...I am completely buying the Euro which would give Leesburg 4-6 inches of wet snow. ITS PAYS to live in Leesburg! This is why this possible solution for the Euro is being viewed so negatively here. It doesn't favor the eastern areas. I can't remember the last time the western part of the MA saw a better setup or result than the eastern part, yesterday included. It probably won't happen, but what it does look like is precip. I'll take my chances with type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 This is why this possible solution for the Euro is being viewed so negatively here. It doesn't favor the eastern areas. I can't remember the last time the western part of the MA saw a better setup or result than the eastern part, yesterday included. It probably won't happen, but what it does look like is precip. I'll take my chances with type. I remember it happened more frequently in the late 80s and 90s.. it was typical for Martinsburg, Leesburg, Frederick, etc get snow while all points east of IAD would be sleet or rain. Certainly doesn't happen as much as it used to.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I sure hope we don't have to wait another 5-6 years for wes to get bullish on a 6+ inch snowstorm for DC. we get almost 1 per yr on avg going back to the 1800s so hopefully not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 @ Ian: I didn't know Wes was that old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I remember it happened more frequently in the late 80s and 90s.. it was typical for Martinsburg, Leesburg, Frederick, etc get snow while all points east of IAD would be sleet or rain. Certainly doesn't happen as much as it used to.. Well, I hope nobody takes what I said the wrong way. I certainly am not hoping to see others get rain. I just want stop having to worry about precip. I'd rather worry about temperatures for a change. They seem to let me down less frequently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Well, I hope nobody takes what I said the wrong way. I certainly am not hoping to see others get rain. I just want stop having to worry about precip. I'd rather worry about temperatures for a change. They seem to let me down less frequently. anyone who likes snow in the Balt/Wash area would always choose your area; I almost moved out to Middletown/Myersville area myself in 93 or 94 prior to last winter, your area still did better than the I95 area if it doesn't happen this winter, it will certainly be back to climo come next year I'm sure iow, I wouldn't consider moving any where if I were you and snow was a consideration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 anyone who likes snow in the Balt/Wash area would always choose your area; I almost moved out to Middletown/Myersville area myself in 93 or 94 prior to last winter, your area still did better than the I95 area if it doesn't happen this winter, it will certainly be back to climo come next year I'm sure iow, I wouldn't consider moving any where if I were you and snow was a consideration I grew up in northern Calvert County (Wes-land) and got shafted many times -- the worst might be Superstorm 1993 when we got 6" of wet snow then heavy rain while areas an hour away got 16-24". Once I got settled in a job in DC, I moved out to the far NW suburbs, and it has paid off quite a few times. In the Dec 5, 2003 event, we got a full 8" in Germantown...I arrived at Union Station to WET ground. We have had some frustrating misses this year, but being NW does pay off over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 We definitely need a reshuffle of this rotten pattern. It has been super for cold - But these near misses are just downright agonizing. All I want is a climo snowstorm - A four inch snow accumulation. That can't be asking too much. I know a 4 inch snow is climo for N VA in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I grew up in northern Calvert County (Wes-land) and got shafted many times -- the worst might be Superstorm 1993 when we got 6" of wet snow then heavy rain while areas an hour away got 16-24". Once I got settled in a job in DC, I moved out to the far NW suburbs, and it has paid off quite a few times. In the Dec 5, 2003 event, we got a full 8" in Germantown...I arrived at Union Station to WET ground. We have had some frustrating misses this year, but being NW does pay off over time. If you MUST live in the Mid Atl - Living in Maryland is a must. Marylanders do well in snows that narrowly miss DCA and N VA. Just look at last night. MD got 3 to 7 inches easy, while we agonized over two super skinny snowbands that barely gave us our third half inch blizzard of the memorable 2010-2011 season. IN the Mid Atlantic - Maryland is THE place to be for good snows. I've seen it happen time after time while I cried over a dusting to half an inch - and THIS winter is definitely one of those near miss winters in N VA. This winter, one inch of snow is snowmageddon in DCA. The real kicker is: I am never gonna get out of here. I might as well be in prison. I am serving a life sentence in N VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 We definitely need a reshuffle of this rotten pattern. It has been super for cold - But these near misses are just downright agonizing. All I want is a climo snowstorm - A four inch snow accumulation. That can't be asking too much. I know a 4 inch snow is climo for N VA in January. Yeah and I don't want an edge of your seat scenario. I want to confidently watch snow advect in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Yeah and I don't want an edge of your seat scenario. I want to confidently watch snow advect in. WE get a reshuffle and we keep on getting near misses where storms miraculously swerve around N VA and DCA - I am gonna switch to calling for SPRING. So far - This winter has been disgusting. Part of me already sorta wants April to start. I am getting too damn old to have my heart broken like this over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over again. It's so sad to have such cold weather, with ice in the Potomac, but hardly any snow to show for it. Damn Nina is winning after all. We COULD hire Midlo to blow snow all over Woodbridge though. That would work, in theory.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark304 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 If you MUST live in the Mid Atl - Living in Maryland is a must. Marylanders do well in snows that narrowly miss DCA and N VA. Just look at last night. MD got 3 to 7 inches easy, while we agonized over two super skinny snowbands that barely gave us our third half inch blizzard of the memorable 2010-2011 season. IN the Mid Atlantic - Maryland is THE place to be for good snows. I've seen it happen time after time while I cried over a dusting to half an inch - and THIS winter is definitely one of those near miss winters in N VA. This winter, one inch of snow is snowmageddon in DCA. The real kicker is: I am never gonna get out of here. I might as well be in prison. I am serving a life sentence in N VA. Wrong...on so many levels....LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 warm http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_ten_144m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 warm http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_ten_144m.gif Look on the bright side DC is in the jackpot on this one . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 warm http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_ten_144m.gif Of course. It shows qpf on us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Extended looks very warm on the 18Z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Extended looks very warm on the 18Z GFS. we can only hope this verifies! http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_ten_384m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 as of now...I am completely buying the Euro which would give Leesburg 4-6 inches of wet snow. ITS PAYS to live in Leesburg! Not a chance, ain't gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 warm http://www.nco.ncep....fs_ten_144m.gif Rain up to the Adirondacks.... Plenty of time for the model to totally reverse itself though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 we can only hope this verifies! http://www.nco.ncep....fs_ten_384m.gif Southeast ridge FTW. For a La Nina it's been basically nonexistent this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Not a chance, ain't gonna happen. It's the euro. I can't treat it like the nogaps:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Extended looks very warm on the 18Z GFS. Yup. For whatever reason, the 18Z GFS is back to looking like a complete train wreck. Never even gets all that cold after whatever system goes through (with rain) next week, then it's pretty warm and blah looking. This, after several successive runs showing very cold air and with the cold persisting throughout. Go figure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark304 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I hope at least some of this warmth verifies. We all need a break from the cold out here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 6022 replies in the Jan 11-12 snowstorm all for one inch. Insane hobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Yup. For whatever reason, the 18Z GFS is back to looking like a complete train wreck. Never even gets all that cold after whatever system goes through (with rain) next week, then it's pretty warm and blah looking. This, after several successive runs showing very cold air and with the cold persisting throughout. Go figure! Off run of the GFS. I'm sure the 00Z will show cold again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Off run of the GFS. I'm sure the 00Z will show cold again. Well, maybe, but not so sure that's the reason. I seem to recall some 00Z and 12Z runs a few days ago showing the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 18Z GFS ensemble is warm for the storm too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 GFS ensemble looks colder then the op. Doesn't have a southeast ridge in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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