MJO812 Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 On 6/27/2026 at 10:35 AM, cleetussnow said: Coast to coast, I agree. Conflicting signals for the NE. Its July 1 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 26 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Even though this winter looks mild , im looking forward to the active STJ. Yeah could be feast or famine. Hopefully a couple of big boys. Could have like a +4 month but if you somehow sneak in a MECS or HECS it feels pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 3 hours ago, CT Valley Snowman said: Yeah that winter was a pretty bad ratter. Hopefully not as bad this winter, although with the projected strength of the Nino it's hard to be overly optimistic about things. Yeah I got a feeling this past winter was a Unicorn . Hope it's not too bad for severe n the deep south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 2 Author Share Posted July 2 On 7/1/2026 at 12:00 AM, codfishsnowman said: Yeah I got a feeling this past winter was a Unicorn . Hope it's not too bad for severe n the deep south I do think we have changed to a better north Pacific pattern.....seem to have flipped from predominately +WPO for many years to more negative the past couple. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 2 Author Share Posted July 2 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I do think we have changed to a better north Pacific pattern.....seem to have flipped from predominately +WPO for many years to more negative the past couple. If this sticks, which I feel like it may, we probably pull of a serviceable snowfall season next year....albeit mild. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VivaManchVegas Posted July 2 Share Posted July 2 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If this sticks, which I feel like it may, we probably pull of a serviceable snowfall season next year....albeit mild. As a new owner of an epic pass... i would take this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarcmmKU Posted July 2 Share Posted July 2 2 hours ago, VivaManchVegas said: As a new owner of an epic pass... i would take this. Pray for Stowe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 7 Share Posted July 7 Love to see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 8 Author Share Posted July 8 14 hours ago, dendrite said: Love to see it We probably need something like this to reconfigure the Pacific, even if it means this coming season sucks, of which I am not convinced.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted July 8 Share Posted July 8 Here ya go, Mainers, lol. Courtesy of Jason Nappi. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 9 Author Share Posted July 9 12 hours ago, CT Valley Snowman said: Here ya go, Mainers, lol. Courtesy of Jason Nappi. Not much value in a 35-60" range, which is why you shouldn't bother to issue a seasonal snowfall map in July. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 13 Share Posted July 13 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted July 13 Share Posted July 13 10 hours ago, MJO812 said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 13 Author Share Posted July 13 58 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Solar-nape season ends in 4 weeks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 13 Share Posted July 13 https://hudsonvalleypost.com/new-york-could-see-strongest-winter-in-a-decade/?tsq=sl&fbclid=IwdGRjcATCHlFjbGNrBMIePmV4dG4DYWVtAjExAHNydGMGYXBwX2lkDDM1MDY4NTUzMTcyOAABHjp6J1TGE9ocHNhW8ZxgHKT91qC7PujWKSAcNuIu8S94zzo0OpS9RyHnJfyZ_aem_HlxhPu2lZX-qOcRhk70wDw 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted July 14 Share Posted July 14 Can we make this our predominant set-up this winter? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 15 Author Share Posted July 15 5 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: It's hard to assess without Daily Climate Composites page, but right now it looks pretty negative. July 15 is 50% of the way through, and I would say it's about ~-0.4 for DJFM NAO predictor. 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I've come up with 6 Solar analogs and 5/6 averaged positive NAO in the seasonal mean (one was very slightly negative), 3/6 had at least one month between DJFM that averaged -NAO and it looks as though the strongest signal is March. My money is on Chuck's formula shifting more positive from here on out, but I don't expect it to be an overwhelming signal, like last year. 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll have a blog update within the next few days, followed by an ENSO update next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted July 16 Share Posted July 16 If it is a +NAO I already know the Southeast Sanitarium is going to be past max capacity Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 11:43 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 11:43 PM 7 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said: If it is a +NAO I already know the Southeast Sanitarium is going to be past max capacity Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Depends what happens during the -NAO periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted Friday at 01:41 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:41 AM Apparently Coos county ranked #2 in the nation for snowfall. Bring it. https://www.foxweather.com/extreme-weather/lawn-love-snowiest-counties-rankings 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Saturday at 11:03 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:03 PM 6 straight months of -PNA ongoing. This Winter may be more challenging to forecast than your typical Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Monday at 11:33 AM Author Share Posted Monday at 11:33 AM On 7/18/2026 at 7:03 PM, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 6 straight months of -PNA ongoing. This Winter may be more challenging to forecast than your typical Nino. Highly doubt that persists through winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago So many click bait winter outlooks from meteorologists on YouTube calling for a snowy winter for the Northeast due to the strong STJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 13 hours ago, MJO812 said: So many click bait winter outlooks from meteorologists on YouTube calling for a snowy winter for the Northeast due to the strong STJ. and you watched them all, didn't you? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 53 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: and you watched them all, didn't you? And believed most of them. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 hours ago, SJonesWX said: and you watched them all, didn't you? 3 hours ago, mreaves said: And believed most of them. Hopefully they are right. I will take my chances with an active stj. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 19 hours ago, MJO812 said: So many click bait winter outlooks from meteorologists on YouTube calling for a snowy winter for the Northeast due to the strong STJ. Large population center explains why... How many times have those same people called for a snowy winter for Iowa??? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 22 minutes ago Share Posted 22 minutes ago Jackass seems like a jackass. I rarely see him post. Just posting emojis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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