April 2026

[dmillz25]

10 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah a weak El Nino would give us a decent chance, but unfortunately the signs point to this one being strong. I'd much rather have a La Nina like the last couple winters than a strong El Nino. 

A west based mod niño would be good as well 

[psv88]

Barely any rain today. Cold. Awful 

[donsutherland1]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

We dont want it too strong for winter. 

I agree. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

i don't how next year we could beat this past winter! 

[jm1220]

2 hours ago, dmillz25 said:

A west based mod niño would be good as well 

It would be great if we can finally get some help from the PDO and get the warm bath water out of the western Pacific. That should tamp down the ridiculous Pacific jet but a super Nino will just flood the continent with mild air and overwhelm any other positive trend. We’d have to hope for one huge STJ driven event like Jan 2016 or Feb 1983. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

I don't agree that you don't want the El Nino Strong, as long as it stays west-based. Number of examples is too low, and Stronger La Nina's (opposite) correlate with big SE ridge in the Winter

[Stormlover74]

36 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

i don't how next year we could beat this past winter! 

We won't 

[STORMANLI]

Waiting for the rain today was like waiting for paint to dry. When it did finally get here it felt like I missed a spot as only .07" fell here.

[Brian5671]

4 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah a weak El Nino would give us a decent chance, but unfortunately the signs point to this one being strong. I'd much rather have a La Nina like the last couple winters than a strong El Nino. 

A strong nino is likely a 3 week winter like 15-16-hopefully with a big blizzard in there

[PhiEaglesfan712]

10 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

I don't agree that you don't want the El Nino Strong, as long as it stays west-based. Number of examples is too low, and Stronger La Nina's (opposite) correlate with big SE ridge in the Winter

2009-10 was a west-based el nino, correct? 

2010-11 is probably an exception to the strong la nina/SE ridge correlation because we got a really good winter here as well. Was there any ridge that winter?

[doncat]

33° here this am, record low for date. Again fell short yesterday with just 0.07" rain.

[TWCCraig]

Low of 31.6. Most of the moisture from yesterday's showers froze into a heavy frost. Lots of ice on rooftops, cars, and grass

[jm1220]

Freeze this morning. Down to 30. 

[uofmiami]

30.5 & 31.2 with frost at my stations this morning.

[dmillz25]

12 hours ago, jm1220 said:

It would be great if we can finally get some help from the PDO and get the warm bath water out of the western Pacific. That should tamp down the ridiculous Pacific jet but a super Nino will just flood the continent with mild air and overwhelm any other positive trend. We’d have to hope for one huge STJ driven event like Jan 2016 or Feb 1983. 

Def would need a -WPO to help bring down arctic air in concert with the strong STJ but who knows at this point 

[NorthShoreWx]

30.0⁰ low this am