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March 2026


snowman19
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37 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

The cool down looks like it is going to be as brief as the warmth next week, EPS starts warming the pattern up again by the Equinox (3/20)

Eps and euro are much colder than the gfs due to the MJO going into 8.  Right now it looks brief but let's see what happens as we get closer. Its defintely going to eventually warm up for good but not now .

The timeframe between the 15-25 should be watched for some snow. 

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Periods of rain will continue into tomorrow. A storm total 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely across much of the region. Highs will likely reach the lower 40s tomorrow and Friday. 

It will turn noticeably warmer during the weekend. Long Island and coastal sections could be noticeably cooler than interior sections on a number of days on account of a chilly onshore flow.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around February 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.28°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +13.59 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.072 today. 

 

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2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Eps and euro are much colder than the gfs due to the MJO going into 8.  Right now it looks brief but let's see what happens as we get closer. Its defintely going to eventually warm up for good but not now .

The timeframe between the 15-25 should be watched for some snow. 

It's a short cool window. With AO staying positive, cool downs can't last

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1 hour ago, nycwinter said:

the sidewalks need a good cleaning after 6 weeks of salt and yuk on top of them so the rain is welcomed..

Completely agree - a beneficial rain all

around. I love snow as much as anyone but im so happy to see it go, never felt this way before maybe im just getting old. 

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1 hour ago, nycwinter said:

the sidewalks need a good cleaning after 6 weeks of salt and yuk on top of them so the rain is welcomed..

Yes we need this extended soaking rain to wash this salt away. These mist and drizzle days wasnt really doing it.

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Pretty impressive how the record ridge out West which began back in November is continuing into March. But the Northeast trough isn’t quite as strong as it has been. So it looks like a weaker reflection of the pattern in the Northeast at least. This corresponds to the typical backdoor pattern that we see in the spring. 
 

IMG_5896.png.399752d130128d1d9d1c07dbd82ba250.png
 

IMG_5893.thumb.png.a15e910516cbf8783655262af3a752a5.png

IMG_5894.thumb.png.24c6febed41de71355d44eb3bdf0f588.png

IMG_5895.thumb.png.372176c09f657d16ca61d000eef80065.png

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Way out there but this next window is the last to:

1.) Get CPK to 50 inches

2.) Give Providence their all time snowiest winter!!!!

Unlikely given that March only had 5 inches or more when December had the same FOUR TIMES since 1970.

image.thumb.png.8878ab7b7a7d66cbda72f60866f4c3a7.png

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39 / 38 .97 in the bucket.  Clouds hanging tough today but drying out.  Warmer but looking cloudy weekend.  Much warmer Sunday through Wed with hopefully some sunshine Mon - Tue and part of Wed before the front.  Max temps 70s but perhaps a stray 80 in the warmest spot but looking well south now.  Moderation back towards normal by Thursday then tough and much chillier look Mar 16 - Marcch 20.  A drier week overall vs this week. Beyond there a bit back and forth.

3/6 - 3/7 :   Near / slightly below normal
3/8 - 3/11 :  Warmer to much warmer first 60s/70s since last Nov/Oct
3/12 - 3/15 :   Back near normal
3/16 - 3/20 :   Below to much below normal
3/21 - Beyond  :  Back and forth overall near normal

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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