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March Madness


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10 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

27.5F  Light to moderate snow.  Good snow growth.  Most of the precip in the last hour has been a mix of sleet and with some snow.  It has switched now to all snow.  Vis about 3/4"

Yup…all pure snow now here too. Probably 3/4sm -SN

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1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

if any ridging is weak and east towards Scandinavia, meh...summer rolls on

eps_z500a_nhem_61.png

I actually looked at that and figured here we go-spring!  Then I realized it’s d15.  Back to thinking about other things…

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16 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Just compare the standard deviations for the cold in Alaska, versus the heat in the southwest

Whichever is of greater magnitude wins the debate 

 

Absolute values given taken snapshot are not the same as longer-term values.  In the end, it's what occurs over a long period of time and how it all averages out, rather than individual events.  And what you chose as a period of time matters.  We tend to think in very short time periods, contaminated by recency bias and the lack of full knowledge of wx history.

And the concept of "wins the debate" is a flawed premise.  What matters in science are facts and the truth.  It does not care about who "wins" or "loses."

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16 hours ago, tunafish said:

Weird, weak arguments.

The primary urban heat island effect is at night.  

Also 40/50 states - lines are arbitrary and without a map they all disappear.

 

It's not "weird."  That's a  non-sequitur statement in this case.

I never said the primary urban heat island effect was not at night.

1-2 F per day biased warmed max is huge for long-term climate records. esp. when you consider we think we can get avg regional or global temps correct/accurate down the the 100th of degree, and we obsess when we "beat" a record by a fraction of degree, not mentioning the uncertainty at all.  Using precision to give an illusion of accuracy.  Bad science.

And some sites have a huge warm bias during the day.  Look at Baltimore/Inner Harbor (KDMH).  You often see it 7 F warmer for maxes than BWI, and this is an official climate location and gets reported as fact.

 

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5 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Yeah but since Alaska is cold it's okay if the west is shattering all time highs by 8-10 degrees for multiple days. 

Also UHI or something is the cause because that definitely affects daytime highs 

Straw man arguments.  And who said it was "okay?"  Bringing up facts is neither ok or not ok.  Just b/c you may not like them is irrelevant.

UHI does impact daytime highs.  Also, local airport infrastructure and sensor placement impact highs, regardless of UHI.  

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