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6 minutes ago, psv88 said:

People forget that spring sucks here. Always has and always will. Anything before Memorial Day is a crap shoot. We’ve had shitty Junes before where we couldn’t hit 80. 

Even July 4 weekends. I remember a few years ago it rained that whole weekend and didn’t get out of the 50s. Usually Memorial Day is around when we stop getting hit with the nasty backdoor fronts. 

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13 minutes ago, psv88 said:

People forget that spring sucks here. Always has and always will. Anything before Memorial Day is a crap shoot. We’ve had shitty Junes before where we couldn’t hit 80. 

We've actually lucked out somewhat-a fair amount of sunny days (Even if chilly) this spring and last week was a bonus.

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

This was a record breaking April temperature drop spanning around 5 days. These charts are just for hourly reports and miss highs or lows recorded between hours. Spots that radiate well dropped more than 60°.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=169&network=NJ_ASOS&zstation=EWR&v=tmpf&hours=111&month=apr&dir=cool&how=exact&syear=1900&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

IMG_6140.thumb.png.7750838f80610dc90f6ce0c3ca75a94e.png

IMG_6139.thumb.png.b202093a69f72617b56ee2c639705fc8.png

 

This comes after we broke the one-day record for biggest temperature drop last month. Yep, this isn't normal. I've seen temperature swings, but not this many in such short order like we have this spring. I hope this doesn't continue. I'll even take consistent 50 or 60 degree days over this. No one wants 100-degree heat to be followed by 50-degree temps in such short order in June or July.

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3 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

This comes after we broke the one-day record for biggest temperature drop last month. Yep, this isn't normal. I've seen temperature swings, but not this many in such short order like we have this spring. I hope this doesn't continue. I'll even take consistent 50 or 60 degree days over this. No one wants 100-degree heat to be followed by 50-degree temps in such short order in June or July.

I tend to doubt there will be 100 degree days in July followed by 50's - the thing to be really concerned about this summer with a lack of tropical activity and El Nino is drought conditions becoming severe along the east coast

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11 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

I tend to doubt there will be 100 degree days in July followed by 50's - the thing to be really concerned about this summer with a lack of tropical activity and El Nino is drought conditions becoming severe along the east coast

We are already headed there.  Hasn't really rained much last month and we had a fairly dry winter despite the robust snow.    Saturday's event could miss SW as well

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31 this morning for the low

Despite being on LI and near the water, spring is my favorite season. Of course there's plenty of crappy days with clouds, rain, and can't forget allergies! But the days where it's 65-75 and sunny are the best weather days of the year IMO. That in addition to long days, late sunsets, high sun angle, and the greening up of the landscape is pleasant to see after seeing brown and gray all winter.

It's amazing how different a 50 degree day feels when its cloudy vs when its sunny this time of year

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7 hours ago, psv88 said:

People forget that spring sucks here. Always has and always will. Anything before Memorial Day is a crap shoot. We’ve had shitty Junes before where we couldn’t hit 80. 

i will never plant a tomato before mother's day

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Near record and record cold covered the region this morning. Records included:

Allentown: 24° (old record: 28°, 1925, 1956, and 2018)
Hartford: 27° (tied record set in 1961)
Poughkeepsie: 24° (old record: 26°, 2018)
Scranton: 24° (old record: 26°, 1925)
Westhampton: 22° (old record: 23°, 2014)
White Plains: 27° (old record: 29°, 1981)

The last time White Plains recorded a low in the 20s on or after April 21st was April 23, 1982.

Tomorrow will be somewhat milder with highs returning to the upper 50s. The temperature could approach or reach 70° on Thursday before another cooling trend commences. No cold shots comparable to the current one are likely for the remainder of spring.

No significant rainfall appears likely through the foreseeable future. Some showers are possible during the weekend. There remains some risk for a more meaningful rainfall given the lead time involved.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around April 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.43°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer.

The SOI was -5.34 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.507 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 84% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.6° (1.9° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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13 hours ago, uofmiami said:

I’m suppose to go Saturday night.  Hope weather improves for the weekend. 

I hope so too. We were lucky to go last year too and it was so much fun. Either way, you are going to love it! Looks like the rain might move out by game time! 

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48 / 41 rain / showers moving through more focused in the northern areas into NYC.  Clear out and warm up for 36 - 48 hours with Thursday the nicest day / warmest and driest of the next 10.  Low - mid 70s.  Weekend loosk cool / wet Sat into sun with >0.5 inches and potentially >1.0 for the area.  Trough / much into the east .  Moderation towards the second week of May with ridge coming east.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Records:
 

Highs:

EWR: 87 (1985)
NYC: 86 (2001)
LGA: 85 (2001)
JFK: 82 (2001)


Lows:

EWR: 32 (1947)
NYC: 28 (1875)
LGA: 33 (1947)
JFK: 36 (2021)

 

Historical:


1857:The Genesee Suspension Bridge in Genesee, NY, collapsed under the weight of 12 inches of wet snow weighing 19 pounds per cubic foot. Snow fell to a depth of 48 inches at Liberty in the Catskills. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1883 - An outbreak of tornadoes from Louisiana to Kansas claimed the lives to 200 persons. One of the tornadoes destroyed the town of Beauregard MS. (David Ludlum)

1978: Lightning sometimes strikes tents. In this case, a tent containing some sleeping Girl Scouts was hit by lightning as they were camping at DeGray Lake in Arkansas. Two of the Girl Scouts suffered minor burns.

