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13 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Omg this is definitely not normal for summer the ground is supposed to be dry in the summer lol that's why people can go to the beach and our baseball stadiums don't need to be covered with domes.

Granted summer is over and my heat was on all day today.

100% summer is supposed to be sunny and hot

These people here seem to love rain and as usual the drought talk was easily handled as always..a real drought he had in the 90s

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10 hours ago, bluewave said:

Bridgeport, CT close to the wettest summer on record with 10 days to go after the driest summer on record last year. 
 

Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT - Jun through Aug Wettest Summers
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1972 20.23 0
2 2026 18.83 11
3 1952 18.67 0
4 2006 18.52 0
5 1971 18.21 0
6 2011 18.11 0
7 1982 17.98 0
8 1992 17.27 0
9 2000 16.34 0
10 1989 15.61 0


 

Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT - Jun through Aug Driest Summers
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 3.24 0
2 1995 4.13 0
3 1966 4.21 0
4 1964 4.25 0
5 1993 4.58 0
6 1999 6.09 0
7 1957 6.16 0
8 1948 6.22 30
9 1974 6.69 0
10 1970 6.70 0

 

Wettest summer here was the Irene year of 2011 with 27.50", helped along with 21.55" in Aug. Also had 27" during the 30 day period from 8/5-9/5.  Driest summer was 6.60" in 1999.

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The weekend will feature cool and perhaps unsettled weather. The greatest chance for rain will be late tomorrow into tomorrow night. Sunday will see clouds break and the mercury rise toward 80°.

Somewhat cooler than normal weather will then extend into at least the middle of next week. No excessive heat appears likely through the remainder of August.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -32.71 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.236 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 54% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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18 hours ago, bluewave said:

Bridgeport, CT close to the wettest summer on record with 10 days to go after the driest summer on record last year. 
 

Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT - Jun through Aug Wettest Summers
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1972 20.23 0
2 2026 18.83 11
3 1952 18.67 0
4 2006 18.52 0
5 1971 18.21 0
6 2011 18.11 0
7 1982 17.98 0
8 1992 17.27 0
9 2000 16.34 0
10 1989 15.61 0


 

Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT - Jun through Aug Driest Summers
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 3.24 0
2 1995 4.13 0
3 1966 4.21 0
4 1964 4.25 0
5 1993 4.58 0
6 1999 6.09 0
7 1957 6.16 0
8 1948 6.22 30
9 1974 6.69 0
10 1970 6.70 0

 

The super el nino years 1972 and 1982 appear in the wettest composite. 1957 is the only robust el nino that appears in the driest.

Interesting to note that a lot of the driest years produced some very cold/snowy winters.

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14 hours ago, doncat said:

Wettest summer here was the Irene year of 2011 with 27.50", helped along with 21.55" in Aug. Also had 27" during the 30 day period from 8/5-9/5.  Driest summer was 6.60" in 1999.

This is the wettest month for NYC since August 2024. That was the last month before the dry pattern started in September 2024. So finally beginning to get a wetter pattern last few months. 
 

Monthly Total Precipitation for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2026 2.70 2.60 3.60 2.48 3.05 3.39 4.89 7.08 M M M M 29.79
2025 0.61 2.60 5.52 3.25 6.58 2.46 4.03 2.21 2.76 4.08 2.09 3.38 39.57
2024 5.28 2.05 9.06 3.47 4.11 1.71 4.20 7.02 1.58 0.01 3.35 4.53 46.37
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72 / 66 clouds and some breaks in the clouds in to nw nj. Hope to see some more clearing today which looks mainly dry.  Chance of scattered showers / rain Sunday and then late clearing and a bit of a dryish but cloudy cooler weekend.  Trough into the northeast through much of the nect days near / below normal before moderating 8/27 with more southerly humid / warm flow 8/28 - beyond.  Atlantic ridge pushing towards the coast and inland heights rising so a much warmer overall beyond the 31st and looking throuugh labor day.

 

8/22 - 8/27 : Near / below normal
8/28 - 9/1 : moderating near / above normal humid perhaps wetter
9/2 - beyond :  Warmer - much warmer (late season 90s possible)

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 94 (1983) what a difference a year makes
NYC: 95 (1916)
LGA: 93 (2019)
JFK: 93 (1976)


Lows:

EWR: 51 (1982)
NYC: 52 (1894)
LGA: 55 (1982)
JFK: 56 (1982)

Historical:

1746: Salem, MA had a cold night, with "some frost so as to kill corn leaves" (Diary of Lt. John Preston )
 

1816 - The growing season for corn was cut short as damaging frosts were reported from North Carolina to interior New England. (David Ludlum)

1821: A tornado ripped through Tybee Island, GA destroying a wing of the U.S. Army barracks. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1851: A tornado ripped through Middlesex County in Massachusetts and injured 6 people. The tornado swept through Waltham, Belmont, West Cambridge, Arlington, and Medford. Six people died along with extensive damage. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

1857: A tornado tore through Woodland, WI. Windstorm at Woodland, WI. Freight cars reportedly blown off railroad tracks. Although it leveled every building in the town, fortunately there were no deaths. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)
 

1923 - The temperature at Anchorage, AK, reached 82 degrees, a record for August for the location which was later tied on the 2nd in 1978. (The Weather Channel)

1933: The Hampton Roads area of Virginia was hit on the night of the 22nd-23rd by its worst hurricane in history. Norfolk saw an 8 foot storm surge pushed through the streets of the city. Winds reached nearly 100 mph. 18 people were killed. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1976: Heavy coastal rain 7.39 inches at Pocomoke City, VA but only a trace of rain in Washington, DC.

