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1 hour ago, MANDA said:

Have to believe the bicycle stuff is due at least in part to the tough economy right now.  Gas costs eating into people's disposable income?  I'm sure the weather does play at least some part though.  Hope things pick up for you soon.

Maybe but, historically when gas prices go up bicycles and service do better. 

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Through 4 pm, storm total rainfall totals across the region include:

Atlantic City: 0.91"
Binghamton: 0.86"
Bridgeport: 1.44"
Islip: 1.20"
New Haven: 1.38"
New York City-Central Park: 1.83"
New York City-JFK Airport: 1.56"
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 1.65"
Newark: 1.50"
Philadelphia: 1.52"
White Plains: 1.38"

Clouds will break tomorrow. As a result, the temperature will likely return to the lower 70s. Temperatures could then rise to above normal levels for Tuesday through Thursday. It will turn somewhat cooler to end the week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.63°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.70°C. El Niño conditions are now in place. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -31.69 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.772 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 75% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.0° (0.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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9 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Through 4 pm, storm total rainfall totals across the region include:

Atlantic City: 0.91"
Binghamton: 0.86"
Bridgeport: 1.44"
Islip: 1.20"
New Haven: 1.38"
New York City-Central Park: 1.83"
New York City-JFK Airport: 1.56"
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 1.65"
Newark: 1.50"
Philadelphia: 1.52"
White Plains: 1.38"

Clouds will break tomorrow. As a result, the temperature will likely return to the lower 70s. Temperatures could then rise to above normal levels for Tuesday through Thursday. It will turn somewhat cooler to end the week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.63°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.70°C. El Niño conditions are now in place. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -31.69 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.772 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 75% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.0° (0.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

SOI in a lengthier and stronger streak just following your daily updates reflecting the El Niño development. 

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