Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand

[40/70 Benchmark]

23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Said everyone about Feb 1934. Never say never.  

I guess maybe for a small area...however, I feel like it may be tougher to pull with how much humidity is increased as a result of more moisture. I think higher nighttime minds may foil any attempt at a redux.

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said:

Not really totally weather related but wow.  I very seldom go down to the Boston area.  It's been many years.  We went down yesterday and it amazing to see how much  solar is down there compared to up here in Grafton County NH.  Is it we are cloudier and further north or politics?   We love our solar roof and have had credit electric bills the past few months.  Sunny weather is boring but it does help the mood when the meter is "spinning" backward.....and with my electric car we were able to make it back on electric.  So I'm glad it's a sunny day to charge the car back up.  I try to charge on sunny days.  Ok, back to weather...

Politics. Massachusetts in May had their first month ever where renewables supplied enough energy for the state.

[Brewbeer]

1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said:

Not really totally weather related but wow.  I very seldom go down to the Boston area.  It's been many years.  We went down yesterday and it amazing to see how much  solar is down there compared to up here in Grafton County NH.  Is it we are cloudier and further north or politics?   We love our solar roof and have had credit electric bills the past few months.  Sunny weather is boring but it does help the mood when the meter is "spinning" backward.....and with my electric car we were able to make it back on electric.  So I'm glad it's a sunny day to charge the car back up.  I try to charge on sunny days.  Ok, back to weather...

unlikely to have anything to do with clouds or latitude, solar is widely used in Europe where it is also cloudy

it might have something to do with the price of power, which was 20 cents/kwh when I went solar 10 years ago, and is closer to 30 cents now I believe.  how much is it up there ?  should be less since you are closer to where it is generated (Canada).

it might have to do with incentives, Mass has had tax credits and cash payments for SRECs (renewable power generated) for as long as I can remember.  

it might have to do with politics and the resulting "news" (media) that people consume; we have right-focused friends in the next town who were absolutely blown away when we shared with them our solar journey - they could not believe that we hadn't paid an electric bill in 10 years, had recouped system costs in their entirety in the 7th year, and have a credit for excess generation that is currently north of $600.  they thought solar power was a "scam". 

for me going solar was part economic and also an acknowledgement of the environmental damage I am doing to the planet by my consumption.  using and providing excess renewable energy to my immediate neighbors is one way I can help reduce my personal impact on everyone else

 

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Not sure what they’re using for normals at MHT because the climate records didn’t start back up there again until ASOS took over in 96 or 97 there. So they would technically be outside the 1991-2020 window.

Maybe they’re using 15 year normals there while everyone else is on 30?

Just a quick glance it looks like the temperatures are actually lower in Manchester. Bad calibration in concord? 

After you're done with those standard deviations maybe you can run a comparison of actual temperatures.

[Brewbeer]

71/64, one more dry day before the dews drop back in for a bit

the upcoming Saturday seems like it will be the opposite of the preceding Saturday, which I recall had several rounds of misery mist IMBY

[weatherwiz]

These things are extremely unpredictable this far out, but there is some MCS potential on Tuesday...perhaps multiple MCS rounds 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

These things are extremely unpredictable this far out, but there is some MCS potential on Tuesday...perhaps multiple MCS rounds 

Oh boy the excitement 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Oh boy the excitement 

In the end one of two scenarios will probably occur

1) MCS activity is confined to extreme northern VT/NH and ME

2) MCS activity dives to our southwest 

[weatherwiz]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Oh boy the excitement 

Friday could be a sneaky severe weather risk for eastern sections 

[Damage In Tolland]

48 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

These things are extremely unpredictable this far out, but there is some MCS potential on Tuesday...perhaps multiple MCS rounds 

Yesterday tomorrow had potential, now it’s mainly a dry fropa. 
Pass

[weatherwiz]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yesterday tomorrow had potential, now it’s mainly a dry fropa. 
Pass

The front comes through on Friday, anything tomorrow would be pre-frontal trough related. Hudson Valley to the CT River will see scattered storms develop during the afternoon, perhaps evolving into multiple lines but there won't be much in the way of west-to-east progression, will be more southwest-to-northeast so probably will see some flash flooding where storms train...probably within the CT River Valley and Naugatuck Valley (should start mentioning them too for future reference because of the rate they flood in these setups).  

