Big Heat (and storms?) Week into July 4th Weekend

[SnowtoRain]

That escalated quickly 2.15" sump pump running some water trying to make it in the back door.

[CAPE]

45 minutes ago, yoda said:

You should be getting some good stuff this morning, no?

Nothing heavy but yeah some persistent showers. Much heavier to the south.

[CAPE]

0.83" so far

[frd]

1.20 here last night 

[SnowtoRain]

2.25" total, storm pulling away finally. 0.93" round 1 at 150 AM, 1.32" round 2 starting at 715 AM.

[nj2va]

0.04”, ground wasn’t even wet when i woke up lol 

[AnEndlessMaze]

1.35” from the storm last night.

[nj2va]

8 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

rain seems to be fizzling out as it approaches the beltway - of course.

The beltway is a legit wall with these past few events. It was a wide swath of yellow until it approached the inner burbs in VA then went poof. 

[frd]

Holy smokes it's raining in Dover Delaware. 

 

[JakkelWx]

4 minutes ago, frd said:

Holy smokes it's raining in Dover Delaware. 

 

can you believe it?? stratiform rain currently soaking the ground! up to 0.2" in the past hour so far.

[dailylurker]

Oh look. It's not even 9am and Frederick is already getting ready for the first hit of the day. I might do a little storm chasing today. I might try to get under one of these isolated flood events. Thinking it might me fun to find a hiking area under the best storm. Lightning? Yeah. It's scary in the woods but it really lets you know you're alive. And you suddenly might not be lol. I almost got fried last summer in Crownsville. 

[frd]

14 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

can you believe it?? stratiform rain currently soaking the ground! up to 0.2" in the past hour so far.

That's great news I hope you continue to get more rain.  I know Dover has been suffering badly with a lack of rainfall,  other areas were benefiting , but everything seemed to missed Dover. 

[yoda]

SLGT risk added from about i66 south to VA/NC border on 1300z OTLK from SPC for today 

[BlizzardNole]

2 hours ago, mitchnick said:

Just a WAG, but I think this week marks the beginning of a transition to legit Niño conditions i.e. wetter and cooler than normal. We'll see.

Hope you're right.  I still expect little rainfall through August with many days between 95-105.

Nothing here yesterday.  This evening looks blobby and hit or miss so have to get lucky

[87storms]

2 hours ago, dailylurker said:

Oh look. It's not even 9am and Frederick is already getting ready for the first hit of the day. I might do a little storm chasing today. I might try to get under one of these isolated flood events. Thinking it might me fun to find a hiking area under the best storm. Lightning? Yeah. It's scary in the woods but it really lets you know you're alive. And you suddenly might not be lol. I almost got fried last summer in Crownsville. 

If I can risk my life hiking in 100 and sunny in the Mojave, then you can hike in a storm in the Catoctin’s. Jokes aside, when it gets like this in the desert it’s serious business. I turned around on Saturday after a mile (was my 2nd light explore of the day) because I didn’t like the way I was feeling and I consider myself decently heat tolerant. That desert heat cuts.

[dailylurker]

6 minutes ago, 87storms said:

If I can risk my life hiking in 100 and sunny in the Mojave, then you can hike in a storm in the Catoctin’s. Jokes aside, when it gets like this in the desert it’s serious business. I turned around on Saturday after a mile (was my 2nd light explore of the day) because I didn’t like the way I was feeling and I consider myself decently heat tolerant. That desert heat cuts.

I hike in -20 and feel safe about it. Heat is another animal. Definitely to be respected. Good move turning back. If you don't feel right about a hike ALWAYS turn back immediately. 

[Mrs.J]

3 hours ago, dailylurker said:

Oh look. It's not even 9am and Frederick is already getting ready for the first hit of the day. I might do a little storm chasing today. I might try to get under one of these isolated flood events. Thinking it might me fun to find a hiking area under the best storm. Lightning? Yeah. It's scary in the woods but it really lets you know you're alive. And you suddenly might not be lol. I almost got fried last summer in Crownsville. 

Not my area of Frederick. The county needs to be split when it comes to rain. There is the NE and then there is everywhere else. Mind you I like my .87” that I did pick up late last night. 

[frd]

 

https://x.com/NWSWPC/status/2074122821928657134

[87storms]

21 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I hike in -20 and feel safe about it. Heat is another animal. Definitely to be respected. Good move turning back. If you don't feel right about a hike ALWAYS turn back immediately. 

Oh I did and my car felt very far away lol.

[SnowenOutThere]

3 hours ago, dailylurker said:

Oh look. It's not even 9am and Frederick is already getting ready for the first hit of the day. I might do a little storm chasing today. I might try to get under one of these isolated flood events. Thinking it might me fun to find a hiking area under the best storm. Lightning? Yeah. It's scary in the woods but it really lets you know you're alive. And you suddenly might not be lol. I almost got fried last summer in Crownsville. 

