October 2026

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Some photos from the New York Botanical Garden on a sunny but chilly October day. The hummingbird migration appears to be completed.

Beautiful pink asters. A great native fall perennial that should be used in place of non native mums.

34 at KFOK already. Forecast low of 35, likely makes it to the upper 20s in the pine barrens.


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[qg_omega]

drought pattern re-emerging 

[SnoSki14]

5 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

drought pattern re-emerging 

October is AN precip wise here. Coming dry weeks will reverse rapidly. 

[winterwarlock]

31 this morning 

yesterday was 32

[bluewave]

Looks like a fairly average temperature pattern over the next 5-10 days. As the historic El Niño continues to intensify, the ridge axis is forecast to shift closer to our area. So the core of the warmth which has been to our west in early fall is forecast to shift east from late October into early November. 
 

 

 

[rclab]

11 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Some photos from the New York Botanical Garden on a sunny but chilly October day. The hummingbird migration appears to be completed.

Good morning Don. Ironically the name of the rose, at least the J&P version, is Chicago Peace. When I was young it was considered one of the most beautiful ever developed. As always ….

[straphanger]

2 hours ago, qg_omega said:

drought pattern re-emerging 

We could use the break since the last month and change have been rather wet.  Nearly 5" at my station for the last 31 days.

At least I can keep the sprinklers on a bit longer with the projected AN temps into November.  I wonder what the chances are that NYC doesn't see a freeze until December at this point.

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

October is AN precip wise here. Coming dry weeks will reverse rapidly. 

For now sure. But once the STJ goes off the scale it’s going to get very wet. December and January likely over 5” each.


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[NEG NAO]

8 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

For now sure. But once the STJ goes of the scale it’s going to get very wet. December and January likely over 5” each.


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at least 1/4 of it frozen - probably more so in January

[Brian5671]

23 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

For now sure. But once the STJ goes off the scale it’s going to get very wet. December and January likely over 5” each.


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all the long term modeling (For what it's worth) shows a wet east coast.

[psv88]

38 again. Can’t figure my area out. Last was the warmest in my area, 2 nights ago the coldest. 

[SACRUS]

52 / 42 gorgeous week coming up. Dry week, near to above normal overall - onshore flow keep warmest west with the ridge in place and cut off offshore. It looks like Tue the warmest this week and Friday the coolest and then overall warmer towards Monday the 26th with more 70s possible as ridging comes east.  Looks like we've had the coolest reading this week till after the end of the month.

 

 

 

 

 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

38 again. Can’t figure my area out. Last was the warmest in my area, 2 nights ago the coldest. 

What’s your elevation? If your up on the moraine at 200’ or something it makes sense. You’re cold on CAA but do not radiate well. I was up at whiteface in the Adirondacks a couple winters ago and it was -30 in the valley but -10 at the base of the mountain 1,000’ higher.


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[SACRUS]

very warm 10 years ago

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 87 (2016)
NYC: 85 (2016)
LGA: 86 (2016)
JFK: 86 (2016)

Lows:

EWR: 30 (1976)
NYC: 30 (1940)
LGA: 32 (1940)
JFK: 31 (1976)

 

Historical:

1749: A tremendous hurricane tracked offshore Virginia, northeast to Cape Cod. At 1:00 a.m. at Norfolk, winds became violent from the northeast. The fury of the storm peaked between 10:00 a.m. and 2:00 p.m.. In Williamsburg, one family drowned as flood waters carried their house away. At Hampton, water rose to four feet deep in the streets; many trees were uprooted or snapped in two. Torrents of rain flooded northern Virginia and Maryland. The Bay rose to fifteen feet above normal...destroying waterfront buildings. An account of this tremendous storm was given in the biography of Commodore James Barron, An Affair of Honor, by William Oliver Stevens. Barron's grandfather witnessed the hurricane first hand while stationed at Fort George. The account is as follows: "A threatening sky was observed to the southeast over the Chesapeake Bay. The wind increased which soon brought the rain. As the hours wore on the wind and rain increased in fury. Sometimes the downpour slackened. One could hear the sand picked up by the wind from the beach outside and blasted against every object that still withstood the gale. All the while the rising tide was rapidly being piled up to a height never seen before in that area. The waves were pounding on the shore, finally to the very foot of the outside wall at Fort George. A large tree crashed over on its side with its roots in the air and was driven against the land side of the Fort. With the impact the wall yawned and broke. Shortly afterwards the seawall lurched and sank at the point where it was exposed to the wave fury of the storm. Finally the outside wall of the fort gave way, and the filling of sand poured out, leaving the inner wall exposed to the blast without support. When this too fell apart and collapsed, the barracks took the full force of the wind. About sundown, the storm slackened and in another hour the rain and wind had diminished to such a degree that it was clearly spent. " The next morning Commodore Barron swept the distant waters with his spy glass. He was astonished to see across Hampton Roads a wide, sand promontory which had not existed there before. A sand spit had been thrown up during the fury of the storm, which was the beginning of Willoughby Spit. (Ref. Hurricane of 1749) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1844 - The famous "Lower Great Lakes Storm" occurred. Southwesterly winds were at hurricane force for five hours, driving lake waters into downtown Buffalo NY. The storm drowned 200 persons. (David Ludlum)

