Winter 2026-2027 Speculation

[WxWatcher007]

Sorry, guys. 


 

 

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

29 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Sorry, guys. 


 

 

 

What’s to be sorry about? I’m hoping my winter heating bills are no worse than my summer cooling bills.

I'm hoping for a torched winter where my winter heating electric bills match my summer cooling ones

[40/70 Benchmark]

About 10" below average...still would be tied for the 2nd most snow that I have had since 2017-2018. Take. That close to climo in a super El Nino likely includes a big fish.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I know it's instinctive to look at the colors on those maps and feel compelled to projectile-vomit, but it's really not far off of a bast-case scenario given the hand we are dealt.

I have no issue with this composite...we have a bit of breathing room in terms of latitude with respect to the pig-ridge to the north, and the GOA low isn't pressed up against the coast out west. We can't see the composite seasons, but that looks a great deal like 1957-1958 to me.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I would say it's a tic worse than 1957, though due to the orientation of the GOA low, as it's more elongated towards the Bering sea, as opposed to poleward in the direction of AK in 1957. Would need to see monthlies to confirm, but given the expected retrogression of that low during the evolution of the season, that is likely a limiting factor with respect to periods of cross polar flow during the second half....so news flash, second half probably won't be as good as 1958...no $hit-