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1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

The colder global temperature sweet spot ended with the 1997-98 el nino. Temperatures jumped with that super el nino, and have never went back to the pre-1997 baseline. Pinatubo was most likely the reason for the colder global temperature sweet spot.

We didnt have a volcanic eruption this winter and look how it turned out. I think people are too fascinated on that aspect about a volcano helping or hurting the atmosphere. 

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On 3/1/2026 at 12:04 PM, doncat said:

Central west shore, town of Travis.

Hi Don, if you are in the Travis section of Staten Island, then I am 6 to 7 miles to your southwest.  I live across the Arthur Kill from Tottenville, Staten Island; directly across from the historic Conference House (Billop House), there.

You are across the Arthur Kill from Carteret, NJ.

ps - I am at 49.4 inches for the season-to-date.  I see you are at 53.9.  4.5 inches above my total.  I often get less accumulation from marginal events due to a slightly warmer micro-climate here.  @doncat

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1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

The colder global temperature sweet spot ended with the 1997-98 el nino. Temperatures jumped with that super el nino, and have never went back to the pre-1997 baseline. Pinatubo was most likely the reason for the colder global temperature sweet spot.

Providence had it second snowiest winter in history! If they are to challenge the highest it will have to occur after mid month. They only need 6 inches.

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48 minutes ago, North and West said:


Do you have the full list? Or Top 25?


.

Here's the Top 30 data for through March 1st. The ranking is higher, as I excluded years with 25 or more missing days. Their inclusion previously skewed some of the results. I also used average of days (not months) when calculating the DJF mean temperature. That also led to minor adjustments from the prior list e.g., 1854-55 had a mean temperature of 29.1° vs. 29.0° (when all months were weighted equally).

Rank Winter DJF Temp Snow Score
1 1872-1873 25.7 62.5 -2.225
2 1867-1868 25.0 53.3 -2.027
3 1904-1905 25.4 49.8 -1.856
4 1960-1961 30.6 69.5 -1.752
5 1917-1918 24.9 42.3 -1.684
6 1855-1856 26.4 46.8 -1.616
7 1947-1948 28.9 57.6 -1.609
8 1919-1920 26.7 45.9 -1.544
9 1977-1978 28.7 52.9 -1.485
10 1874-1875 25.6 38.9 -1.474
11 1864-1865 27.9 49.0 -1.473
12 1995-1996 31.6 62.8 -1.392
13 2013-2014 31.3 60.5 -1.360
14 1922-1923 28.9 48.9 -1.327
15 2010-2011 32.8 66.0 -1.324
16 1903-1904 24.7 29.9 -1.311
17 1906-1907 28.9 46.9 -1.262
18 1993-1994 31.0 55.8 -1.250
19 1853-1854 30.7 53.0 -1.203
20 1851-1852 28.0 41.0 -1.199
21 2025-2026 31.7 54.5 -1.108
22 1866-1867 29.8 46.0 -1.104
23 1854-1855 29.1 42.5 -1.090
24 1933-1934 28.0 37.0 -1.069
25 1876-1877 27.9 35.4 -1.032
26 1859-1860 29.4 41.4 -1.012
27 1856-1857 27.9 34.5 -1.002
28 2002-2003 30.7 44.8 -0.936
29 1898-1899 29.2 36.5 -0.881
30 1870-1871 29.6 37.1 -0.844
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4 hours ago, MJO812 said:

We didnt have a volcanic eruption this winter and look how it turned out. I think people are too fascinated on that aspect about a volcano helping or hurting the atmosphere. 

I'll let Volcanic Winter answer this one...

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10 minutes ago, psv88 said:

19 this morning, 31 today. Last sub-freezing day of this season, tomorrow probably last sub 40 day. Today probably last low in the teens. 

Up up and away

Let’s hope that you are correct. 
 

Hope last weeks storm broke this winter’s back and maybe we can even have a nice spring for a change 

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6 hours ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

Hi Don, if you are in the Travis section of Staten Island, then I am 6 to 7 miles to your southwest.  I live across the Arthur Kill from Tottenville, Staten Island; directly across from the historic Conference House (Billop House), there.

You are across the Arthur Kill from Carteret, NJ.

ps - I am at 49.4 inches for the season-to-date.  I see you are at 53.9.  4.5 inches above my total.  I often get less accumulation from marginal events due to a slightly warmer micro-climate here.  @doncat

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Yes I'm just about 1 mile from the river... I know the Billop house well, been there several times. My Travis house is our family home that my dad built in 1959 and where my weather equipment has been for ages. Truth be told we have been in some conversations about selling, so don't know what the future holds.

