October Discobs 2026

[JenkinsJinkies]

 

Which will win, the number of jacket weather days or the number of 80 degree days?

[Paleocene]

13 hours ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

 

Which will win, the number of jacket weather days or the number of 80 degree days?

Coin flip!

[Interstate]

Just now, Paleocene said:

Coin flip!

Unless it is Sunday... then it is 100% chance of rain.

[TSSN+]

It’s a warm one. Sitting at 87 right now. 

[stormy]

My 5 model blend for Augusta rainfall from midnight Friday thru 10 pm Sunday is .91"...... This compares to .24" at 8 am Wednesday.

The AI models are similar to the physics models at 2 pm. 

The WPC is in line with the 5 model blend.

[yoda]

I'm willing to bet DCA makes a run at 90 tomorrow 

[Jebman]

It's hard to believe it's been raining all day lol. Backedge is roaring though. Should clear out in 3 hours. Nebraska got most of our moisture  lol.

[EastCoast NPZ]

Gross 

[Paleocene]

44 minutes ago, yoda said:

I'm willing to bet DCA makes a run at 90 tomorrow 

No argument here. It was straight up hot in the afternoon sun in my nhood. Nice evening though once the sun angle got low.

[Jebman]

Yeah back edge and drastic drying taking place only 20 miles west of here. We typically get afternoon rains then clearing, then hazy hot and humid again tomorrow, even in October lol. Eked out about an inch. We got lucky, but many places 950 miles to the north got the jackpot with 8 inches of fresh rain. They are starting out the autumn right with torrential rain followed by a metric ton of El Nino aided snow.

Forecasts claim 100 percent chance of rain in Austin tonight but I know that is nonsense. It's already drying out to the west and the system is speeding east like a runaway freight train. Maybe we'll get more rain later this month, maybe not.

Just looked at my point and click. Don't particularly know what the Texan nws has been smoking lately, 100 percent rain tonight, 90 percent tomorrow? Naaaah.

Hey Austin NWS office, gimme some of what you've been smoking! Damn that stuff must be epic!

[WEATHER53]

85 for my high 

[GramaxRefugee]

1 hour ago, Jebman said:

It's hard to believe it's been raining all day lol. Backedge is roaring though. Should clear out in 3 hours. Nebraska got most of our moisture  lol.

We were supposed to be on a flight from BWI to DFW today but they kept delaying and finally canceled.  (American Airlines). DFW claims 3.47" for today. 

Try again tomorrow. 

[Jebman]

Not sure what's going on here in Buda, TX but this rain on the extreme back edge just keeps trying to backbuild. Light to moderate rain has started back up. Hmmmmm.....

 

EDIT! OK, the rain is moving firmly east. The storm is over. Someone needs to get the Austin NWS off the crack-pipe and back to meteorology school because even I know this storm is OVER! The PWATS are down to 0.3, not 2.2, and the moisture is GONE already!

This stuff is pure bullshyte! These Texas mets need to go back to school. I KNOW Buda weather. When the storm is over, the storm is OVER.

Showers and thunderstorms will redevelop tonight
across the Hill Country, I-35 Corridor, and Coastal Plains. With
the high PW airmass locally heavy rain will continue to be
possible.

I know where I live ---- One of the driest regions on the planet!

I do NOT ever get my hopes up. No more rain for me tonight. Next rain chance is October 21. Till then warm and humid and superabundant sunshine!

 

[pazzo83]

High of 90 here in upper NW

[Jebman]

Wow man precip is beginning to blossom all over south central Texas at 3am Texas time! It happened all of a sudden! There was this big yellow blob heading for Kyle then everything suddenly blossomed all over! BRING IT THE HELL ON, EL NINO!

Woooooooooooo-----Hooooooooooooo !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[TSSN+]

2 hours ago, Jebman said:

Wow man precip is beginning to blossom all over south central Texas at 3am Texas time! It happened all of a sudden! There was this big yellow blob heading for Kyle then everything suddenly blossomed all over! BRING IT THE HELL ON, EL NINO!

Woooooooooooo-----Hooooooooooooo !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

This is the mid atl thread bro. lol 

[dailylurker]

I was hoping this annoying shower fest this weekend would stay to the south. It looks like just enough to wet the ground and make the hiking trails slimy and delay my current projects. 

[stormy]

16 hours ago, stormy said:

My 5 model blend for Augusta rainfall from midnight Friday thru 10 pm Sunday is .91"...... This compares to .24" at 8 am Wednesday.

The AI models are similar to the physics models at 2 pm. 

The WPC is in line with the 5 model blend.

This WPC map updates every time a WPC revision is released. Yesterday afternoon the WPC predicted 1.00" for Augusta, now drops to .50".

A 5 model blend drops from .91" yesterday to .73" this morning. 

The physics GFS predicts 1.02" while AI GFS predicts .50".   AI is notorious for being light on cumulative multi day totals.

It all depends on where the front stalls, will it be Danville or Columbia S.C.. ??

[Mrs.J]

It is fall, no matter what the temps say for today I am eating some soup for lunch. 

[H2O]

88stupidasstoofckingwarm degrees out at 2pm on Oct 2

[yoda]

IAD/BWI 88 DCA 85 at 3pm 

5 min report says 90 at 240 at IAD

[weatherCCB]

88 here

[kgottwald]

Feels downright pleasant on the riverfront next to Nationals Stadium.

[wxdude64]

Thankful for the clouds that have moved in during the last hour. Currently 81.1/65.3 after an 83.8 high around 3 pm. I'd probably be pushing records if not for 2019.