Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand

[weatherwiz]

57 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

How big is your ac unit  if that’s massive?

Its medium-sized I'd say...maybe even just a bit below 

[Typhoon Tip]

Today may feel "hot"  

Looks like 89's are possible but DPs slipping into the mid or low 60s may neutralize the HI.   It's light wind under unobstructed still warm to hot sun vibe.  These opportunities for maintenance summer heat are slipping away tho, now that we're out of solar max so if one is a summer enthusiast best take in the moments. 

The typical attempt to realize summer once it is too late in early September  is showing up in guidance.  Mentioned this the other day and there it is. The deep range signals (indices) along with a couple of Euro/GFS op. runs, are right on queue.  594 dm heights in the first week of the month.  It will bring about non-historic but still irritating heat, and an utter block of any tropical.  Perfectly wrong from what most want - haha

 

 

[dendrite]

Min 65.0°

Summer pattern continues on the hrrr. Frontal convection dies north and west of us today and then the south coast gets dumped on tomorrow night while it’s light showers up here. Lock it in. 

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Min 65.0°

Summer pattern continues on the hrrr. Frontal convection dies north and west of us today and then the south coast gets dumped on tomorrow night while it’s light showers up here. Lock it in. 

Yup another Steiner except SW CT 

[SouthCoastMA]

.40" MTD: August 1st - August Steinteenth

[Ginx snewx]

COC  Back broken 

[SouthCoastMA]

looking forward to 74/70 in September

[Ginx snewx]

45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yup another Steiner except SW CT 

You are AN for the summer. Stop trying to be a Jack humper . You could be Scooter.  You have no game with Stein

[Damage In Tolland]

18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

You are AN for the summer. Stop trying to be a Jack humper . You could be Scooter.  You have no game with Stein

Cherry picking again. I had 2.8 in June, 2.22 Aug and 6.98 Jul. it’s been two very dry months and one wet month that came mainly in two events .Your charts as usual don’t show the full story .  It’s dry 

[dendrite]

Dews near 70° are COC?

[weatherwiz]

10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Dews near 70° are COC?

Absolutely 

[powderfreak]

36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Cherry picking again. I had 2.8 in June, 2.22 Aug and 6.98 Jul. it’s been two very dry months and one wet month that came mainly in two events .Your charts as usual don’t show the full story .  It’s dry 

Isn’t that how summer precip has been for a century?

It’ll usually average out to near an inch per week, but you sure as hell aren’t getting it that consistently.

[tamarack]

39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Cherry picking again. I had 2.8 in June, 2.22 Aug and 6.98 Jul. it’s been two very dry months and one wet month that came mainly in two events .Your charts as usual don’t show the full story .  It’s dry 

That's 12.0" for June 1 thru August 18, probably normal or slightly AN for that period in your neighborhood.

August is imitating July a bit.
July 1-4:  +10.3;   5th on:  -1.0;    Month total:  +0.5
Aug 1-9:   +4.7;   10th-18th:  -0.4;     1-18:  +2.2

I'm guessing August will finish in the +1/+2 range.

[weatherwiz]

That is quite the model battle tomorrow 

[Chrisrotary12]

16 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Congrats Miami on hitting 100°

Didn’t SSTs down there hit 100 a couple years ago?

[Ginx snewx]

53 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Dews near 70° are COC?

Edibles?

[weatherwiz]

10 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Didn’t SSTs down there hit 100 a couple years ago?

yeah like a 6" depth

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Dews near 70° are COC?

Do you whine about everything? Just enjoy it. Remarkable stretch. 

 

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Dews near 70° are COC?

[Torch Tiger]

Big 35

[SouthCoastMA]

4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Big 35

pretty sick storm in my hometown. yuge surge

[dendrite]

56 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Edibles?

It was near 70 at the time of your post. 

[dendrite]

28 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Beer?

[dendrite]

Ken gone wild. Ginxy doesn’t live in CON but ok

[dendrite]

Dews at “Back broken” time 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Dews at “Back broken” time 

Bbbbuuuutttttt the cccc hhharrttss….

[SouthCoastMA]

79/71 it's a solid beach day

[metagraphica]

Dews n Stein n CoC.  Same old same old.

 

Ya'll can come over here if you want some summer weather.  High and lows for the month:

[vortex95]

14 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Ha, my first thought when I saw the post about 100F was, Vortex is going to have something to say about that.

Good perspective.  

Thanks.  As w/ so much, there is usually more to the story, or details to add that change what one (or the MSM) may think immediately.  You can't just gloss over every event.  Not all record high temps, for instance, are due to a large-scale pattern that promote high heat or anomalies.  An example would be a heat burst, which are mesoscale phenomena, and I think all-time records at some locations across the globe are due to this phenomena.  Another example, and in colder climates this is often the reason for record temps, are local, strong downslope winds (chinook, foehn, sirocco, etc,  -- there are many names across the globe for this!).

Here's another recent case for hot temps.  Hong Kong recently recorded its all-time record high temp (98) on Aug 9.  Why?, b/c downslope offshore winds from Typhoon Dolphin that made landfall well to the N.  So given the strong tropical sun and lower dew points, why wouldn't this happen?  But it does not mean there was a big heat wave in progress across southern China or "heat dome" present!

Dolphin was a very large typhoon at landfall, so the atypical part here was that many typhoons make landfall in ern China, and the vast majority of the time, you don't get record hot temps to the S.  In this case, you had very long parcel trajectories originating deep within the Asian continent, so there you go.

Daily or monthly record high temps have occurred in the CONUS b/c of this.  Corpus Christi has had this happen a few time when a hurricane made landfall to the NE, as one example.

Where did the dry air pocket come from in FL ydy?  I don't know, but it was small-scale, so it does not represent the synoptic or hemisphere pattern either way!

And aren't such wx details cool?  It shows the sheer variety of what can happen and how there is always something new to learn or something one was not aware of.

[Ginx snewx]

27 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It was near 70 at the time of your post. 

Some know what the next hour would be. Very very typical down here in the morning until the marine layer retreat. I can see for miles and miles...Men in suits taking Chamber photos for next years calendar. Watching my pool temp drop every day now. The beginning of the end of a fantastic summer. Only 8 90 degree days and a ton of COC days.