2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion

[yoda]

Just now, yoda said:

And a Severe Thunderstorm Watch just issued S and SE of there to the Mason Dixon line until midnight 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0646.html

 

[Eskimo Joe]

On 9/1/2026 at 8:50 AM, Eskimo Joe said:

Wednesday and Thursday could be legit ENH or MOD for someone in the Northeast or Mid Atlantic.

Called it. ENH in NY and a tornado watch.

[AdamHLG]

Anything for tomorrow ?


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[Kmlwx]

1 hour ago, AdamHLG said:

Anything for tomorrow ?


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Mixed bag on the models. NAM nest seemed to like Friday 

[vortex95]

Darn it!  You'd think w/ the BDF getting much farther SW than fcst, and a general rule about 50 mi N of the front when EML-type NW flow, we'd have a nice nocturnal MCS right over the DC area now, but it's still way N still in PA/NJ at this hour, which has got hit repeatedly in the last few days.

Also, the squall line that came through early aftn ydy, you'd think that would have meant convection firing farther S as that what usually occurs in NW flow  Two days ago the axis was just to our NE, and moves S for ydy aftn, but apparent has moved back N?  Odd.

Maybe today finally w/ the svr risk axis fcst right through us, but it was ydy also. 

[vortex95]

Also, see this ydy in wrn NY?  That is *unreal* supercell structure for the East!
https://x.com/voglerweather/status/2095284232893473216/

Radar loop shows classic splitting supercells and then a raging squall line into the same area.  Why can't we get that?

[dailylurker]

35 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Also, see this ydy in wrn NY?  That is *unreal* supercell structure for the East!
https://x.com/voglerweather/status/2095284232893473216/

Radar loop shows classic splitting supercells and then a raging squall line into the same area.  Why can't we get that?

Congrats PA as usual. That will just bring us clouds all day Thursday to cap any chance of anything interesting. I've heard thunder like twice this summer. Most boring thunderstorm season i can remember.