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8 hours ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

Hi Don, if you are in the Travis section of Staten Island, then I am 6 to 7 miles to your southwest.  I live across the Arthur Kill from Tottenville, Staten Island; directly across from the historic Conference House (Billop House), there.

You are across the Arthur Kill from Carteret, NJ.

ps - I am at 49.4 inches for the season-to-date.  I see you are at 53.9.  4.5 inches above my total.  I often get less accumulation from marginal events due to a slightly warmer micro-climate here.  @doncat

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Also there's a Davis weather link station that looks to be near you... Looks like it's on Water St.... Near you? Actually it's at the Raritan Yacht Club.

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3 hours ago, psv88 said:

19 this morning, 31 today. Last sub-freezing day of this season, tomorrow probably last sub 40 day. Today probably last low in the teens. 

Up up and away

Down to 23 already. Felt frigid on my walk. But agreed, we’re taking the next step up the ladder to spring. By the weekend we’ll be down to ice piles. 

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7 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Here's the Top 30 data for through March 1st. The ranking is higher, as I excluded years with 25 or more missing days. Their inclusion previously skewed some of the results. I also used average of days (not months) when calculating the DJF mean temperature. That also led to minor adjustments from the prior list e.g., 1854-55 had a mean temperature of 29.1° vs. 29.0° (when all months were weighted equally).

Rank Winter DJF Temp Snow Score
1 1872-1873 25.7 62.5 -2.225
2 1867-1868 25.0 53.3 -2.027
3 1904-1905 25.4 49.8 -1.856
4 1960-1961 30.6 69.5 -1.752
5 1917-1918 24.9 42.3 -1.684
6 1855-1856 26.4 46.8 -1.616
7 1947-1948 28.9 57.6 -1.609
8 1919-1920 26.7 45.9 -1.544
9 1977-1978 28.7 52.9 -1.485
10 1874-1875 25.6 38.9 -1.474
11 1864-1865 27.9 49.0 -1.473
12 1995-1996 31.6 62.8 -1.392
13 2013-2014 31.3 60.5 -1.360
14 1922-1923 28.9 48.9 -1.327
15 2010-2011 32.8 66.0 -1.324
16 1903-1904 24.7 29.9 -1.311
17 1906-1907 28.9 46.9 -1.262
18 1993-1994 31.0 55.8 -1.250
19 1853-1854 30.7 53.0 -1.203
20 1851-1852 28.0 41.0 -1.199
21 2025-2026 31.7 54.5 -1.108
22 1866-1867 29.8 46.0 -1.104
23 1854-1855 29.1 42.5 -1.090
24 1933-1934 28.0 37.0 -1.069
25 1876-1877 27.9 35.4 -1.032
26 1859-1860 29.4 41.4 -1.012
27 1856-1857 27.9 34.5 -1.002
28 2002-2003 30.7 44.8 -0.936
29 1898-1899 29.2 36.5 -0.881
30 1870-1871 29.6 37.1 -0.844
 
Don - do you have access to the winter season severity index specific rankings for cities like NYC and Philly? Both are listed as "extreme" for both cities (and most in the NE), which means top 20% (top 33 or so out of ~165), but I'm curious where this winter ranks exactly. TIA.  Also curious how close your scores are to these.  
 
chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/apme/54/8/jamc-d-14-0217.1.pdf
Image

 

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Clouds will increase tonight and cloud cover will likely impede viewing of the lunar eclipse near sunrise tomorrow. Periods of mixed precipitation giving way to periods of rain are likely later Tuesday and Tuesday night. The temperature will reach the upper 30s and lower 40s.  

A sustained warming trend will commence on Wednesday. The second week of March could feature springlike readings. Long Island and coastal sections could be noticeably cooler than interior sections on a number of days on account of a chilly onshore flow.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around February 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.28°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +16.18 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.670 today. 

 

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37 minutes ago, RU848789 said:
 
Don - do you have access to the winter season severity index specific rankings for cities like NYC and Philly? Both are listed as "extreme" for both cities (and most in the NE), which means top 20% (top 33 or so out of ~165), but I'm curious where this winter ranks exactly. TIA.  Also curious how close your scores are to these.  
 
chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/apme/54/8/jamc-d-14-0217.1.pdf
Image

 

Here's the data:

 

image.png.27049510bbaca287b1f92bf35f9a70f4.png

Note: The Index begins with 1950-51. Moreover, lots of data are missing e.g., 1995-1996 for New York City. The short timespan and missing data limit the Index's value.

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