March Madness

[UnitedWx]

55 in Simsbury,  with minor dews

[WinterWolf]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Hopefully it beefs up

I think we get 1 more chance of a widespread snow event . 

You said winter was over yesterday...  stick to your guns one way or the other. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Need to hit 70”

[MJO812]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

You said winter was over yesterday...  stick to your guns one way or the other. 

Meh weenies cant

[weatherwiz]

Interesting how the parent NAM has hardly any QPF tomorrow while essentially every other model does 

[tamarack]

Mid 60s yesterday, mid 30s today.  At least the IP/ZR didn't materialize.  Thursday's quick warm-up appears to be off the table as we're heading into a string of messy events, apparently none strong.

[CoastalWx]

22 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Maybe it comes back. I will pray like i did with the blizzard  .

But yes that had good potential with the cold air around.

It’s not coming back. It’s a cutter.

[Great Snow 1717]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Well we are using meteorological reasoning too.  Cold nearby, active storm track, a well timed SW…that isn’t meteorological reasoning?   Sure, next week shit the bed…doesn’t mean there won’t be a shot after the 17 or 18th.  Yes, An inch of slop won’t count.   But 2-4” isn’t an inch of slop if it played out.  

Just remember all that has been written come next winter ...when the usual suspects will be complaining if it is a mild winter with below normal snowfall...

 

[Cold Miser]

57 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Need to hit 70”

Too far for me to get that, I think I need 7" (yes, I know that's what she said)

[dendrite]

The stratus is moving onshore now. I’m sure there will be a secondary push of raw taint with that.

[Damage In Tolland]

15 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Too far for me to get that, I think I need 7" (yes, I know that's what she said)

I need 1”. Hopefully tomorrow night 

[Typhoon Tip]

I'll tell ya ...having the sun now winning over the diminishing cloud coverage is helping to offset that rude intrusion of colder air. Ironically, it cloudier where the cold is deeper up N, and shittier sky where it's SW of this boundary.   Weird to have it clear where the boundary itself, is

It's 45 here... not "nice" per se, but relative to what it could be on March 10 that is nice.  Not ungrateful.  Plus, the wind behind this boundary isn't appreciably gusting and so forth, so there's some nape quality remaining.  

It does seem that the momentum of the front is slowed.

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, Modfan2 said:

I’ll take 45-55F all day long, remaining pack still melts and the driveway mud bog track eventually dries out. Seasons being seasons

Yeah, it's 46 here with nearly full sun this hour even up here in the deeper cool air; water is again running out of the pack's lining the roads so melt continues. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Mid 50s here. Solid AN day

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Mid 50s here. Solid AN day

[Snowcrazed71]

It is 64 here now!!!

[WinterWolf]

Best weather in SNE right here today…67 and full sun.  I don’t think wrll

be as warm as yesterday, but 70 plus is certain. We take. 

[dendrite]

35 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The stratus is moving onshore now. I’m sure there will be a secondary push of raw taint with that.

Man that ran out of steam quickly.

[Kitz Craver]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Hopefully it beefs up

I think we get 1 more chance of a widespread snow event . 

I was bustin balls… MVP of the fraud 5, lol

[weatherwiz]

19 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I'll tell ya ...having the sun now winning over the diminishing cloud coverage is helping to offset that rude intrusion of colder air. Ironically, it cloudier where the cold is deeper up N, and shittier sky where it's SW of this boundary.   Weird to have it clear where the boundary itself, is

It's 45 here... not "nice" per se, but relative to what it could be on March 10 that is nice.  Not ungrateful.  Plus, the wind behind this boundary isn't appreciably gusting and so forth, so there's some nape quality remaining.  

It does seem that the momentum of the front is slowed.

I wonder if the extreme shallowness of this airmass back door) should have been a flag that the NAM was overstating the impact too much. The airmasses with backdoors are generally shallow but this one seems even more so than your usual. There is no secret that this time of year (and 99% of the time) you toss the NAM temperatures. But when you have situations like CAD or BDCF potential...well the NAM deserves alot of weight. But the low-level airmass in place is quite unseasonably warm and I guess even for early March, we have enough solar heating and mixing to either halt the BDCF or weaken it. 

If you follow MSLP evolution on SPC mesoanalysis you can clearly see either the boundary weakening or even kind of retreating. Despite the stronger heating though, we're clearly having trouble mixing so there is definitely something going on within the BL. 

[Typhoon Tip]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Man that ran out of steam quickly.

it seemed to stop as the back edge of the mids finished exit... via cinema.  As the loop had pass over, it ate back NE a little

It's really open sky sun here with light winds.   On March 11, it's cheating and making the 46 ... actually, just bounced to 48 seem like a pretty good bargain for the time of year

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I wonder if the extreme shallowness of this airmass back door) should have been a flag that the NAM was overstating the impact too much. The airmasses with backdoors are generally shallow but this one seems even more so than your usual. There is no secret that this time of year (and 99% of the time) you toss the NAM temperatures. But when you have situations like CAD or BDCF potential...well the NAM deserves alot of weight. But the low-level airmass in place is quite unseasonably warm and I guess even for early March, we have enough solar heating and mixing to either halt the BDCF or weaken it. 

If you follow MSLP evolution on SPC mesoanalysis you can clearly see either the boundary weakening or even kind of retreating. Despite the stronger heating though, we're clearly having trouble mixing so there is definitely something going on within the BL. 

It’s there. It came through. It’s not warming up much despite the sunshine NoP. It’s just functioning more like a weak seabreeze with slightly higher density sfc air than a classic stratus NE shat fest.

Not complaining 

[Kitz Craver]

What a torch down here, kinda muggy too.

[Torch Tiger]

more typical to see the typical "lazy" seabreeze- marine layers in the summer, but we take

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It’s there. It came through. It’s not warming up much despite the sunshine NoP. It’s just functioning more like a weak seabreeze with slightly higher density sfc air than a classic stratus NE shat fest.

Not complaining 

Going to suck when May comes and these have no problem yielding widespread stratus with drizzle and temps in the 40's

[40/70 Benchmark]

15 hours ago, Masswx said:

Too bad Weymouth is where severe weather goes to die 

@TauntonBlizzard2013What do you, say, hope for Bryce? Maybe first wife at 13, 3rd by 20...hey, he could be working on 12 by the time he's our age!

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

What a torch down here, kinda muggy too.

Extra wiping today?

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It’s there. It came through. It’s not warming up much despite the sunshine NoP. It’s just functioning more like a weak seabreeze with slightly higher density sfc air than a classic stratus NE shat fest.

Not complaining 

41.5 IMBY.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@TauntonBlizzard2013What do you, say, hope for Bryce? Maybe first wife at 13, 3rd by 20...hey, he could be working on 12 by the time he's our age!

He needs to be grounded.

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Extra wiping today?

Sweaty ******* for sure