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March 2026


snowman19
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3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

DCA picked up 0.1" today after an early morning high of 78°. Yesterday's high there was 86°.

This is probably the most unprecedented weather event ever. It would be like if this July, DCA recorded a high of 106 one day, and an early morning high of 98 the next day, then the temps dropping to near 50 by the end of that very day.

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I still have a stripe of snow in my yard next to a fence and some bushes, the most in my neighborhood. The roadside snowpiles are melted.  My pond is frozen but I think the rains probably cut into the ice depth to probably 3 inches.  I could make out a fish through it.  I don’t want to walk on it but probably would be alright. 

the winter is ending here on my polar preserve.  

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With today's snowfall, Central Park tied the record for fewest days between an 80° or above temperature at Central Park and a trace or more of snow. The records are below:

April 7, 1942: 82°; April 9, 1942: 2.1"
March 20, 1945: 83°; March 22, 1945: Trace
April 1, 1978: 81°; April 3, 1978: Trace
March 10, 2026: 80°; March 12, 2026: Trace

Generally cooler weather will prevail through the weekend. Following a soaking rain on Monday, a shot of much cooler air could arrive on Tuesday. Lows in New York City could fall to the middle and upper 20s with highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s on Wednesday and Thursday. 

However, with the AO likely to remain generally positive, the cool period likely won't be as prolonged as had been the case during this past winter's cold regimes. There may be a short window of opportunity for some snow, but snow is not assured.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +24.08 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +3.714 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 75% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.8° (2.0° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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