You know I’ve been out hiking in all sorts of weather but I absolutely refuse to hike in either heat or storms. Heat just seems miserable and a bad idea. Storms are nightmarish to me. Was rain hiking Shenandoah white oak canyon last May when a convective cell hit. Being on the side of a mountain covered in trees with the forest floor as one stream of water and lightning going off made for a terrifying experience. Luckily it quickly moved on but I realized without radar or anything I have no clue if a storm pops up and becomes a prolific lightning producer until it’s too late to do anything. That said, rain hiking is awesome when it’s a downpour event and seeing the whole mountain running with water. However, I can’t recommend it unless 1. It’s a synoptic event that relies on upslope for its totals 2. Has no CAPE or convective energy 3. Temperatures are above 50 at lowest (ideally 55-60) and below 70ish degrees 4. Must hike from top to bottom, no parking in river valleys 5. Adding to 1, but upslope is key as it means you don’t need to drive in pouring rain and prevents a wider flood threat 6. I have my rain pants and rain jacket with a towel and change of clothes in the car 7. Bonus, but using soundings to see if peaks/valleys of your hikes are cloud covered or not is fun. Unfortunately, those days are rare. We get maybe 2-4 in spring for Shenandoah (at least the past couple years) and they disappear for summer. 

[TSSN+]

Managed to only get about .25” of rain yesterday as it lightning and thundered for 3 hours and 3-5 miles from my place got 2-3” of rain. Classic. Snow hole and now rain hole wherever I am. lol 

[Terpeast]

2 hours ago, dailylurker said:

I hike in -20 and feel safe about it. Heat is another animal. Definitely to be respected. Good move turning back. If you don't feel right about a hike ALWAYS turn back immediately. 

When its cold, we can always layer up for it. Not so with heat. 

And I've spent time in places that are plenty hot. But usually they have some mitigating factors, like a daily sea breeze flowing through Houston in the afternoons, or extra cloudiness in Asia. In the desert SW, it's very dry and stepping in the shade actually feels refreshing. 

The heat wave we had just hit differently. No sea breeze, no cloudiness to give us shade, and humidity off the charts. Just straight up baking. Our mitigating factor is that these heat waves usually only last a few days to a week.

[dailylurker]

28 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

When its cold, we can always layer up for it. Not so with heat. 

And I've spent time in places that are plenty hot. But usually they have some mitigating factors, like a daily sea breeze flowing through Houston in the afternoons, or extra cloudiness in Asia. In the desert SW, it's very dry and stepping in the shade actually feels refreshing. 

The heat wave we had just hit differently. No sea breeze, no cloudiness to give us shade, and humidity off the charts. Just straight up baking. Our mitigating factor is that these heat waves usually only last a few days to a week.

I agree 100%. Heat like we had demands respect. I didn't want to be 5 miles deep and start seeing stars. It's happened to me before and it's kinda scary. Last winter I was about 3/4 of a miles into the Winona snowforest on Tug Hill on a sled trail. I was out there when a maga intensity LES band shifted north and overtook my location. It was almost scary when the wind stopped and what felt like the walls closing in. It's indescribable. I even experienced it happening in the middle of night. 

Clouds are back, but the wind has increased a lot. Come on storms!

[WxUSAF]

Oh look, cells popping in western HoCo for the third day in a row lol. Maybe a little micro scale feedback going on with wetter ground?

[MillvilleWx]

11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Oh look, cells popping in western HoCo for the third day in a row lol. Maybe a little micro scale feedback going on with wetter ground?

That and the topography out there. A combination of both likely the case. Good ole Mount Airy to Woodbine! 

[87storms]

1 hour ago, Terpeast said:

When its cold, we can always layer up for it. Not so with heat. 

And I've spent time in places that are plenty hot. But usually they have some mitigating factors, like a daily sea breeze flowing through Houston in the afternoons, or extra cloudiness in Asia. In the desert SW, it's very dry and stepping in the shade actually feels refreshing. 

The heat wave we had just hit differently. No sea breeze, no cloudiness to give us shade, and humidity off the charts. Just straight up baking. Our mitigating factor is that these heat waves usually only last a few days to a week.

That’s the problem I’ve faced a couple times while hiking out here in the summer (when it’s 100, not 110 bc I’m not messing with that)…there’s just no shade.

[WxUSAF]

Interesting storm motion. Storms moving east but keep building and redeveloping westward. 

[mitchnick]

12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Interesting storm motion. Storms moving east but keep building and redeveloping westward. 

That's because going east would put them over Stephens City, VA!!

[WxUSAF]

WPC meso for heavy rain and flash flood potential out for the Bay and points eastward, including southern MD.  (sorry VA)

[JakkelWx]

over an inch and a half with very close positive strikes (scared the shit out of me) and then continuous thunder! Woo storms! about time. Dover pummeled!