May 2026 Obs/Discussion

[jbenedet]

Nice four day weekend incoming. 

[kdxken]

Super. 

 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just one bad day. Two out of three ain’t bad.

Guidance is slowly coming into better agreement on the weather for
the upcoming holiday weekend. While we continue to forecast a cooler
than normal weekend with wet weather, the full three day weekend
shouldn`t be a washout. As it stands now, surface high pressure will
be fighting to keep low pressure from the OH valley and its
associated wet weather at bay as long as possible; this means the
earlier in the day on Saturday the better chance we stay dry, it
could even hold out for a fully dry Saturday, especially toward
northeast/north central MA. Eventually the shortwave and wet weather
move over SNE Saturday night/Sunday and this looks to be the most
likely "washout" day before the low moves east of MA by Monday with
drier air funneling in and making for a more pleasant day than
Sunday. Sunday will also be breezy as a 25-35kt LLJ moves overhead.
Temperatures bottom out on Sunday with highs in the upper 50s,
warming into the upper 60s and 70s by Monday.

I think you’re going to be disappointed overall with this weekend …more wet abd cool than anything else.  

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just one bad day. Two out of three ain’t bad.

Guidance is slowly coming into better agreement on the weather for
the upcoming holiday weekend. While we continue to forecast a cooler
than normal weekend with wet weather, the full three day weekend
shouldn`t be a washout. As it stands now, surface high pressure will
be fighting to keep low pressure from the OH valley and its
associated wet weather at bay as long as possible; this means the
earlier in the day on Saturday the better chance we stay dry, it
could even hold out for a fully dry Saturday, especially toward
northeast/north central MA. Eventually the shortwave and wet weather
move over SNE Saturday night/Sunday and this looks to be the most
likely "washout" day before the low moves east of MA by Monday with
drier air funneling in and making for a more pleasant day than
Sunday. Sunday will also be breezy as a 25-35kt LLJ moves overhead.
Temperatures bottom out on Sunday with highs in the upper 50s,
warming into the upper 60s and 70s by Monday.

You can do it put your  into it

 

[Damage In Tolland]

18 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I think you’re going to be disappointed overall with this weekend …more wet abd cool than anything else.  

Saturday showers hold off till dark in this area. Monday the sun comes out for all . Sunday is a bad day 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Saturday showers hold off till dark in this area. Monday the sun comes out for all . Sunday is a bad day 

Monday could be ok aftn. To me weekend blows.

[dendrite]

May need the heat here on Sunday. I’ll take the rain. Goofus is basically a goose egg after this weekend.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Next week looks like great weather.
Mid to upper 70’s and dry.  

[Typhoon Tip]

13 hours ago, dendrite said:

Sad

We have a dry-line-like phenomenon that is part of our spring/summer climo in New England that isn't really very well recognized. 

I've noticed too many times then can be counted since moving to this region of the country ...decades ago, that when it is hot and humid and a corrective cool front is approaching, we gap dry air out ahead.

The synoptic mechanism for this may not be too terribly different than what happens in W Tx... in principle.  We have higher elevations W, check.   Wind tendency to veer S of said higher elevations. Heating E also tends to trough the structure of flow subtly, which induces W d-slope component, W of the psuedo trough axis.   The result manufactures a dry line along the trough's axis... The real front is still back up stream mid NY/PA.  Not exactly the same but I see similarities there.  The main difference is that whence the d-line forms here, it races E.  That's why we get that deep blue sky with dry cough sear heat still 88 to 91 degrees N of the Pike like we did yesterday so often in that set up.  You see anvil heads on the S horizon. 

[Cyclone-68]

2025 and maybe 2026 are going to go down as spectacularly mediocre in regards to this part of the country. I wish I were wrong 

[jbenedet]

23 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Next week looks like great weather.
Mid to upper 70’s and dry.  

Yea you’re good.

Im thinking of the 4 days Fri-Monday I lose one to rain. Will lose either Sunday or Monday to rain—trending to Sunday but it’s in and out quickly. Expecting that trend to continue. On the days with sun it will be near 70. 
 

Nothing to complain about up here.

 

It’s a shit setup though for the CT, RI, southeast MA.

[metagraphica]

Nice soaker this morning. Temp down to 56. 

[Damage In Tolland]

38 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Next week looks like great weather.
Mid to upper 70’s and dry.  

Next week is 80’s all week 

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

Nice soaker this morning. Temp down to 56. 

We sun

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Off by 15 miles. Maybe your well will run dry?

At this rate, probably. Already getting crispy here.

This weekend looks like shit, but also, very little actual rain. Double whammy of suck