[WxWatcher007]

1 hour ago, Brewbeer said:

unlikely to have anything to do with clouds or latitude, solar is widely used in Europe where it is also cloudy

it might have something to do with the price of power, which was 20 cents/kwh when I went solar 10 years ago, and is closer to 30 cents now I believe.  how much is it up there ?  should be less since you are closer to where it is generated (Canada).

it might have to do with incentives, Mass has had tax credits and cash payments for SRECs (renewable power generated) for as long as I can remember.  

it might have to do with politics and the resulting "news" (media) that people consume; we have right-focused friends in the next town who were absolutely blown away when we shared with them our solar journey - they could not believe that we hadn't paid an electric bill in 10 years, had recouped system costs in their entirety in the 7th year, and have a credit for excess generation that is currently north of $600.  they thought solar power was a "scam". 

for me going solar was part economic and also an acknowledgement of the environmental damage I am doing to the planet by my consumption.  using and providing excess renewable energy to my immediate neighbors is one way I can help reduce my personal impact on everyone else

 

Commie

[WxWatcher007]

In all seriousness…the videos coming out of Nepal are unreal. Legitimately unreal. There’s very little you can do in a situation like that. So sad. 
 

 

[Layman]

2 hours ago, kdxken said:

Politics. Massachusetts in May had their first month ever where renewables supplied enough energy for the state.

I know you're typically pretty good about providing links for things that you share on here - do you know where this info came from?

My understanding is that solar is a tiny fraction of total energy generation in New England with gas and nuclear making up ~80%.  This link, with the most up-to-date info pegs solar at ~4.3% and renewables in total at 13%: https://www.iso-ne.com/about/key-stats/resource-mix 

I'm inclined to think that Massachusetts as a whole would use more than 13% of all energy production in New England (assuming they used all the renewable generation alone).  I'd be curious to see how that math works out if it's accurate.  

[forkyfork]

2 hours ago, Brewbeer said:

unlikely to have anything to do with clouds or latitude, solar is widely used in Europe where it is also cloudy

it might have something to do with the price of power, which was 20 cents/kwh when I went solar 10 years ago, and is closer to 30 cents now I believe.  how much is it up there ?  should be less since you are closer to where it is generated (Canada).

it might have to do with incentives, Mass has had tax credits and cash payments for SRECs (renewable power generated) for as long as I can remember.  

it might have to do with politics and the resulting "news" (media) that people consume; we have right-focused friends in the next town who were absolutely blown away when we shared with them our solar journey - they could not believe that we hadn't paid an electric bill in 10 years, had recouped system costs in their entirety in the 7th year, and have a credit for excess generation that is currently north of $600.  they thought solar power was a "scam". 

for me going solar was part economic and also an acknowledgement of the environmental damage I am doing to the planet by my consumption.  using and providing excess renewable energy to my immediate neighbors is one way I can help reduce my personal impact on everyone else

 

put all the consumer whores in concentration camps

[FXWX]

51 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

In all seriousness…the videos coming out of Nepal are unreal. Legitimately unreal. There’s very little you can do in a situation like that. So sad. 
 

 

Like a science fiction movie!

[Dan76]

Earth Quake they say

[Chrisrotary12]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

In all seriousness…the videos coming out of Nepal are unreal. Legitimately unreal. There’s very little you can do in a situation like that. So sad. 
 

 

Earthquake caused an avalanche that transitioned into a flash flood?

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Earthquake caused an avalanche that transitioned into a flash flood?

Sounds like the Earthquake caused an avalanche and the snow/ice dumped into a river and caused a major blockage, allowing the water to build up and unfortunately cause the flooding. Heartbreaking. I can't imagine being in a situation like that, trying to run with essentially nowhere to go and not a chance to outrun it. 

[SouthCoastMA]

That was the most violent, fastest flash flood/avalanche I've ever seen on video

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

In all seriousness…the videos coming out of Nepal are unreal. Legitimately unreal. There’s very little you can do in a situation like that. So sad. 
 

 

That stuff is hard to fathom like a 5-story wall of water and mud moving through.  No chance at survival.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Sounds like the Earthquake caused an avalanche and the snow/ice dumped into a river and caused a major blockage, allowing the water to build up and unfortunately cause the flooding. Heartbreaking. I can't imagine being in a situation like that, trying to run with essentially nowhere to go and not a chance to outrun it. 

There’s a bunch of wild survival videos on X, people screaming from the hills to people down below to run and they realize just in time and sprint to safety . 

[CoastalWx]

I see someone already hinted at CC for that. 

[Brian5671]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I see someone already hinted at CC for that. 

You can set a clock to that...

[WxWatcher007]

My God

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

29 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

My God

 

That’s the earthquake that caused it all , was originally listed as 4.4 now 5.2. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Flash flood watch up for SWCT for about the 10th time this summer. 

[OrangeCTWX]

Going away to block island next week, hoping it’s not a washout. But I dont love how the models look. Guess I should have figured in what has been a wet summer that it would continue into September.

[Brian5671]

22 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Flash flood watch up for SWCT for about the 10th time this summer. 

what am I missing-models don't have much for the coast at least-looks well N and W

[weatherwiz]

5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

what am I missing-models don't have much for the coast at least-looks well N and W

Activity will be more on the widespread side into western CT...probably up to the CT River. Activity begins isolated but should quickly organize into short lines and clusters.