August 2026

[SACRUS]

Quickly to 89 here 

[psv88]

88 before now down to 85. Beautiful 

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow should mainly fair and very warm. Highs will likely reach the middle 80s to perhaps upper 80s across the region. 

Another cold front could bring some showers or thundershowers to the region Wednesday night or Thursday. The frontal passage will be followed by a reinforcing shot of cooler air. Thursday and Friday could see highs in the lower 80s. The weekend could feature cool and perhaps unsettled weather.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -22.21 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.388 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.1° (near normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs:
 

New Brnswck: 88
PHL: 88
EWR: 86
TEB: 86
NYC: 86
ISP: 85
JFK: 85
LGA: 85
TTN: 85
ACY: 84
BLM: 82

[LibertyBell]

15 hours ago, bluewave said:

The highest temperatures during 1977 heatwave were mostly focused in Central Park when the thermometer was still out in the open and not under the trees like today.

Outside of that 9 day run in mid-July, it was a cool summer by recent standards. There was a strong seabreeze that week so the South Shore spots like JFK had much cooler highs than Central Park. 

We are coming up on the 40th anniversary of the last August freeze at MPO. Along with the last August 50° low in NYC.
 

Average High Temperature Data for July 13, 1977 through July 21, 1977
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NY	NEW YORK LAUREL HILL	COOP	97.1
NY	NY CITY CENTRAL PARK	WBAN	97.1
NY	DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY	COOP	96.9
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	95.8
CT	NEW HAVEN	COOP	95.8
NY	SCARSDALE	COOP	95.4
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	95.3
CT	STAMFORD 5 N	COOP	95.1
NY	NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN	COOP	95.0
NY	NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS	COOP	94.9
NJ	CRANFORD	COOP	94.8
NY	WEST POINT	COOP	94.4
NY	LAGUARDIA AIRPORT	WBAN	93.9
NY	VANDERBILT MUSEUM	COOP	93.7
CT	DANBURY	COOP	92.9
NY	MARYKNOLL	COOP	92.9
NJ	ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG	COOP	92.8
NY	SETAUKET STRONG	COOP	92.8
CT	NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT	COOP	92.8
NJ	LITTLE FALLS	COOP	92.7
CT	NORWALK GAS PLANT	COOP	92.4
NY	PORT JERVIS	COOP	92.3
CT	NEW HAVEN TWEED AP	WBAN	92.3
NY	MIDDLETOWN 2 NW	COOP	92.2
NJ	CANOE BROOK	COOP	92.1
NJ	WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM	COOP	92.1
CT	MOUNT CARMEL	COOP	91.9
CT	MIDDLETOWN 4 W	COOP	91.8
NY	SUFFERN	COOP	91.7
CT	GROTON	COOP	91.4
NJ	JERSEY CITY	COOP	91.3
NY	PATCHOGUE 2 N	COOP	91.3
NY	WALDEN 1 ESE	COOP	90.8
NY	MINEOLA	COOP	90.8
NY	WESTCHESTER CO AP	WBAN	90.8
NY	RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM	COOP	90.7
NY	CARMEL	COOP	90.2
NY	ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP	WBAN	89.8
CT	WESTBROOK	COOP	89.7
NY	YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W	COOP	89.6
NY	JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	89.3

 

Time Series Summary for Mount Pocono Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Month of Aug Lowest Minimum Temperature
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1986	31	0
2	1965	32	0
-	1907	32	0
3	1987	33	4
-	1941	33	0
-	1940	33	0
4	1982	34	0
-	1976	34	0
-	1942	34	0
-	1923	34	0
-	1910	34	0
-	1908	34	0
-	1904	34	0
5	1979	35	0
-	1921	35	0
-	1916	35	0

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Aug Lowest Minimum Temperature
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1986	50	0
-	1982	50	0
-	1976	50	0
-	1965	50	0
-	1885	50	0

I distinctly remember August 1986 as a very cool and dry month like early fall. I dont mind a cool summer as long as it's dry. Was that a developing El Nino too? That was my first year of viewing the Perseids and the best weather for them four nights of completely clear skies, cool, no haze and no mosquitoes! Never saw anything like that since. This house in the Poconos was built in 1986 and I was here in July for the 4th but for the Perseids in August I was back on Long Island.

[bluewave]

9 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

I distinctly remember August 1986 as a very cool and dry month like early fall. I dont mind a cool summer as long as it's dry. Was that a developing El Nino too? That was my first year of viewing the Perseids and the best weather for them four nights of completely clear skies, cool, no haze and no mosquitoes! Never saw anything like that since. This house in the Poconos was built in 1986 and I was here in July for the 4th but for the Perseids in August I was back on Long Island.

Lake Harmony just got a snowfall observer starting with the 2020-2021 season. You guys do pretty well there. The elevation really helps out. Looks like 1995-1996 was just ahead of 1993-1994 for the top snowfall spot. But there wasn’t a Lake Harmony observer back then. 
 

Data for October 1, 2020 through April 30, 2021
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW

CoCoRaHS

77.4

 

Data for October 1, 2021 through April 30, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW

CoCoRaHS

41.0

 

Data for October 1, 2022 through April 30, 2023
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW

CoCoRaHS

48.5

 

Data for October 1, 2023 through April 30, 2024
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW

CoCoRaHS

48.7

 

Data for October 1, 2024 through April 30, 2025
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW

CoCoRaHS

48.2

 

Data for October 1, 2025 through April 30, 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

LAKE HARMONY 2.4 WNW

CoCoRaHS

60.4

 

Data for October 1, 1995 through April 30, 1996
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

HOLLISTERVILLE	COOP	135.4
PLEASANT MOUNT 1 W	COOP	125.5
LONG POND POCONO LAKE	COOP	117.8
PAUPACK 1 WSW	COOP	117.1
HONESDALE 4 NW	COOP	104.5
WILKES-BARRE/SCRANTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	98.3

 

Data for October 1, 1993 through April 30, 1994
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

HOLLISTERVILLE	COOP	132.1
LONG POND POCONO LAKE	COOP	115.8
PLEASANT MOUNT 1 W	COOP	106.3
SHICKSHINNY 3 N	COOP	92.9
HONESDALE 4 NW	COOP	92.5
WILKES-BARRE/SCRANTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	90.4

 

[NEG NAO]

[Stormlover74]

Some of the models are quite wet again for tomorrow but southern areas seem favored 

[WestBabylonWeather]

28 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Perfect.