1980: Major flash flooding occurred in Kentucky as up to 3 inches of rain fell in a very short period. Heavy damage included flooded homes and washed out bridges and roads. Wichita Falls, TX reached 108° to establish a record for the date. 56 of the previous 59 days in Wichita Falls had reached a high temperature of 100 degrees or hotter. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) New Orleans, LA hit 102° to establish their all-time record high temperature at the time. The new record is now 103 °F which occurred on August 30, 2000. (Extreme Weather p. 274, by Christopher C. Burt)

1985: Intense thunderstorms moved from near Shadehill Reservoir in northwest South Dakota late in the evening on the 21st, to northern Brown County after sunrise on this date. These thunderstorms produced strong winds, large hail, heavy rainfall and lightning. The strongest wind gust was reported in Hoven with a peak gust of 72 mph. Nine miles south and four miles west of Keldron, over two inches in diameter hail fell for 40 minutes, breaking windows and piling in ditches to a depth of four feet. These intense thunderstorms also produced brief heavy rainfall ranging from three quarters of an inch to over four inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - A cold front lowered temperatures 20 to 40 degrees across the north central U.S., and produced severe thunderstorms in Ohio and Lower Michigan. An early morning thunderstorm near Sydney MI produced high winds which spun a car around 180 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Afternoon highs of 88 degrees at Astoria, OR, and 104 degrees at Medford, OR, were records for the date, and the number of daily record highs across the nation since the first of June topped the 2000 mark. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Evening thunderstorms in the central U.S. produced golf ball size hail at May City IA, and wind gusts to 66 mph at Balltown IA. Lightning struck a barn in Fayette County IA killing 750 hogs. Evening thunderstorms in Montana produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Havre. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1992 - Hurricane Andrew makes landfall in Southern Florida as a Category 5 storm with wind guests estimated in excess of 175 m.p.h. Estimated damages exceeded $20 billion, more than 60 people were killed and approximately 2 million people were evacuated from their homes. (University of Illinois WW2010)

 

1994: Hurricane John, about 345 miles south of Hilo, Hawaii had winds of 175 mph and pressure at 920 millibars or 27.17 inches of mercury, making it one of the strongest hurricanes ever in the Central Pacific. The 31-day existence made John the longest-lasting tropical cyclone recorded in both the Pacific Ocean and worldwide, surpassing both Hurricane Tina's previous record in the Pacific of 24 days in the 1992 season and the 1899 San Ciriaco hurricane's previous world record of 28 days in the 1899 Atlantic season. John was also the farthest-traveling tropical cyclone in both Pacific Ocean and worldwide, with distance traveled of 7,165 miles, out-distancing previous record holders Hurricane Fico in the Pacific of 4,700 miles in the 1978 season and Hurricane Faith worldwide of 6,850 miles in the 1966 Atlantic season.

1998: Tropical Storm Charley was the second of 7 named tropical systems to strike the U.S. in 1998. But the most interesting event of Charley's arrival on the mainland would occur the next day, when 17.03 inches of rain fell in Del Rio, TX. This amount is nearly equal to the average rainfall for an entire year. It would establish their all-time record rainfall. 20 people died in flash flooding. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1999: Tropical Storm Charley was the second of 7 named tropical systems to strike the U.S. in 1998. But the most interesting event of Charley's arrival on the mainland would occur the next day, when 17.03 inches of rain fell in Del Rio, TX. This amount is nearly equal to the average rainfall for an entire year. It would establish their all-time record rainfall. 20 people died in flash flooding. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2002: Dubuque, Iowa: The Dubuque airport reports 8.96 inches of rain in a 24-hour period, setting a new record for the most rain in 24 hours.
(Ref. WxDoctor)Described as a “blizzard” by town residents (and turning the ground white), a hailstorm battered Newman Grove, NE. Hailstones to tennis ball size were blown by 50-mph winds. 60-80% of the town’s homes were damaged; some had a dozen windows broken. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

2008: Severe thunderstorms produced large hail and strong winds over parts of eastern Wyoming and the Nebraska panhandle. A wind gust to 71 mph was recorded at the Chadron airport in Nebraska while 60 to 70 mph winds and hail up to 2 inches in diameter were reported around Douglas, WY.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

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18 hours ago, doncat said:

Wettest summer here was the Irene year of 2011 with 27.50", helped along with 21.55" in Aug. Also had 27" during the 30 day period from 8/5-9/5.  Driest summer was 6.60" in 1999.

The fact that 1999 was the driest summer, I will always believe that if Floyd never happened, we would have had a continuous, multi-year drought from about spring 1998 through fall 2002.

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1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Same pattern as June and July: Very warm first half of the month, only to be offset by a cooler second half of the month. I wonder if this continues, and things turn warmer to begin September.

And PHL +3.6

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Parts of the region will see some showers or thundershowers tonight into the first half of tomorrow. Afterward, clouds will break and the mercury rise toward 80° tomorrow.

Monday through Wednesday will be mostly sunny and pleasantly cool days. Highs will generally top out in the upper 70s. Showers and thundershowers could move through the region on Thursday. Temperatures will remain in the upper 70s and lower 80s into next weekend. No excessive heat appears likely through the remainder of August.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -30.23 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.316 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 55% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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