March Madness

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

Snowpack in the region now below year ago levels.

Who cares. Was a way better season this year hands frieken down. 

[Great Snow 1717]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

100% agree.   Kind of linexgshibg a fantastic summer…but then September gets cool and rainy…would that lower a summer grade?  Not at all in my book. September is supposed to steer cooling down anyway(sometimes it doesn’t) ..so same reasoning. 

Your idea of a fantastic summer likely differs quite a bit from my idea of a fantastic summer lol...

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Am I debating your grade for the winter? Lol...

No you’re not.  Hey, give it any grade you want. It’s your opinion, and yours entitled to it.  We may not be done anyway…so there’s that too. 

[Great Snow 1717]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

No you’re not.  Hey, give it any grade you want. It’s your opinion, and yours entitled to it.  We may not be done anyway…so there’s that too. 

...and that is why I have not posted a final grade...The "semester" isn't complete...

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

...and that is why I have not posted a final grade...The "semester" isn't complete...

Fair enough. 

[Great Snow 1717]

I have to admit that it is very amusing that so many people are concerned with my grade for this winter..

.I just want to say that out of respect and admiration for all of you that I will let all of you know the day before I post my final grade for winter 25/26....ya know to let the anticipation build and to have all of  you  to have something to look forward to lol

[CoastalWx]

15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Who cares. Was a way better season this year hands frieken down. 

Yeah was thinking the same lol. Exponentially better here.

[Kitz Craver]

06z GFS does look relatively wintry. Has a clipper next week and a little critter coastal in clown range 

[Great Snow 1717]

14 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

06z GFS does look relatively wintry. Has a clipper next week and a little critter coastal in clown range 

Somewhere in this thread I mentioned that there will be "chances" if the clipper pattern remains in place...

[weatherwiz]

May see multiple rounds of squalls NOP tomorrow evening into the early overnight. Even a bit unstable too so can't rule out some thunder/lightning

[Typhoon Tip]

This looks like a pretty typical ANA blizzard at 3,000 feet

[dendrite]

39° with some rain and sleet

High was a brief 42°

[Damage In Tolland]

After being 56 at 7:45 now mixing with flakes here at 35.9. 
 

Looks like the good stuff comes mid- late afternoon into evening 

[jbenedet]

48/38

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

I like April/May 2015 better than February/March 2018 as an analog for this March/April, especially if we're heading towards a stronger el nino/+PDO. The late spring months of 2015 turned warmer (with May being a near record warm month) after a very cold winter/early spring. 

It was intended as a December-March analog, not April/May, so yea...maybe. Definitely in terms of the direction ENSO is headed.

[Snowcrazed71]

2 hours ago, jbenedet said:

Snowpack in the region now below year ago levels.

You are one strange dude. You will post anything that's anti-snow, anti-cold, anti-winter. I mean at this point of the year it doesn't matter, spring is this next week. But whenever there's a glimpse of warmth or a model showing a change from cold to warm, you are on it and beating it like a masturbation party. 

Anyhoo, enjoy the temperature drop today 

Ps... Temp was 57 when I left this morning at 7:45 and is now 39

[weatherwiz]

Actually region as a whole tomorrow has a good chance for some squalls or at least probably a mixture of rain/snow showers (or predominately snow). 

[VivaManchVegas]

4 hours ago, dendrite said:

Yeah you stayed wedged. It’ll spike up a bit when you mix out with the cold front later and then it will start dropping again with the cold air advection. 

You nailed it.

[Typhoon Tip]

mm... Last time the ENSO mode began to shift into a similar range as that which is forecast now ... the entire planet surged a clad degree C, unilaterally, everywhere, air, sea and air-sea.  The whole planet

That should have really sent more shutters than it did through every inhabitant of this World.   Probably, the shear scale of that in March of 2023 was so immense it simply escapes the common ability to dimensionalize the implications, thus crickets...

Either way, whether this species cares to care, can, or won't aside,  mathematically that maens there is large climate uncertainty, one that unfurled right before our eyes... one that could do so again.  And the changes now as we see switch into a warmer mode of ENSO ... I think it behooves everyone, everywhere, to consider that even RONI may not be sufficient as an approach.   

Raising an entire planetary system by a full deg C is so vastly beyond a single ENSO mode's typical correlation, it forces the conclusion that ENSO's relevancy is increasingly subsumed

 

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

mm... Last time the ENSO mode began to shift into a similar range as that which is forecast now ... the entire planet surged a clad degree C, unilaterally, everywhere, air, sea and air-sea.  The whole planet

That should have really sent more shutters than it did through every inhabitant of this World.   Probably, the shear scale of that in March of 2023 was so immense it simply escapes the common ability to dimensionalize the implications, thus crickets...

Either way, whether this species cares to care, can, or won't aside,  mathematically that maens there is large climate uncertainty, one that unfurled right before our eyes... one that could do so again.  And the changes now as we see switch into a warmer mode of ENSO ... I think it behooves everyone, everywhere, to consider that even RONI may not be sufficient as an approach.   

Raising an entire planetary system by a full deg C is so vastly beyond a single ENSO mode's typical correlation, it forces the conclusion that ENSO's relevancy is increasingly subsumed

 

The end is near. 

[Brian5671]

About 1/3 of the country under wind warnings/advisories

[SJonesWX]

2 hours ago, jbenedet said:

Snowpack in the region now below year ago levels.

in what region? 

last year on 3/5 my pack was down to 4" and I had zero snow on 3/17, not even a stray pile.

yeah, it is only 3/12, but i have a long way to go to zero snow as i still have close to a foot in parts of my yard.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

About 1/3 of the country under wind warnings/advisories

I am curious to see if we will see wind advisories expand to cover all of SNE. The overnight timing of the LLJ though complicates things but we do have strong CAA so that may help realize wind advisory thresholds. 

[Typhoon Tip]

[Great Snow 1717]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

...can't wait for the usual suspects to attempt to downplay that ...

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Unfortunately the east coast drives the media narrative. Outside of the megalopolis there be dragons.

Is the DJF one out yet?

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

...can't wait for the usual suspects to attempt to downplay that ...

Heh ... yeah.  Everyone's entitled to their own opinion, right or wrong.  I just provide the data, as other's do, as it arrives.  For me, people can take or leave it - because they are also entitled to do that, too.

It just is what it is.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Unfortunately the east coast drives the media narrative. Outside of the megalopolis there be dragons.

Is the DJF one out yet?

[SouthCoastMA]

Lot of west coast ridging and east coast troughing, but the devil is probably in the details/magnitude. 

[klw]

Still 9" at the stake in the backyard this morning.