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A few additional showers are possible this evening into tonight.

Tomorrow will see a continuation of below normal readings. Temperatures could return to near seasonable levels for the weekend.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.2°C for the week centered around July 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.92°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -23.76 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.223 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.4° (1.1° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.1° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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13 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

100%

Talk of drought was always overdone. Lets shake this wet pattern and close out summer on a sunny note

 

 

If we can grab a quick 1/2”-1” every week we’d all be happy. Good for the environment 

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