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snowman19
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1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

most models show a coating to an inch at best here

I think that would have to fall after dark to accumulate - borderline temps and it was extremely warm last 2days

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At 18Z it's no longer just the GFS showing snow tomorrow, as the AIFS and NAM have a bit and the HRRR is bullish (although it's the long range HRRR which usually is crappy). However, these snowmaps are at 10:1 ratios, which are not going to happen.  I'll just be happy to see falling snow, even if it doesn't accumulate with temps in the mid-30s - maybe a bit on grassy surfaces at most, unless temps go a bit lower than forecast. The 12Z Euro also showed an inch or so of snow in the late afternoon - will be interesting to see what the 18Z runs say for those two models. The NWS remains unimpressed (can't blame them), mentioning a change to snow showers, but not predicting any accumulation worth noting (<1/2" for areas at elevation in NWNJ/NEPA/Hudson Valley).

sn10_acc-imp.us_state_ne_s.png?ex=69b349

sn10_acc-imp.us_state_ne_s.png?ex=69b349

sn10_acc-imp.us_state_ne_s.png?ex=69b349

sn10_acc-imp.us_state_ne_s.png?ex=69b349

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