1980 - A record April heat wave sent the mercury up to the 100 degree mark in Iowa. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Fifteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date. The afternoon high of 96 degrees at Pensacola FL established a record for the month of April. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Heavy snow fell over northern Nebraska, with 15 inches reported at Mullen. Heavy snow also blanketed the mountains of northern Arizona, with 16 inches reported at Munds Park. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Twenty-seven cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 96 degrees at Omaha was an April record, and the high of 100 degrees at Lubbock TX equalled their record for April. Hill City KS and Liberal KS tied for honors as the hot spot in the nation with afternoon highs of 103 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Southern and Central High Plains to northwest Florida during the afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 67 mph at Gillette WY, hail two inches in diameter west of Roswell NM, and deluged Cheyenne OK with 8.68 inches of rain leaving some parts of the town under five feet of water. Temperatures reached the low 90s in the north central U.S. Chamberlain SD and Pickstown SD tied Presidio TX for honors as the hot spot in the nation with afternoon highs of 94 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)


1991:On April 20th and 21st Boston had 3.32 inches precipitation the greatest in a 24 hours for April. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)
 

1999: A one million dollar air charter Bowling 727 flew into large hail. Although the plane and it 66 occupants landed safely, the aircraft was declared a total loss.

2002: A tornado moved across Wayne County, in southeast Illinois. The tornado passed through the southern part of Fairfield with F3 intensity winds. One person was killed in a mobile home west of Wayne City. 42 people were injured, 13 critically. A total of 35 homes were destroyed, and 16 received major damage. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2003: Tropical Storm Ana became the first Atlantic tropical storm since records began in 1871 to form during the month April. Maximum sustained winds reached 55 mph. Starting as a non-tropical area of low pressure on the 18th about 210 miles south-southwest of Bermuda, it was classified as a sub-tropical storm early on the 20th, it gained full tropical characteristics near 0000 UTC on the 21st, developing an "eye" feature.

2011 - Lambert International Airport in St. Louis experiences extensive damage as it is hit by a group of tornados, blowing out windows in the main terminal and tearing the roof off Concourse C. Five people were taken to the hospital with minor injuries from shattered glass and flying debris.

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22 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

This comes after we broke the one-day record for biggest temperature drop last month. Yep, this isn't normal. I've seen temperature swings, but not this many in such short order like we have this spring. I hope this doesn't continue. I'll even take consistent 50 or 60 degree days over this. No one wants 100-degree heat to be followed by 50-degree temps in such short order in June or July.

At least for the next few weeks, it looks like the warmer days will be in the 70s rather than the 90s. Plenty of blocking setting up which should cap the higher end temperature potential.

These impressive temperature swings seem to have increased in frequency starting around January 2005 with how quickly the record warmth reversed to significantly colder. 

But the warmest temperatures during the swings most of the time is more impressive than the coldest readings. 
 

IMG_6147.thumb.png.2a03e1cd439d3d6d350d58b23adbb10f.png

 

IMG_6143.thumb.png.cc7bf001960291da43cc8677bbbdd6a1.png

IMG_6144.thumb.png.be3879d16f2ed519d5055fd35ae168a9.png

IMG_6146.thumb.png.902ba316807a9a6e3fd4cefb51bb1b61.png


 

Climatological Data for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - January 2005
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Sum 1160 781 - - 1035 0 4.67 15.3 -
Average 37.4 25.2 31.3 -2.4 - - - - 3.5
Normal 39.5 27.9 33.7 - 970 0 3.64
2005-01-01 60 40 50.0 14.8 15 0 0.00 0.0 0
2005-01-02 50 37 43.5 8.5 21 0 0.00 0.0 0
2005-01-03 58 49 53.5 18.7 11 0 0.45 0.0 0
2005-01-04 51 46 48.5 13.8 16 0 0.06 0.0 0
2005-01-05 46 35 40.5 6.0 24 0 0.28 T 0
2005-01-06 41 34 37.5 3.1 27 0 0.62 0.0 0
2005-01-07 42 36 39.0 4.8 26 0 T T 0
2005-01-08 41 35 38.0 3.9 27 0 0.59 T 0
2005-01-09 40 33 36.5 2.6 28 0 0.00 0.0 0
2005-01-10 48 39 43.5 9.7 21 0 0.00 0.0 0
2005-01-11 40 35 37.5 3.8 27 0 0.25 T 0
2005-01-12 39 35 37.0 3.4 28 0 0.12 0.0 0
2005-01-13 59 38 48.5 15.0 16 0 0.00 0.0 0
2005-01-14 66 34 50.0 16.6 15 0 1.03 0.0 0
2005-01-15 34 26 30.0 -3.4 35 0 0.00 0.0 0
2005-01-16 31 27 29.0 -4.3 36 0 0.00 0.0 0
2005-01-17 28 18 23.0 -10.3 42 0 0.03 0.5 T
2005-01-18 18 9 13.5 -19.7 51 0 T T 0
2005-01-19 26 9 17.5 -15.7 47 0 0.03 0.8 0
2005-01-20 30 20 25.0 -8.2 40 0 0.00 0.0 0
2005-01-21 20 9 14.5 -18.6 50 0 0.00 0.0 0
2005-01-22 25 6 15.5 -17.6 49 0 0.93 8.5 0
2005-01-23 26 9 17.5 -15.7 47 0 0.25 5.3 13
2005-01-24 24 8 16.0 -17.2 49 0 T T 14
2005-01-25 33 20 26.5 -6.7 38 0 0.00 0.0 13
2005-01-26 37 17 27.0 -6.2 38 0 0.01 T 13
2005-01-27 18 9 13.5 -19.8 51 0 0.00 0.0 13
2005-01-28 22 5 13.5 -19.9 51 0 0.00 0.0 11
2005-01-29 34 15 24.5 -8.9 40 0 0.00 0.0 11
2005-01-30 38 24 31.0 -2.5 34 0 0.02 0.2 11
2005-01-31 35 24 29.5 -4.1 35 0 0.00 0.0 11
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