1940: 2.2 inches of snowfall was recorded at Philadelphia, PA starting on this date and ending on the 20th, for the highest amount of snow received from a storm in October. The maximum 1.7 inch snow depth measured is an October record. Baltimore, MD received 0.4 inches on this day and 0.9 inches on the 20th. Washington, DC received just a tenth of an inch of snow on this date followed by 1.4 inches on the 20th. (Ref. Wilson Weather History)

1961 - Rain changed to a record early season, heavy wet snow over the southern mountains of West Virginia. Leaves were still on trees, resulting in the worst forest disaster since the fires of 1952 and 953. One to two feet of snow fell near Summersville and Richwood. (19th-20th) (The Weather Channel)

 

1984 - Thunderstorms deluged the town of Odem, TX (located 15 miles northwest of Corpus Christi) with 25 inches of rain in just three and a half hours. Most businesses in Odem were flooded, as were 1000 homes in nearby Sinton. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A cold front brought rainshowers to parts of the central U.S., and ushered cool Canadian air into the Great Plains Region. Daytime highs were only in the 30s in North Dakota and eastern Montana. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced high winds in eastern Colorado, with gusts to 63 mph reported at La Junta. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Record breaking snows fell across northern and central Indiana. Totals ranged up to 10.5 inches at Kokomo, and 9.3 inches was reported at Indianapolis. The 8.8 inch total at South Bend was a record for the month as a whole. Up to seven inches of snow fell in extreme southern Lower Michigan, and up to six inches fell in southwestern Ohio. The heavy wet snow downed many trees and power lines. Half the city of Cincinnati OH was without electricity during the morning hours. Temperatures dipped below freezing across much of the Great Plains Region. Twenty cities, including fourteen in Texas, reported record low temperatures for the date. North Platte NE reported a record low of 11 degrees. In Florida, four cities reported record high temperatures for the date. The record high of 92 degrees at Miami also marked a record fourteen days of 90 degree weather in October, and 116 such days for the year.

1990: A tornado damaged an apartment complex and shopping center near Baltimore, MD. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1996: The opening game of World Series between the Braves and Yankees in New York was postponed by heavy rains and high wind from a major storm system affecting the East Coast, marking the third time in history that the World Series opener had been postponed. Overall, nine of the 22 games that have been canceled in Series history were scheduled in New York or Brooklyn.

2005: Hurricane Wilma pushed the 2005 season to the most active ever recorded, added another entry to the record books. The central pressure of this Category 5 storm fell to 882 millibars or 26.05 inches of mercury, the lowest minimum pressure ever measured in the Atlantic basin. Its maximum sustained wind peaked at 185 mph.  (Ref. Wilson Weather History)

[rclab]

42 minutes ago, straphanger said:

We could use the break since the last month and change have been rather wet.  Nearly 5" at my station for the last 31 days.

At least I can keep the sprinklers on a bit longer with the projected AN temps into November.  I wonder what the chances are that NYC doesn't see a freeze until December at this point.

Good morning S h. Accu weather long range, as of today, shows December 3rd. This, of course, will change numerous times in the weeks ahead,

[uofmiami]

10 minutes ago, psv88 said:

38 again. Can’t figure my area out. Last was the warmest in my area, 2 nights ago the coldest. 

37.2 in Syosset & 35.7 in Muttontown this morning.  Any winds at your station with elevation?

[Lucy Pull]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Looks like a fairly average temperature pattern over the next 5-10 days. As the historic El Niño continues to intensify, the ridge axis is forecast to shift closer to our area. So the core of the warmth which has been to our west in early fall is forecast to shift east from late October into early November. 
 

 

 

Wondering if we truly see it push east or get a result similar to this coming weekend. 
 

*Frames are cherry picked just to show for the example*

[FPizz]

2 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

31 this morning 

yesterday was 32

I had the same exact temp as yesterday, 32.4